Interested in Apollo Global Management Inc.? Here are five stocks we like better.
Apollo expects interest rates to remain higher for longer, while estimating only a 10%–20% chance of a recession over the next year. Consumer spending, inflation and AI infrastructure investment are supporting economic activity, though geopolitical and energy risks remain.
The firm views AI primarily as a large-scale financing opportunity, providing structured capital to investment-grade companies involved in digital infrastructure, energy, logistics and defense rather than betting on individual technology winners.
Apollo reported strong institutional fundraising, including a $12 billion first close for its Fund XI, and expects private-equity industry consolidation as smaller or overexpanded managers struggle to return capital. Its high-grade capital-solutions business has completed more than 200 transactions totaling roughly $150 billion.
Baggage Claim: Apollo's $7.7 Billion Bid to Acquire easyJet

#apollo #infrastructure #energy #grade

Are you worried enough about rising interest rates jump-starting a recession that you're looking for ways of sidestepping the effect of such an economic headwind? It's not a terrible idea to at least start making a mental plan for that possibility.
You may have considered Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRKA) (NYSE: BRKB) to fill that role. Its wholly owned, private businesses generate plenty of cash flow regardless of the economic backdrop, after all.
Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again. In 2009, a "Double Down" signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. For the first time in years, that same "Total Conviction" signal is flashing for a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia. Continue »
But how do Berkshire shares actually perform during recessions? It's not like the data doesn't exist.
You probably know Berkshire Hathaway best by its stock picks. Although they're not built to be an actively managed mutual fund, its equity holdings -- and changes to these holdings -- are closely followed by investors looking for some new ideas for their own portfolios.

#berkshire #signal #NYSE #flashing

In late 2022, OpenAI released ChatGPT, and within months the bottom rung of the tech-industry career ladder started to disappear. Graduates who majored in computer science and other AI-exposed fields are increasingly missing out on the jobs they trained for, and a chunk of them are landing behind restaurant counters and retail registers instead, according to two Census Bureau papers.
An April 2026 Census paper tracked matched employer-employee records and found that hiring of workers ages 22 to 24 fell sharply in the industries most exposed to AI, while hiring in less-exposed industries held steady. Employment for early-career workers in the most AI-exposed fifth of industries dropped 12% over the ten quarters after ChatGPT's release. Lee Tucker, one of the coauthors of the paper, said "the decline in hires is the primary cause" of that rate of unemployment, not people losing jobs they already had.
That mattered most for one type of graduate. The most AI-exposed industries, Tucker found, cluster heavily around software and information-technology work, which are the very fields computer science and other highly AI-exposed majors are built to feed into.
A second paper from last week, also coauthored by Tucker, follows the graduates of the most AI-exposed decile of college majors. Their odds of holding a job one quarter after graduation fell by five percentage points, and full-quarter initial earnings dropped 13% following ChatGPT's release. A 13% earnings decline is roughly the size economists would expect from graduating into a severe recession—except there wasn't one, since the rest of the labor market held up fine.
Young grads still need to work and still have jobs, even if they've received highly exposed degrees. So the decline in earnings is less about a lack of employment and more about pursuing lower-wage occupations to make ends meet.

#graduates

GPC's unbroken dividend streak since 1999 yields 3%, while LKQ's 5% yield trades below book value with a Goldman-led strategic review pending.
Gentex runs a nearly debt-free balance sheet, with $1.89 trailing EPS covering its $0.48 annual dividend and aggressive buybacks shrinking the share count.
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Repair demand is the quiet defensive layer inside a cyclical industry. Americans are keeping cars longer, and every mile driven eventually needs a filter, a mirror, a ***** per cover, or a brake caliper. That reality is why a small group of US-listed auto parts names have been able to send cash to shareholders through recessions, tariff scares, and new-vehicle slumps. The three names below all pay a verified dividend, span both aftermarket distribution and original-equipment supply, and range from a 2.13% yield backed by a debt-free balance sheet to a 5.05% yield trading below book value.
Genuine Parts (NYSE:GPC) is the NAPA owner and the closest thing this bundle has to an income staple. The stock yields 3.13% at a recent price of $131.45, with a quarterly payout of $1.0625 per share and an annualized run rate of $4.25.

