5 days ago
For the recently reported second quarter, PicS N.V. (NASDAQ:PICS) outperformed relative to its previous guidance across all profitability metrics. The total account base for the company went up to 70.4 million during the second quarter, showcasing a 10% jump from the prior year. Moving on to the bottom line figures, the adjusted earnings before tax, without factoring in costs ******* ociated with stock-based compensation came in at R$291 million for the quarter. This represented a 2.1% outperformance relative to the company's R$285 million guidance. Similarly, compared to the R$245 million projection, adjusted net income for the period actually stood 15.5% higher at R$283 million.
welcomia/Shutterstock.com
The second quarter concluded with strong financial and operating momentum for PicS. The company recorded a 9% annual and 2% sequential growth in its client base, which went up to 45.4 million active users. The total credit portfolio jumped to R$31.9 billion, exceeding management's guidance by 3%. This outperformance came due to a higher number of mature credit card cohorts, and accelerated origination within secured and partly secured categories. An additional factor that accounted for the credit portfolio growth was management's measured expansion into higher risk areas such as newer platform credit and private payroll lending.
Managerial revenue rose to R$3,730 million, topping guidance by 3.6%, and net interest income reached R$2,002 million, 5.4% above projections, boosted by growing credit income. Total cash in totaled R$136.4 billion, up 17% from a year earlier and 9% from the previous quarter, with customers bringing in an average of approximately R$45.4 billion to the platform each month. Total deposits climbed to R$35.8 billion, a 45% yearly jump and 10% quarterly rise.
Some concerns related to the company's loan portfolio emerged during the quarter. Non-performing loans more than 90 days overdue increased to 9.8% of the credit portfolio during the quarter, up 93 basis points sequentially. Stage 3 exposure, which includes a broader set of credit-impaired loans, reached 12.9% of the total credit portfolio.
#million #credit #quarter #Portfolio
welcomia/Shutterstock.com
The second quarter concluded with strong financial and operating momentum for PicS. The company recorded a 9% annual and 2% sequential growth in its client base, which went up to 45.4 million active users. The total credit portfolio jumped to R$31.9 billion, exceeding management's guidance by 3%. This outperformance came due to a higher number of mature credit card cohorts, and accelerated origination within secured and partly secured categories. An additional factor that accounted for the credit portfolio growth was management's measured expansion into higher risk areas such as newer platform credit and private payroll lending.
Managerial revenue rose to R$3,730 million, topping guidance by 3.6%, and net interest income reached R$2,002 million, 5.4% above projections, boosted by growing credit income. Total cash in totaled R$136.4 billion, up 17% from a year earlier and 9% from the previous quarter, with customers bringing in an average of approximately R$45.4 billion to the platform each month. Total deposits climbed to R$35.8 billion, a 45% yearly jump and 10% quarterly rise.
Some concerns related to the company's loan portfolio emerged during the quarter. Non-performing loans more than 90 days overdue increased to 9.8% of the credit portfolio during the quarter, up 93 basis points sequentially. Stage 3 exposure, which includes a broader set of credit-impaired loans, reached 12.9% of the total credit portfolio.
#million #credit #quarter #Portfolio
5 days ago
NextEra Energy, Inc. (NYSE:NEE) has outlined its growth targets for 2026 and beyond. This comes as the company advances plans to acquire Dominion Energy Inc (NYSE:D). It's a $67 billion all-stock transaction expected to close before the end of next year. If the merger is completed as expected, it would result in the largest US electricity producer.
NextEra's business is already growing, and Dominion is expected to increase the growth rate. The deal's promise is exciting, but its value to investors ultimately depends on NextEra securing regulatory approvals and successfully integrating Dominion ***** ets.
NextEra Energy, Inc. (NYSE:NEE) has reaffirmed its 2026 adjusted EPS guidance of $3.92 to $4.02 and said it was targeting the high end of that range. NextEra also said it expects adjusted EPS to grow at a compound annual rate of at least 8% through 2032 and is targeting the same growth rate through 2035, off the 2025 base.
NextEra also plans to continue rewarding its shareholders with higher dividends. The company expects its dividend per share to grow at a roughly 10% annual rate through 2026, off the 2024 base. It expects the dividend to grow 6% a year through 2028 from the 2026 base.
The EPS and dividend growth projections give investors a financial foundation for evaluating the Dominion deal. NextEra does not need Dominion simply to prevent a growth slowdown. Instead, it's looking to add another growth engine through the acquisition.
#dominion #rate
NextEra's business is already growing, and Dominion is expected to increase the growth rate. The deal's promise is exciting, but its value to investors ultimately depends on NextEra securing regulatory approvals and successfully integrating Dominion ***** ets.
NextEra Energy, Inc. (NYSE:NEE) has reaffirmed its 2026 adjusted EPS guidance of $3.92 to $4.02 and said it was targeting the high end of that range. NextEra also said it expects adjusted EPS to grow at a compound annual rate of at least 8% through 2032 and is targeting the same growth rate through 2035, off the 2025 base.
