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Ferguson expects two rate hikes before early next year, warning five years of missed inflation targets threaten the Fed's credibility.
Ferguson dismisses Warsh's balance sheet hints as ineffective and warns Treasury interference is distorting the bond market signals guiding policy.
Consumer sentiment sits at 49.5, below the 60 recessionary threshold, making Ferguson the hawkish outlier against El-Erian and JPMorgan expecting dovish guidance.
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Former Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Roger Ferguson expects two interest rate hikes across the rest of 2026 and early 2027, warning that persistent inflation could damage the central bank's credibility if officials fail to act. His forecast is more hawkish than those of observers expecting only one increase.

#hikes #credibility
2 months ago

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