#free

XLE has surged 46% year-to-date while XLY dropped 7%, with defensive XLP up 9% as markets rotate away from consumer exposure.
XLF's soft 4% gain signals financial stocks aren't pricing a healthy cycle, with the 10-year/2-year Treasury spread flattened to 0.33%.
Torres pegs $120 WTI as the consumer spending breaking point, still 20% above current prices but reminiscent of 2022's economy-crushing oil surge.
Read More: Avoid these 13 retirement mistakes before they derail your future (sponsor)
The national average price of regular gasoline jumped 16 cents in a single week to $4.32 a gallon on September 14, 2026, a move that puts the pump price in the 90th percentile of the past year and caps a 7.8% jump in one month. The proximate cause sits upstream: WTI crude cleared $97.26 a barrel on September 9 after running up 16.1% in a month, and Brent has traded through the $100 line. On Fed decision day, a CNBC Morning Call panel put a number on where this stops being an inconvenience and starts being a recession.

#september #cnbc

York Water holds the longest dividend streak in US public markets at 27 consecutive years, while WTW's $1.775B operating cash flow dwarfs its $358M dividend obligation.
Amdocs and Ituran both run near-recession-proof revenue models, with DOX posting near-100% managed services renewal rates and ITRN carrying zero debt alongside $103.7M in net cash.
All five stocks fund dividends from contracted or recurring revenue streams such as regulated rates, fee income, or subscriptions, insulating payouts from economic cycles.
Read More: Learn 7 secret wealth tips high net worth investors use that most investors miss (sponsor)
Income investors heading into the fourth quarter want payouts that don't wobble with the business cycle. The five names below share one thing: dividends funded by recurring, contracted, or fee-based revenue streams that keep flowing whether or not the macro cooperates. Each has raised its payout recently, and each trades on Nasdaq. As a grounding data point, Willis Towers Watson (NASDAQ:WTW) alone generated $360 million of first-half free cash flow, roughly double the prior-year period, giving the broker ample room to keep funding both dividends and buybacks.

#revenue #NASDAQ #Dividend

Some offers on this page are from advertisers who pay us, which may affect which products we write about, but not our recommendations. See our Advertiser Disclosure.
It doesn't look like a market crash is in our future.
A housing market crash happens when home values plummet due to a lack of demand for or an oversupply of homes. The factors leading to a housing market crash are varied, ranging from economic recessions to high mortgage rates that make it less affordable to buy a home. A housing crash can have upsides (low home prices) and downsides (losing built-up equity and tighter finances).

So, what's ahead for the housing market in 2026?
Read more: Want to buy a house in 2026? Here's what you need to know.
Despite 58% of Gen Z wanting a housing market crash, according to Clever, experts don't foresee one in 2026. If anything, they see a greater sense of normalcy following multiple years of twists and turns.

#market #crash #despite #offers

XLE has surged 46% year-to-date while XLY dropped 7%, with defensive XLP up 9% as markets rotate away from consumer exposure.
XLF's soft 4% gain signals financial stocks aren't pricing a healthy cycle, with the 10-year/2-year Treasury spread flattened to 0.33%.
Torres pegs $120 WTI as the consumer spending breaking point, still 20% above current prices but reminiscent of 2022's economy-crushing oil surge.
Read More: Avoid these 13 retirement mistakes before they derail your future (sponsor)
The national average price of regular gasoline jumped 16 cents in a single week to $4.32 a gallon on September 14, 2026, a move that puts the pump price in the 90th percentile of the past year and caps a 7.8% jump in one month. The proximate cause sits upstream: WTI crude cleared $97.26 a barrel on September 9 after running up 16.1% in a month, and Brent has traded through the $100 line. On Fed decision day, a CNBC Morning Call panel put a number on where this stops being an inconvenience and starts being a recession.