NextEra also plans to continue rewarding its shareholders with higher dividends. The company expects its dividend per share to grow at a roughly 10% annual rate through 2026, off the 2024 base. It expects the dividend to grow 6% a year through 2028 from the 2026 base.
The EPS and dividend growth projections give investors a financial foundation for evaluating the Dominion deal. NextEra does not need Dominion simply to prevent a growth slowdown. Instead, it's looking to add another growth engine through the acquisition.
#dominion #rate
6 days ago
Happy Friday, traders. Welcome to our weekly market wrap, where we take a look back at these last five trading days with a focus on the market news, economic data, and headlines that had the most impact on gold prices and other key correlated ****** ets—and may continue to in the future.
So, what kind of week has it been?
Gold took a more volatile path than expected but rebounded from a post-FOMC low near $4,260/oz to trade just above $4,350/oz shortly after the US market open on Friday, putting the yellow metal in position for a moderate weekly gain.
The Federal Reserve delivered the week's main event on Wednesday, unanimously raising policy rates by 25 basis points. Gold's sharp initial drop appeared tied less to the hike itself than to projections showing elevated inflation expectations and another 25-basis-point increase before the end of 2026.
Thursday brought the countermove as crude oil slid back toward and then below $100 per barrel, US Treasury yields eased, and gold recovered to around $4,360/oz. The Bank of ****** an's overnight rate hike to 1.25% added another tailwind into Friday.
#Friday #weekly #welcome
So, what kind of week has it been?
Gold took a more volatile path than expected but rebounded from a post-FOMC low near $4,260/oz to trade just above $4,350/oz shortly after the US market open on Friday, putting the yellow metal in position for a moderate weekly gain.
The Federal Reserve delivered the week's main event on Wednesday, unanimously raising policy rates by 25 basis points. Gold's sharp initial drop appeared tied less to the hike itself than to projections showing elevated inflation expectations and another 25-basis-point increase before the end of 2026.
Thursday brought the countermove as crude oil slid back toward and then below $100 per barrel, US Treasury yields eased, and gold recovered to around $4,360/oz. The Bank of ****** an's overnight rate hike to 1.25% added another tailwind into Friday.
#Friday #weekly #welcome
6 days ago
For the recently reported second quarter, PicS N.V. (NASDAQ:PICS) outperformed relative to its previous guidance across all profitability metrics. The total account base for the company went up to 70.4 million during the second quarter, showcasing a 10% jump from the prior year. Moving on to the bottom line figures, the adjusted earnings before tax, without factoring in costs ****** ociated with stock-based compensation came in at R$291 million for the quarter. This represented a 2.1% outperformance relative to the company's R$285 million guidance. Similarly, compared to the R$245 million projection, adjusted net income for the period actually stood 15.5% higher at R$283 million.
welcomia/Shutterstock.com
The second quarter concluded with strong financial and operating momentum for PicS. The company recorded a 9% annual and 2% sequential growth in its client base, which went up to 45.4 million active users. The total credit portfolio jumped to R$31.9 billion, exceeding management's guidance by 3%. This outperformance came due to a higher number of mature credit card cohorts, and accelerated origination within secured and partly secured categories. An additional factor that accounted for the credit portfolio growth was management's measured expansion into higher risk areas such as newer platform credit and private payroll lending.
Managerial revenue rose to R$3,730 million, topping guidance by 3.6%, and net interest income reached R$2,002 million, 5.4% above projections, boosted by growing credit income. Total cash in totaled R$136.4 billion, up 17% from a year earlier and 9% from the previous quarter, with customers bringing in an average of approximately R$45.4 billion to the platform each month. Total deposits climbed to R$35.8 billion, a 45% yearly jump and 10% quarterly rise.
Some concerns related to the company's loan portfolio emerged during the quarter. Non-performing loans more than 90 days overdue increased to 9.8% of the credit portfolio during the quarter, up 93 basis points sequentially. Stage 3 exposure, which includes a broader set of credit-impaired loans, reached 12.9% of the total credit portfolio.
#million #total
welcomia/Shutterstock.com
The second quarter concluded with strong financial and operating momentum for PicS. The company recorded a 9% annual and 2% sequential growth in its client base, which went up to 45.4 million active users. The total credit portfolio jumped to R$31.9 billion, exceeding management's guidance by 3%. This outperformance came due to a higher number of mature credit card cohorts, and accelerated origination within secured and partly secured categories. An additional factor that accounted for the credit portfolio growth was management's measured expansion into higher risk areas such as newer platform credit and private payroll lending.
Managerial revenue rose to R$3,730 million, topping guidance by 3.6%, and net interest income reached R$2,002 million, 5.4% above projections, boosted by growing credit income. Total cash in totaled R$136.4 billion, up 17% from a year earlier and 9% from the previous quarter, with customers bringing in an average of approximately R$45.4 billion to the platform each month. Total deposits climbed to R$35.8 billion, a 45% yearly jump and 10% quarterly rise.
Some concerns related to the company's loan portfolio emerged during the quarter. Non-performing loans more than 90 days overdue increased to 9.8% of the credit portfolio during the quarter, up 93 basis points sequentially. Stage 3 exposure, which includes a broader set of credit-impaired loans, reached 12.9% of the total credit portfolio.
#million #total
7 days ago
Federal Reserve officials pushed back the date they expect inflation to descend to a 2% annual rate.
It was the fifth time since 2021 that the Federal Open Market Committee has extended the timeline to meet its inflation goal.
Although inflation has fallen from its 2022 peak, a return to the 2% target has proved elusive.
Victory in the Federal Reserve's war on inflation is just over two years away. Will it always be?
Officials at the Fed predicted inflation, as measured by the Personal Consumption Expenditures price index, will finally fall to the central bank's target of a 2% annual increase in 2029. That's later than the Federal Open Market Committee's projections in June.
#federal #open #target
It was the fifth time since 2021 that the Federal Open Market Committee has extended the timeline to meet its inflation goal.
Although inflation has fallen from its 2022 peak, a return to the 2% target has proved elusive.
Victory in the Federal Reserve's war on inflation is just over two years away. Will it always be?
Officials at the Fed predicted inflation, as measured by the Personal Consumption Expenditures price index, will finally fall to the central bank's target of a 2% annual increase in 2029. That's later than the Federal Open Market Committee's projections in June.
#federal #open #target
7 days ago
Some offers on this page are from advertisers who pay us, which may affect which products we write about, but not our recommendations. See our Advertiser Disclosure.
Mortgage rates continue to rise as 2026 nears its fourth quarter. What is the outlook for home loan rates in the next five years? Should you wait for mortgage rates to fall significantly before buying or refinancing? Mortgage interest rates are determined by several factors, all of which can give us clues about the future. Let's take a closer look at mortgage rate predictions over the next five years.
Here are the housing market predictions for 2026.
One of the most useful indicators for predicting mortgage rates is the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note. Mortgage rates and 10-year Treasury yields typically move in the same direction, although mortgage rates are usually higher because lenders factor in additional risks. This difference is known as the spread, and we'll account for it when estimating where mortgage rates could go.
With that in mind, the first step is to look at where economists believe Treasury yields are headed over the next five years. To build a forecast, we'll combine expert economic projections with data compiled using artificial intelligence.
#next #five
Mortgage rates continue to rise as 2026 nears its fourth quarter. What is the outlook for home loan rates in the next five years? Should you wait for mortgage rates to fall significantly before buying or refinancing? Mortgage interest rates are determined by several factors, all of which can give us clues about the future. Let's take a closer look at mortgage rate predictions over the next five years.
Here are the housing market predictions for 2026.
One of the most useful indicators for predicting mortgage rates is the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note. Mortgage rates and 10-year Treasury yields typically move in the same direction, although mortgage rates are usually higher because lenders factor in additional risks. This difference is known as the spread, and we'll account for it when estimating where mortgage rates could go.
With that in mind, the first step is to look at where economists believe Treasury yields are headed over the next five years. To build a forecast, we'll combine expert economic projections with data compiled using artificial intelligence.
#next #five
7 days ago
By Michael S. Derby
WASHINGTON, Sept 16 (Reuters) - Federal Reserve officials expect one more interest rate increase this year after raising rates on Wednesday and expect to hold them steady in 2027, quarterly projections released after their latest policy meeting showed.
At the same time, policymakers also marked up their near-term inflation outlook.
The forecasts were released as policymakers raised the target rate for fed funds by a quarter of a percentage point to 3.75%-4.00%, which was widely expected. Their new forecasts see rates coming back down in 2028 and for the federal funds rate to stand at between 3.50% and 3.75% in 2029.
In June, Fed officials in their projections had penciled in one quarter-percentage-point rate rise this year and a cut of the same amount in 2027.
#federal
WASHINGTON, Sept 16 (Reuters) - Federal Reserve officials expect one more interest rate increase this year after raising rates on Wednesday and expect to hold them steady in 2027, quarterly projections released after their latest policy meeting showed.
At the same time, policymakers also marked up their near-term inflation outlook.
The forecasts were released as policymakers raised the target rate for fed funds by a quarter of a percentage point to 3.75%-4.00%, which was widely expected. Their new forecasts see rates coming back down in 2028 and for the federal funds rate to stand at between 3.50% and 3.75% in 2029.
In June, Fed officials in their projections had penciled in one quarter-percentage-point rate rise this year and a cut of the same amount in 2027.
#federal
7 days ago
The Federal Reserve voted to raise interest rates by 25 basis points on Wednesday to a range of 3.75%-4% amid persistently high inflation. The decision was unanimous.
The median Fed official expects one more rate hike this year, according to the central bank's Summary of Economic Projections, also known as the dot plot.
The move was the Fed's first increase in the fed funds rate since 2023, when the Jerome Powell-led central bank concluded its post-pandemic hiking campaign. It was also largely priced in by the market, even as Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh has been adamant about not providing markets with forward guidance.