#Consumer #torres

Three and a half years of freight recession did two things to the truck financing market at once. It shredded the credit profiles of the carriers who most needed to borrow. It also pushed a large share of the lenders who would have lent to them out of the sector. Both are now rationing the equipment replacement cycle the industry has spent two years waiting on.
Kirk Mann stayed in. As executive vice president and general manager of the transportation vendor solutions business at Mitsubishi HC Capital America, he financed trucks through the entire downturn and watched a great many of them come back.
"There are a lot of lenders, banks that left, and so we've had the benefit of being one of the lenders actually lending money in this ****** e," Mann said in an interview with FreightWaves. What competition remains is mostly OEM captive finance arms, a couple of large independents and a few bank-led groups, he said.
The carriers that did not survive were overwhelmingly the newest. On average, 85% of motor carriers with fewer than two years of operating experience and their own operating authority failed over a three-year stretch of the downturn, Mann said.
Back in January 2023, Mann sat in Mitsubishi HC Capital's Chicago offices with Wayne Pass, the company's chief credit officer for vendor solutions, since retired. He asked what a Freightliner Cascadia 13-speed with a tall sleeper and fewer than 500,000 miles was worth. Both men wrote down $45,000. Mann then asked what the company was financing those trucks at. About $110,000.

#mitsubishi #back #financing #large

SPY surged 11% year-to-date while home prices hit all-time highs, powering a record $12.5 trillion single-quarter wealth gain to $185.7 trillion total.
The personal saving rate collapsed to 2.8% from 5.8% a year ago as Americans spend paper gains concentrated among the wealthiest households.
Household net worth hit 571% of GDP, just shy of the 574% record that previously preceded the Fed's most aggressive rate-hiking cycle in four decades.
Just released. Our ***** ysts combed the entire stock market and named the ten best stocks to buy right now. The report is free. Enter your email and see if any of your stocks made the cut.
American households just booked the largest quarterly wealth gain in history, and most Americans do not feel any richer. Federal Reserve data released this month shows U.S. household net worth jumped $12.5 trillion in the second quarter of 2026, reaching a record $185.7 trillion. That single-quarter increase exceeds the annual gross domestic product of every country on earth except the United States and China. It is the eleventh straight quarter of gains, a streak that has added $43.4 trillion to household balance sheets and pushed ***** ulative wealth creation since the 2020 pandemic to $83.9 trillion. Yet the University of Michigan's consumer sentiment index came in at 55.2 in July, a level the survey's own interpretation guide classifies as recessionary.

#trillion #quarter #record #year

Azure crossed $100B annually with 43% growth, and Microsoft's commercial backlog surged 84% to $678B, explaining why markets shrugged off AI safety calls.
Progressive fell 5% and Sherwin-Williams dropped 12% over the past year as housing starts slid 12% and consumer sentiment hit a recessionary 55.
Trump's 'whoever wins, AI wins' framing directly counters Manchin's push for an executive order freezing AI IPOs until federal safeguards are established.
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Monday morning, hours after public radio spent its morning walking through an open letter asking the AI industry to slow itself down, President Trump told CNBC the opposite: "We're leading China in AI. We're the most sophisticated country in the world. And frankly, I want to keep it that way because whoever wins, AI wins." Ninety minutes later, shares of Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) were changing hands at $498.70, and Polymarket bettors were pricing 84.5% odds that the stock would close green.

#msft #whoever #stocks #morning

Some offers on this page are from advertisers who pay us, which may affect which products we write about, but not our recommendations. See our Advertiser Disclosure.
It doesn't look like a market crash is in our future.
A housing market crash happens when home values plummet due to a lack of demand for or an oversupply of homes. The factors leading to a housing market crash are varied, ranging from economic recessions to high mortgage rates that make it less affordable to buy a home. A housing crash can have upsides (low home prices) and downsides (losing built-up equity and tighter finances).

So, what's ahead for the housing market in 2026?
Read more: Want to buy a house in 2026? Here's what you need to know.
Despite 58% of Gen Z wanting a housing market crash, according to Clever, experts don't foresee one in 2026. If anything, they see a greater sense of normalcy following multiple years of twists and turns.

#crash #advertiser #despite #clever

Some offers on this page are from advertisers who pay us, which may affect which products we write about, but not our recommendations. See our Advertiser Disclosure.
It doesn't look like a market crash is in our future.
A housing market crash happens when home values plummet due to a lack of demand for or an oversupply of homes. The factors leading to a housing market crash are varied, ranging from economic recessions to high mortgage rates that make it less affordable to buy a home. A housing crash can have upsides (low home prices) and downsides (losing built-up equity and tighter finances).

So, what's ahead for the housing market in 2026?
Read more: Want to buy a house in 2026? Here's what you need to know.
Despite 58% of Gen Z wanting a housing market crash, according to Clever, experts don't foresee one in 2026. If anything, they see a greater sense of normalcy following multiple years of twists and turns.

#market #crash

Bank of Nova Scotia (NYSE: BNS) is offering investors a nearly 3.5% yield. The average bank's yield is around 2.2%, and the S&P 500 index (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) has a tiny 1% yield. If you are looking for a high-yield bank stock, Scotiabank, as it is more commonly known, is probably worth a close look. But the real dividend story is about consistency. Here's what you need to know.
Recently, Scotiabank made a major change in its business. For a long time, the Canadian bank had skipped the U.S. market, focusing instead on Central and South America. That differentiated it from its large Canadian peers, which had focused on growth in the U.S. Scotiabank's plans didn't work out as well as hoped, so it shifted gears. Now, like its peers, it is increasing its focus on the U.S., with a goal of offering its services from Mexico to Canada. Those three countries are contiguous and important trading partners.
Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again. In 2009, a "Double Down" signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. For the first time in years, that same "Total Conviction" signal is flashing for a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia. Continue »
What's notable is that Scotiabank has made this shift without resorting to a dividend cut. In fact, the biggest impact that dividend investors felt was a one-year pause in dividend increases. When you look at the company's history, however, that makes total sense. Scotiabank has paid dividends every year since 1833, over 190 years ago. And, unlike many of the largest U.S. banks, it also didn't cut its dividend during the Great Recession.
Scotiabank's efforts to grow in the U.S. market will likely be a net positive, but the real story here isn't about growth. This is a slow-and-steady business that will help you build wealth over time. Dividend reinvestment would allow for powerful compounding, given the above-average yield and incredible dividend history. The real story, then, is consistency, which is powered by the bank's Canadian operations.

#Dividend #time

The federal interest burden has reached a new height, exceeding even the 1991 record, but **** ysts warn the risks **** ociated with servicing the ever-growing national debt today are much higher than they were 35 years ago, **** ysts warn.
A recent **** ysis from investment management firm Doubleline noted that in 2025, the federal net interest payment on the U.S.'s now-$40 trillion national debt reached 18.5% of revenue, surpassing 1991's record 18.4%. That means the U.S. is collecting nearly 19% of all taxes and revenue just to pay off interest on its ballooning debt, equivalent to $1.25 trillion—more than the entire 2026 defense budget.
Growing interest payments create a cycle: the government must borrow more just to cover the interest, leaving it less flexible to spend on infrastructure, education, and other investments that drive growth.
The amount of money needed just to pay the interest on America's debt has swelled over the last decade as interest rates have grown, with interest expense as a percentage of revenue tripling since 2015, according to global market commentator the Kobeissi Letter, citing the Congressional Budget Office, which predicts interest expense levels to climb to 25% by 2036.
"The US debt crisis is in uncharted territory," the Kobeissi Letter wrote on a social media post. "These projections **** ume no major slowdown, recession, or significant rise in Treasury yields over this period."

#interest #kobeissi #letter #record

Some offers on this page are from advertisers who pay us, which may affect which products we write about, but not our recommendations. See our Advertiser Disclosure.
A housing market crash happens when home values plummet due to a lack of demand for or an oversupply of homes. The factors leading to a housing market crash are varied, ranging from economic recessions to high mortgage rates that make it less affordable to buy a home. A housing crash can have upsides (low home prices) and downsides (losing built-up equity and tighter finances).