Read more: How the Fed rate decision affects your bank accounts, loans, credit cards, and investments
Stocks were little changed when the decision was first announced but turned lower during Warsh's brief press conference.
#rate
The median Fed official expects one more rate hike this year, according to the central bank's Summary of Economic Projections, also known as the dot plot.
The move was the Fed's first increase in the fed funds rate since 2023, when the Jerome Powell-led central bank concluded its post-pandemic hiking campaign. It was also largely priced in by the market, even as Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh has been adamant about not providing markets with forward guidance.
Read more: How the Fed rate decision affects your bank accounts, loans, credit cards, and investments
Stocks were little changed when the decision was first announced but turned lower during Warsh's brief press conference.
#rate
7 days ago
US stocks slipped after the Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 25 basis points to a target range of 3.75%-4% and hinted at another rate hike in 2026.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) fell 1.2%, while the S&P 500 (^GSPC) dropped 0.4%. The Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) was little changed.
Long-dated bond yields rose, with the 10-year yield (^TNX) topping 5% once again.
The Fed's decision to hike interest rates for the first time in three years was a unanimous decision. The Fed's Summary of Economic Projections showed that officials see one more rate hike this year.
"Today's policy action will support a timelier return to the Committee's 2 percent goal," the FOMC policy statement said, which Warsh underscored in his press conference.
#interest #federal #reserve
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) fell 1.2%, while the S&P 500 (^GSPC) dropped 0.4%. The Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) was little changed.
Long-dated bond yields rose, with the 10-year yield (^TNX) topping 5% once again.
The Fed's decision to hike interest rates for the first time in three years was a unanimous decision. The Fed's Summary of Economic Projections showed that officials see one more rate hike this year.
"Today's policy action will support a timelier return to the Committee's 2 percent goal," the FOMC policy statement said, which Warsh underscored in his press conference.
#interest #federal #reserve
8 days ago
NEW YORK, Sept 16 (Reuters) - The Federal Reserve raised interest rates on Wednesday and flagged further increases in borrowing costs in coming months, with new US central bank chief Kevin Warsh joining a unanimous decision that effectively acknowledges the Trump administration's inability so far to control inflation.
Speaking in Washington after the decision's release, Warsh echoed the official statement in promising the Fed's policy committee would "deliver price stability." Stocks and bonds sold off late Wednesday afternoon, reflecting expectations that rates may continue to rise for some time.
New policy projections showed 16 of 18 policymakers anticipate at least one more quarter-percentage-point hike by the end of this year, with only two of them seeing rates remaining stable from here. Warsh apparently again did not submit a rate projection.
It's the first policy shift under the new Fed chief, who took office in late May after being selected by Trump with an expectation that he would cut rates.
The Fed's new policy statement and economic projections, to the contrary, show a central bank opening the door on tighter monetary policy through next year, with the policy rate rising to the 4.00%-4.25% range by the end of this year and ending 2027 at the same level.
#rates #warsh #year #chief
Speaking in Washington after the decision's release, Warsh echoed the official statement in promising the Fed's policy committee would "deliver price stability." Stocks and bonds sold off late Wednesday afternoon, reflecting expectations that rates may continue to rise for some time.
New policy projections showed 16 of 18 policymakers anticipate at least one more quarter-percentage-point hike by the end of this year, with only two of them seeing rates remaining stable from here. Warsh apparently again did not submit a rate projection.
It's the first policy shift under the new Fed chief, who took office in late May after being selected by Trump with an expectation that he would cut rates.
The Fed's new policy statement and economic projections, to the contrary, show a central bank opening the door on tighter monetary policy through next year, with the policy rate rising to the 4.00%-4.25% range by the end of this year and ending 2027 at the same level.
#rates #warsh #year #chief
8 days ago
Most Federal Open Market Committee members see the need for at least one more 25 basis point rate hike this year, as 12 out of 18 members that submitted projections pegged their view of appropriate monetary policy in 2026 at an average of 4.125%.
That rate implies one more 25 basis point hike to come by year-end.
Read more: The Fed's dot plot explained
Four committee members see 50 more basis points' worth of rate hikes in 2026 as appropriate, while only two members see no more hikes this year — suggesting that the new effective target rate of 3.75% to 4% is adequate.
The Summary of Economic Projections, also known as the "dot plot," does not label projections with the names of the Federal Reserve members who made them.
#basis #year #committee
That rate implies one more 25 basis point hike to come by year-end.
Read more: The Fed's dot plot explained
Four committee members see 50 more basis points' worth of rate hikes in 2026 as appropriate, while only two members see no more hikes this year — suggesting that the new effective target rate of 3.75% to 4% is adequate.
The Summary of Economic Projections, also known as the "dot plot," does not label projections with the names of the Federal Reserve members who made them.
#basis #year #committee
8 days ago
The Federal Reserve raised its benchmark interest rate by a quarter percentage point on Wednesday, the first increase since July 2023, with Fed Chair Kevin Warsh saying inflation has been "too high ... for too long."