So, what's ahead for the housing market in 2026?
Read more: Want to buy a house in 2026? Here's what you need to know.
Despite 58% of Gen Z wanting a housing market crash, according to Clever, experts don't foresee one in 2026. If anything, they see a greater sense of normalcy following multiple years of twists and turns.
"We're not heading toward a housing crash; we're in a market correction defined by stability, not volatility," Hoby Hanna, CEO of Howard Hanna Real Estate Services, said via email. "Today's housing environment is fundamentally different from 2008. Homeowners have record levels of equity, lending standards are sound, and inventory remains constrained. What we're seeing now is a normalization, not a collapse, as the market adjusts to new economic realities. For buyers and sellers, this is a market filled with opportunity and resilience, not instability or uncertainty."

#we 're #hanna #Equity #disclosure

Coca-Cola (NYSE: KO) has raised its dividend for 64 consecutive years and yields about 2.4% at a share price near $90. I think it belongs in most income portfolios, though not for the reason most people ******* ume.
In February, Coca-Cola raised its quarterly payout from $0.51 per share to $0.53, bringing the annual dividend to $2.12 per share from $2.04. That was a 3.9% increase and the 64th straight year of growth, a streak that has survived recessions, inflation spikes, and repeated shifts in what people drink. This streak puts Coca-Cola on the elite list of Dividend Kings, companies that have grown their dividends for at least 50 consecutive years.
Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again. In 2009, a "Double Down" signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. For the first time in years, that same "Total Conviction" signal is flashing for a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia. Continue »
Here is the honest part: A 2.4% yield doesn't sound like income for life. Five-year average dividend growth runs near 4.5%, and the payout ratio sits at 63.7%. The dividend alone will not drive strong near-term returns. What makes the case is what sits behind the payment.
Second-quarter net revenue rose 7% to $13.38 billion. Comparable earnings per share (EPS) grew 11% to $0.97 against a $0.93 estimate, and reported EPS jumped 16% to $1.03. Global unit case volume increased 5%, with every single reporting segment posting volume growth.

#Dividend #coca #years #flashing

Dallas Fed research confirms GenAI is actively displacing medical, legal, accounting, and coding workers, with recent college graduates disproportionately impacted.
AI-driven job losses could push U.S. unemployment from 4% to 10%, matching Great Recession peaks and displacing roughly 10 million workers.
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Will AI take jobs, or is the claim just a mirage? New data from the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas shows that AI as a human replacement has started and is accelerating. The jobs being taken match many forecasts of vulnerable sectors. The information also indicates the job destruction will spread.
In a new research paper ***** led "Job postings show early signs of AI automation impact," the authors report, "A new ***** ysis, using data from millions of online job postings, shows GenAI is reshaping labor demand in Texas."

#GenAI #Research #workers #Jobs

WASHINGTON (AP) — Employers posted slightly more job openings in July but the American labor market remained sturdy in the face of higher costs that are squeezing household budgets.
U.S. job openings ticked up to 7.27 million in July from a revised 7.18 million in June, the Labor Department reported Tuesday.
The department's Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) also showed that layoffs fell. But so did the number of people quitting their jobs — a sign of confidence in their prospects. The report showed that gross hiring — before subtracting those who lost or quit their jobs — dipped to 5.1 million in July from 5.3 million in June.
The American job market is hardly booming, but it is ambling along despite an energy shock caused by the fighting with Iran that has squeezed family budgets.
So far this year, U.S. employers — companies, nonprofits and government agencies — added an average of 61,000 net jobs a month. The figure — which was dragged down by job losses in February and July — is unimpressive. But it's an improvement on 2025 when job growth came in below 10,000 a month — weakest hiring outside a recession since 2002 — as the lingering effect of high interest rates and uncertainty caused by Trump's tariffs discouraged firms from hiring.

#july #american

Genuine Parts Company (NYSE:GPC) has increased its dividend for 70 consecutive years, placing it among the longest-running dividend growth records in the market. The company raised its annual dividend by 3.2% for 2026 to $4.25 per share, or $1.0625 quarterly.
The dividend is supported by Genuine Parts' large automotive and industrial replacement-parts businesses, which tend to generate recurring demand because customers still need repairs and replacement parts during weaker economic periods. The company operates more than 10,800 locations across 17 countries.
There are also some reasons for caution. Genuine Parts generated $421 million of free cash flow in 2025, while paying $564 million in dividends. That means the dividend exceeded reported free cash flow during the year. The company expects free cash flow to improve to $550 million-$700 million in 2026, while adjusted EPS is expected at $7.50-$8.00.
Photo by Vitaly Taranov on Unsplash
70-year track record provides strong evidence of dividend commitment. Genuine Parts Company (NYSE:GPC) has maintained and increased its dividend through multiple recessions, inflationary periods, and industry cycles. Reaching 70 consecutive years of increases suggests that protecting the dividend is deeply embedded in the company's capital-allocation strategy.

#company

CINF and TROW both raised regular dividends through the 2008 crisis and 2020 pandemic, with TROW now yielding 4.57%.
RLI's regular yield is just 1%, but recurring special dividends pushed its trailing twelve-month total payout to $4.68 per share.
Act now: the ***** yst who called NVIDIA in 2010 just named his top 10 AI stocks — and T. Rowe Price didn't make the cut. Grab the names FREE today.
Financial stocks get stress-tested harder than any other sector during recessions, so an income streak that survived both the Global Financial Crisis and the pandemic shock is a genuine credential. These four names did more than survive: verified dividend records show each one paid a higher regular dividend in 2008 than in 2007, and again in 2020 than in 2019. Cincinnati Financial's quarterly payout went from $0.56 in 2019 to $0.60 throughout 2020, and today the same company pays $0.94 per quarter. That is the shape of a dividend income stream you can actually plan around.
Cincinnati Financial (NASDAQ:CINF) yields 2.1% at a recent price of $171.08, with an annualized forward dividend of $3.76 after the board lifted the quarterly rate to $0.94.

#price

Ferguson expects two rate hikes before early next year, warning five years of missed inflation targets threaten the Fed's credibility.
Ferguson dismisses Warsh's balance sheet hints as ineffective and warns Treasury interference is distorting the bond market signals guiding policy.
Consumer sentiment sits at 49.5, below the 60 recessionary threshold, making Ferguson the hawkish outlier against El-Erian and JPMorgan expecting dovish guidance.
Don't wait: the ******* yst who called NVIDIA in 2010 just revealed his top 10 AI stocks. See the full list FREE now.
Former Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Roger Ferguson expects two interest rate hikes across the rest of 2026 and early 2027, warning that persistent inflation could damage the central bank's credibility if officials fail to act. His forecast is more hawkish than those of observers expecting only one increase.

#hikes #credibility

Ares Capital (NASDAQ: ARCC) is a business development company (BDC). Its core business is making loans to smaller businesses. So the ability of its clients to repay their loans on time is very important. In the second quarter of 2026, there was a 60-basis-point year-over-year increase in the number of troubled loans Ares Capital is carrying. That's a move in the wrong direction, but don't get overly concerned just yet. Here's why.
There's no question that investors in a BDC like Ares Capital have to pay close attention to loan quality. The company issues stock and takes on debt to fund the loans it makes to its clients. As long as those loans continue to be paid, Ares Capital earns the spread between its cost of capital and the interest it charges on its loans. In the second quarter, the average interest rate paid by its clients was 10.3%. This can be a very lucrative business.
Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again. In 2009, a "Double Down" signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. For the first time in years, that same "Total Conviction" signal is flashing for a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia. Continue »
However, the loans Ares Capital makes are typically to smaller companies that lack access to lower-cost funding. During periods of economic weakness, such as a recession, smaller companies can find it increasingly difficult to cover the costs of high-interest loans. If too many loans become troubled, Ares Capital could struggle to support its lofty 9.5% yield.
That's why non-accrual loans are so important to watch. If the percentage of non-accrual loans is increasing, your risk as a dividend investor is increasing, too. So the 60-basis-point rise in non-accrual loans shouldn't be ignored. But it also has to be put into perspective.

#ares #smaller

Some offers on this page are from advertisers who pay us, which may affect which products we write about, but not our recommendations. See our Advertiser Disclosure.
A housing market crash happens when home values plummet due to a lack of demand for or an oversupply of homes. The factors leading to a housing market crash are varied, ranging from economic recessions to high mortgage rates that make it less affordable to buy a home. A housing crash can have upsides (low home prices) and downsides (losing built-up equity and tighter finances).