The decision, reached by a unanimous 12-0 vote of the Federal Open Market Committee, brings the federal funds rate to a new target range of 3.75%–4%. The Fed's post-meeting statement pointed to persistent price pressures and a durable economy, declaring: "Inflation remains elevated. Today's policy action will support a timelier return to the Committee's 2 percent goal. The Committee will deliver price stability."
At a news conference following the decision, Warsh said the Fed needed to be confident "that underlying inflation is moving to our objective clearly and at sufficient speed," adding that the FOMC had determined "this standard has not been satisfied." He pointed to three converging factors — a robust labor market, inflation still running above target, and ongoing conflict in the Middle East — as driving the committee's unanimous vote.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average shed more than 400 points in afternoon trading following the Fed's move. The S&P 500 and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite also slumped.
Updated economic projections released Wednesday showed FOMC participants nudged their inflation forecasts higher. The median projection for headline PCE inflation this year rose to 3.7% and core PCE to 3.4%, each up 0.1 percentage point from the June forecast, the Fed said. Officials do not expect inflation to return to the 2% target until 2029. The median unemployment rate projection for 2026 fell to 4.1%, down from 4.3% in June, while the GDP growth outlook rose to 2.3% from 2.2%.
#federal #rate #committee
The decision, reached by a unanimous 12-0 vote of the Federal Open Market Committee, brings the federal funds rate to a new target range of 3.75%–4%. The Fed's post-meeting statement pointed to persistent price pressures and a durable economy, declaring: "Inflation remains elevated. Today's policy action will support a timelier return to the Committee's 2 percent goal. The Committee will deliver price stability."
At a news conference following the decision, Warsh said the Fed needed to be confident "that underlying inflation is moving to our objective clearly and at sufficient speed," adding that the FOMC had determined "this standard has not been satisfied." He pointed to three converging factors — a robust labor market, inflation still running above target, and ongoing conflict in the Middle East — as driving the committee's unanimous vote.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average shed more than 400 points in afternoon trading following the Fed's move. The S&P 500 and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite also slumped.
Updated economic projections released Wednesday showed FOMC participants nudged their inflation forecasts higher. The median projection for headline PCE inflation this year rose to 3.7% and core PCE to 3.4%, each up 0.1 percentage point from the June forecast, the Fed said. Officials do not expect inflation to return to the 2% target until 2029. The median unemployment rate projection for 2026 fell to 4.1%, down from 4.3% in June, while the GDP growth outlook rose to 2.3% from 2.2%.
#federal #rate #committee
8 days ago
Some offers on this page are from advertisers who pay us, which may affect which products we write about, but not our recommendations. See our Advertiser Disclosure.
Mortgage rates continue to rise as 2026 nears its fourth quarter. What is the outlook for home loan rates in the next five years? Should you wait for mortgage rates to fall significantly before buying or refinancing? Mortgage interest rates are determined by several factors, all of which can give us clues about the future. Let's take a closer look at mortgage rate predictions over the next five years.
Here are the housing market predictions for 2026.
One of the most useful indicators for predicting mortgage rates is the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note. Mortgage rates and 10-year Treasury yields typically move in the same direction, although mortgage rates are usually higher because lenders factor in additional risks. This difference is known as the spread, and we'll account for it when estimating where mortgage rates could go.
With that in mind, the first step is to look at where economists believe Treasury yields are headed over the next five years. To build a forecast, we'll combine expert economic projections with data compiled using artificial intelligence.
#rates #five #yields
Mortgage rates continue to rise as 2026 nears its fourth quarter. What is the outlook for home loan rates in the next five years? Should you wait for mortgage rates to fall significantly before buying or refinancing? Mortgage interest rates are determined by several factors, all of which can give us clues about the future. Let's take a closer look at mortgage rate predictions over the next five years.
Here are the housing market predictions for 2026.
One of the most useful indicators for predicting mortgage rates is the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note. Mortgage rates and 10-year Treasury yields typically move in the same direction, although mortgage rates are usually higher because lenders factor in additional risks. This difference is known as the spread, and we'll account for it when estimating where mortgage rates could go.
With that in mind, the first step is to look at where economists believe Treasury yields are headed over the next five years. To build a forecast, we'll combine expert economic projections with data compiled using artificial intelligence.
#rates #five #yields
8 days ago
Brace for minor market tremors now that the Fed has hiked interest rates by 0.25%.
Although if history holds up, any losses could prove short-lived.
The S&P 500 (^GSPC) has declined by an average of 4.0% over the six weeks following the first Fed rate hike of a cycle across seven such episodes since 1988, per new ****** ysis from strategists at The Kobeissi Letter.
Stocks recovered all of those losses over the next five to six weeks on average.
In the six months following the first interest rate hike, the S&P 500 returned 4% on average. After 12 months, the S&P 500's average gain tallied 9%. Positive returns have occurred in every episode except 2022 over the 12 months.
"Fed rate hikes have historically been great buying opportunities," the strategists added.
Read more: Follow live coverage of the Fed meeting
The decision by the Fed to lift rates comes as sticky inflation readings — from the CPI to PPI — and rising energy costs force central bankers back into tightening mode. The rate hike marks the central bank's first interest rate increase since July 2023.
Investors are also focused on the updated economic projections and the Fed's "dot plot" to gauge future moves on rates — said dot plot didn't rule out one more hike this year. A hawkish dot plot as was received and follow up commentary from Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh could further elevate borrowing costs and pressure stocks initially around the world.
#rate #hike #first #plot
Although if history holds up, any losses could prove short-lived.
The S&P 500 (^GSPC) has declined by an average of 4.0% over the six weeks following the first Fed rate hike of a cycle across seven such episodes since 1988, per new ****** ysis from strategists at The Kobeissi Letter.
Stocks recovered all of those losses over the next five to six weeks on average.
In the six months following the first interest rate hike, the S&P 500 returned 4% on average. After 12 months, the S&P 500's average gain tallied 9%. Positive returns have occurred in every episode except 2022 over the 12 months.
"Fed rate hikes have historically been great buying opportunities," the strategists added.
Read more: Follow live coverage of the Fed meeting
The decision by the Fed to lift rates comes as sticky inflation readings — from the CPI to PPI — and rising energy costs force central bankers back into tightening mode. The rate hike marks the central bank's first interest rate increase since July 2023.
Investors are also focused on the updated economic projections and the Fed's "dot plot" to gauge future moves on rates — said dot plot didn't rule out one more hike this year. A hawkish dot plot as was received and follow up commentary from Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh could further elevate borrowing costs and pressure stocks initially around the world.
#rate #hike #first #plot
8 days ago
Ciena stock rebounds 4% as investors reprice CEO Gary Smith's projection of a $10B backlog by fiscal year-end, despite a 19% monthly slide.
Arista rises just 2% and Cisco barely moves at 0.4%, confirming today's surge is Ciena's own order book story, not a broad networking rally.
CFO Marc Graff guided for at least 30% revenue growth next fiscal year, backed by backlog that extends beyond that period.
Read More: Learn 7 secret wealth tips high net worth investors use that most investors miss (sponsor)
Ciena (NYSE:CIEN) stock is climbing early Wednesday, up 4% to $347.60. The advance is a rebound rather than a breakout, since Ciena stock is down 19% over the past month. No fresh company news landed this morning, and the market is re-pricing disclosures Ciena made at the start of September, when the company reported record quarterly results with revenue at the top end of guidance.
#backlog
Arista rises just 2% and Cisco barely moves at 0.4%, confirming today's surge is Ciena's own order book story, not a broad networking rally.
CFO Marc Graff guided for at least 30% revenue growth next fiscal year, backed by backlog that extends beyond that period.
Read More: Learn 7 secret wealth tips high net worth investors use that most investors miss (sponsor)
Ciena (NYSE:CIEN) stock is climbing early Wednesday, up 4% to $347.60. The advance is a rebound rather than a breakout, since Ciena stock is down 19% over the past month. No fresh company news landed this morning, and the market is re-pricing disclosures Ciena made at the start of September, when the company reported record quarterly results with revenue at the top end of guidance.
#backlog
8 days ago
Stock futures are higher after two days of losses for major indexes as traders await the Federal Reserve's decision on interest rates; the Fed is widely expected to raise its benchmark interest rate for the first time in three years to tame inflation; the European Union could add Canada as an "associate member" amid the country's growing trade war with the Trump administration; shares of SK Hynix and Intel are climbing following a report that the companies could partner to build chips in the U.S.; and retail sales data is due this morning. Here's what you need to know today.
Stock futures are rising this morning ahead of the highly anticipated Federal Reserve decision on interest rates. Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 futures were each up 0.3% in recent trading while futures tracking the tech-heavy Nasdaq added 0.6%. The major indexes fell Tuesday for the second straight session as oil prices and government bond yields rose. WTI crude oil futures were recently down more more than 2% at $103.50 per barrel after hitting a fresh four-month high yesterday. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note was at 4.97%, after jumping as high as 5.04% in yesterday's session, the highest point since the financial crisis of 2007. Bitcoin was holding steady at $76,100, after the cryptocurrency slumped yesterday as the Clarity Act failed to pass through a cloture vote in the Senate. Gold futures were up 1% to $4,390 an ounce.
The Federal Reserve's policy committee will wrap up its two-day meeting this afternoon amid expectations that the central bank will hike its benchmark rate for the first time in three years to address mounting inflationary pressure. The Federal Open Market Committee's decision is scheduled to be released at 2:00 p.m. ET, along with quarterly economic projections from FOMC members. Fed Chair Kevin Warsh, who took over the top position in May, has said repeatedly the Fed is squarely focussed on bringing inflation down to the Fed's target. Recent inflation data has confirmed that price pressures persist as oil prices rise owing to the Iran war. Investors will be looking for additional insights from Warsh, who is scheduled to speak at a press conference half an hour after the decision is announced. A rate hike is meant to raise borrowing costs, slowing economic activity such that inflation moderates. The challenge the Fed faces is that it can't address the underlying causes of the inflation, including the Iran war, tariffs and rampant corporate spending on AI.