So, what's ahead for the housing market in 2026?
Read more: Want to buy a house in 2026? Here's what you need to know.
Despite 58% of Gen Z wanting a housing market crash, according to Clever, experts don't foresee one in 2026. If anything, they see a greater sense of normalcy following multiple years of twists and turns.
"We're not heading toward a housing crash; we're in a market correction defined by stability, not volatility," Hoby Hanna, CEO of Howard Hanna Real Estate Services, said via email. "Today's housing environment is fundamentally different from 2008. Homeowners have record levels of equity, lending standards are sound, and inventory remains constrained. What we're seeing now is a normalization, not a collapse, as the market adjusts to new economic realities. For buyers and sellers, this is a market filled with opportunity and resilience, not instability or uncertainty."

#economic #disclosure

On August 5, General Dynamics Corporation (NYSE:GD) announced that its board of directors had declared a regular quarterly dividend of $1.59 per share on common stock. The payment is scheduled to be paid on November 13 to all shareholders of record on October 9.
The company has increased its annual dividend every year since 1999, according to its dividend payout history available on the website. This is a run of nearly three decades that has weathered recessions, a pandemic, and several defense spending cycles.
The recent dividend announcement, when calculated against Q2's diluted EPS of $4.24, translates to a payout ratio of 38%, which means that the company is returning well under half of its earnings to shareholders, leaving room to keep raising the dividend.
General Dynamics Corporation (NYSE:GD)'s stable dividend payout ratio is evidence against concerns from skeptics about the payout streak running out of gas. It is far from the ceiling, allowing management to continue increasing dividends even if earnings growth slows down.
Rising global defense spending and recent contracts, such as the $1.3 billion Enterprise Network Operations and Cybersecurity Support (ENOCS) award earlier this month, position the company well for earnings growth.

#Dividend #company #earnings

Some offers on this page are from advertisers who pay us, which may affect which products we write about, but not our recommendations. See our Advertiser Disclosure.
A housing market crash happens when home values plummet due to a lack of demand for or an oversupply of homes. The factors leading to a housing market crash are varied, ranging from economic recessions to high mortgage rates that make it less affordable to buy a home. A housing crash can have upsides (low home prices) and downsides (losing built-up equity and tighter finances).

So, what's ahead for the housing market in 2026?
Read more: Want to buy a house in 2026? Here's what you need to know.
Despite 58% of Gen Z wanting a housing market crash, according to Clever, experts don't foresee one in 2026. If anything, they see a greater sense of normalcy following multiple years of twists and turns.
"We're not heading toward a housing crash; we're in a market correction defined by stability, not volatility," Hoby Hanna, CEO of Howard Hanna Real Estate Services, said via email. "Today's housing environment is fundamentally different from 2008. Homeowners have record levels of equity, lending standards are sound, and inventory remains constrained. What we're seeing now is a normalization, not a collapse, as the market adjusts to new economic realities. For buyers and sellers, this is a market filled with opportunity and resilience, not instability or uncertainty."

#disclosure

With great certainty, I can say there will be a bear market. What I can't tell you is when, though I expect one sooner than later. Right now, with the market trading near all-time highs, investors appear to be shrugging off a lot of bad news. Even JPMorgan Chase (NYSE: JPM) CEO Jamie Dimon has been offering warnings about the increasing risk of a downturn, so I'm not going out on a limb here. But if there is a bear market ahead, now or in a more distant future, the smartest investors prepare before the inevitable downturn.
I've lived through numerous bear markets, including the very deep dot-com crash and the Great Recession, when there were legitimate concerns about the stability of the global financial system. When stock prices fall day after day, week after week, month after month, and year after year, it is hard not to panic. You are watching your wealth slip away little by little and, at some point, you feel like you need to stop the bleeding before you lose it all.
Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again. In 2009, a "Double Down" signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. For the first time in years, that same "Total Conviction" signal is flashing for a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia. Continue »
There are no free lunches on Wall Street, as the old saying goes. You have to take the good with the bad. And bear markets are part of that story, but, historically, they've always been followed by new bull markets. You may feel like the bleeding will never stop, but history says it will. And that the market will eventually post even higher highs.
So the big thing you need to do is remember the history, so you have the wherewithal not to panic and follow the crowd. A really simple approach is to buy a low-cost S&P 500 index fund, such as Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (NYSEMKT: VOO) and its 0.03% expense ratio, and just keep buying. Right through the downturn, as well, since you'll be able to buy more shares of the exchange-traded fund (ETF) while they are cheap. That's known as dollar-cost averaging, and it can be a very powerful wealth-creation tool.