#interest
Stock futures are rising this morning ahead of the highly anticipated Federal Reserve decision on interest rates. Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 futures were each up 0.3% in recent trading while futures tracking the tech-heavy Nasdaq added 0.6%. The major indexes fell Tuesday for the second straight session as oil prices and government bond yields rose. WTI crude oil futures were recently down more more than 2% at $103.50 per barrel after hitting a fresh four-month high yesterday. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note was at 4.97%, after jumping as high as 5.04% in yesterday's session, the highest point since the financial crisis of 2007. Bitcoin was holding steady at $76,100, after the cryptocurrency slumped yesterday as the Clarity Act failed to pass through a cloture vote in the Senate. Gold futures were up 1% to $4,390 an ounce.
The Federal Reserve's policy committee will wrap up its two-day meeting this afternoon amid expectations that the central bank will hike its benchmark rate for the first time in three years to address mounting inflationary pressure. The Federal Open Market Committee's decision is scheduled to be released at 2:00 p.m. ET, along with quarterly economic projections from FOMC members. Fed Chair Kevin Warsh, who took over the top position in May, has said repeatedly the Fed is squarely focussed on bringing inflation down to the Fed's target. Recent inflation data has confirmed that price pressures persist as oil prices rise owing to the Iran war. Investors will be looking for additional insights from Warsh, who is scheduled to speak at a press conference half an hour after the decision is announced. A rate hike is meant to raise borrowing costs, slowing economic activity such that inflation moderates. The challenge the Fed faces is that it can't address the underlying causes of the inflation, including the Iran war, tariffs and rampant corporate spending on AI.
#interest
9 days ago
The Federal Reserve's September policy meeting kicked off Tuesday morning, and markets overwhelmingly expect the Fed to raise interest rates by 25 basis points on Wednesday amid persistently high inflation.
Such a move would mark the Fed's first increase in the fed funds rate since 2023, when the Jerome Powell-led central bank concluded its post-pandemic hiking campaign. However, inflation has now remained above the Fed's 2% target for more than five years, with the war in the Middle East serving as the latest driver of higher prices.
As Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh said in his Jackson Hole Symposium speech in August, "We have work to do."
Still, a hold isn't entirely off the table — even as traders price in a 92% chance of a Fed rate hike, according to CME Group's FedWatch tool. Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh has been adamant about not providing markets with forward guidance on interest rate decisions, preferring that officials have a "good family fight" over the data at FOMC meetings.
In addition to the intrigue over whether the Fed will hike rates, markets will closely scrutinize the Fed's Summary of Economic Projections, the so-called dot plot, for clues about monetary policy in the next few years.
#federal
Such a move would mark the Fed's first increase in the fed funds rate since 2023, when the Jerome Powell-led central bank concluded its post-pandemic hiking campaign. However, inflation has now remained above the Fed's 2% target for more than five years, with the war in the Middle East serving as the latest driver of higher prices.
As Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh said in his Jackson Hole Symposium speech in August, "We have work to do."
Still, a hold isn't entirely off the table — even as traders price in a 92% chance of a Fed rate hike, according to CME Group's FedWatch tool. Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh has been adamant about not providing markets with forward guidance on interest rate decisions, preferring that officials have a "good family fight" over the data at FOMC meetings.
In addition to the intrigue over whether the Fed will hike rates, markets will closely scrutinize the Fed's Summary of Economic Projections, the so-called dot plot, for clues about monetary policy in the next few years.
#federal
9 days ago
The Federal Reserve is expected to raise its benchmark interest rate by a quarter percentage point at its meeting Wednesday, which would mark the first increase since July 2023, according to CNBC. CME Group's FedWatch tool showed traders placing odds above 90% on a hike, an outcome that would set the federal funds rate target range at 3.75%–4%.
That would follow a period in which the FOMC reduced rates on six separate occasions totaling 175 basis points from July 2023 through early 2026, according to CNBC. Since then, a string of discouraging inflation readings, a firm labor market, and crude oil prices rising back above $100 a barrel — driven by the conflict involving Iran — have shifted the calculus toward tightening.
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's remarks at the Fed's annual Jackson Hole symposium helped accelerate that shift, according to CNBC. As recently as a month ago, futures markets put the probability of a hike at only 36%.
The path to Wednesday's expected decision reflects a committee that had been moving in a hawkish direction for months. At the June meeting — Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's first — the committee voted 12–0 to hold rates steady, but the Fed released projections showing nine of 18 officials favored at least one rate hike before year-end. Consumer prices had risen 4.2% year-over-year in May, a three-year high. Warsh said at the time that the Fed's commitment to bringing down inflation was "strong, unanimous, and unambiguous."