#NVIDIA #right

Today was the much-anticipated debut of Mariners pitching prospect Kade Anderson, but it was a more familiar face who stole the show. Randy Arozarena bookeneded the game with a pair of homers, peppering in a dramatic home run robbery and a clutch infield single, to deliver the Mariners an improbable 5-4 win, meanwhile racking up one of the highest WPAs I've ever seen for a position player in a single game: 1.08. It's not Brandon Crawford's seven-hit game from 2016, but it's gotta be up there. Arozarena, in his free agency year, is having his best season by wRC+ as a big-league regular: 138 before today's game is factored in. He's been the most valuable Mariner in 2026 offensively, and has contributed to more than his fair share of wins while the rest of the team has struggled through injury and doldrums. He's also been the author of more than his fair share of miscues, some outfield defense that at times looks indifferent, and an occasional inattention (like missing the team photo) that makes you wonder what planet Randy is living on.
The answer: Planet Randy. It's Randy's planet. And like Taylor Swift, he makes the rules. Today, Randy decided to orbit himself directly in front of what looked like a surefire Cubs win, repelling Chicago and their hefty dose of fans packed into a sellout crowd at T-Mobile Park and instead delivering the Mariners a series win. It might have been Kade Anderson **** p Day, but it was Randy Arozarena Precession Day (this is a science term that my science friend says means when a planet **** ps how it spins on its axis. I am **** ured the joke works.).
Kade Anderson was as advertised in the first inning, living around the strike zone and challenging hitters. He got his first big-league out on his first big-league pitch, tempting Pete Crow-Armstrong into making weak contact on a well-located heater for an easy pop out. He struggled a little after that with locating the curve, and got into a long battle with Alex Bregman before getting him to chase after a changeup for his first big-league strikeout:
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With the warm-up act out of the way, it was time for Planet Randy to take the stage. Arozarena gave his rookie pitcher some run support right away, jumping on the first pitch he saw from lefty David Peterson and driving it into a packed T-Mobile 'Pen: 105.3 mph and 416 feet for Randy's 18th on the season.

#randy #arozarena #kade #league

A 7% blended yield from holdings like O (5.2%) and VZ (5.9%) turns an $880,000 rollover into the targeted $5,200 monthly paycheck.
Conservative dividend stocks fall far short of the mark, as generating $62,400 annually at a 3.5% blended yield requires over $1.78 million, more than double the available portfolio.
Aggressive 8 to 14 percent yield strategies risk principal erosion, and distributions are commonly cut in recessions, leaving investors spending down ******* ets rather than living off their growth.
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A 64-year-old rolling $880,000 from a 401(k) into a self-directed IRA and targeting $5,200 a month in income is asking a specific question: can dividends and distributions replace $62,400 a year without handing the balance to an insurance company? The math says yes, but only if the portfolio hits roughly a 3.5% blended yield. That number sits above what conservative dividend stocks pay and below what the highest-risk income funds promise. The tiers below show what each level costs, and what it costs you.

#yield #conservative #requires #year

You may not have realized this amid the grind of a busy earnings season, but corporate America has delivered a bang-up performance when it comes to profits.
With second quarter reporting season beginning to slow down, it's worth examining how companies have performed on the bottom line — especially as the S&P 500 (^GSPC) is hovering near fresh records.
The profit numbers are nothing short of stellar.
Second quarter earnings for S&P 500 companies are on pace to rise 50% year over year, the highest growth rate since the second quarter of 2021, according to a new note from FactSet.
"We've never seen earnings growth this high outside of post-recessionary rebounds. This is an unprecedented boom fueled by massive EPS gains in big tech, including markups in ******* eX/Anthropic," Creative Planning chief market strategist Charlie Bilello said.

#season