Minutes from the July meeting, when the committee held rates steady on a fractured 9–3 vote, showed hawkish sentiment extended beyond the three dissenting regional bank presidents who had pushed for an immediate increase. The minutes indicated that "some policy firming would likely be warranted" if inflation remained persistent, driven by factors including AI-fueled demand, Middle East energy disruptions, or tariff pass-through.
#cnbc #hike #rates #inflation
That would follow a period in which the FOMC reduced rates on six separate occasions totaling 175 basis points from July 2023 through early 2026, according to CNBC. Since then, a string of discouraging inflation readings, a firm labor market, and crude oil prices rising back above $100 a barrel — driven by the conflict involving Iran — have shifted the calculus toward tightening.
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's remarks at the Fed's annual Jackson Hole symposium helped accelerate that shift, according to CNBC. As recently as a month ago, futures markets put the probability of a hike at only 36%.
The path to Wednesday's expected decision reflects a committee that had been moving in a hawkish direction for months. At the June meeting — Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's first — the committee voted 12–0 to hold rates steady, but the Fed released projections showing nine of 18 officials favored at least one rate hike before year-end. Consumer prices had risen 4.2% year-over-year in May, a three-year high. Warsh said at the time that the Fed's commitment to bringing down inflation was "strong, unanimous, and unambiguous."
Minutes from the July meeting, when the committee held rates steady on a fractured 9–3 vote, showed hawkish sentiment extended beyond the three dissenting regional bank presidents who had pushed for an immediate increase. The minutes indicated that "some policy firming would likely be warranted" if inflation remained persistent, driven by factors including AI-fueled demand, Middle East energy disruptions, or tariff pass-through.
#cnbc #hike #rates #inflation
9 days ago
The Federal Reserve's September policy meeting kicked off Tuesday morning, and markets overwhelmingly expect the Fed to raise interest rates by 25 basis points on Wednesday amid persistently high inflation.
Such a move would mark the Fed's first increase in the fed funds rate since 2023, when the Jerome Powell-led central bank concluded its post-pandemic hiking campaign. However, inflation has now remained above the Fed's 2% target for more than five years, with the war in the Middle East serving as the latest driver of higher prices.
As Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh said in his Jackson Hole Symposium speech in August, "We have work to do."
Still, a hold isn't entirely off the table — even as traders price in a 92% chance of a Fed rate hike, according to CME Group's FedWatch tool. Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh has been adamant about not providing markets with forward guidance on interest rate decisions, preferring that officials have a "good family fight" over the data at FOMC meetings.
In addition to the intrigue over whether the Fed will hike rates, markets will closely scrutinize the Fed's Summary of Economic Projections, the so-called dot plot, for clues about monetary policy in the next few years.
#rate #warsh #interest #inflation
Such a move would mark the Fed's first increase in the fed funds rate since 2023, when the Jerome Powell-led central bank concluded its post-pandemic hiking campaign. However, inflation has now remained above the Fed's 2% target for more than five years, with the war in the Middle East serving as the latest driver of higher prices.
As Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh said in his Jackson Hole Symposium speech in August, "We have work to do."
Still, a hold isn't entirely off the table — even as traders price in a 92% chance of a Fed rate hike, according to CME Group's FedWatch tool. Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh has been adamant about not providing markets with forward guidance on interest rate decisions, preferring that officials have a "good family fight" over the data at FOMC meetings.
In addition to the intrigue over whether the Fed will hike rates, markets will closely scrutinize the Fed's Summary of Economic Projections, the so-called dot plot, for clues about monetary policy in the next few years.
#rate #warsh #interest #inflation
11 days ago
Ja'Marr Chase, George Pickens and other fantasy football bad beats not to worry about appeared first on ClutchPoints. Add ClutchPoints as a Preferred Source by clicking here.
Week 1 can make fantasy managers question an entire summer of research. A first-round receiver disappears, a breakout candidate misses his projection and suddenly the trade block looks tempting. The better approach is to separate disappointing box scores from genuinely concerning roles. Ja'Marr Chase and George Pickens hurt lineups in Week 1, but neither performance provided a good reason to panic.
Mandatory Credit: Denny Medley-Imagn Images
Chase delivered the most shocking dud of the opening weekend, catching two of four targets for only 12 yards in Cincinnati's 33-27 victory over Tampa Bay. He finished behind Mike Gesicki, Tee Higgins and Chase Brown in targets despite entering the week as fantasy football's consensus top wide receiver.
The four targets were frustrating, but the result looks more like an outlier than a changing offensive hierarchy. Chase's 3.2 PPR points represented the second-worst fantasy performance of his career. He has also averaged 5.5 fewer fantasy points in September than during every other month, demonstrating that slow starts are nothing new.
#fantasy #george #receiver
Week 1 can make fantasy managers question an entire summer of research. A first-round receiver disappears, a breakout candidate misses his projection and suddenly the trade block looks tempting. The better approach is to separate disappointing box scores from genuinely concerning roles. Ja'Marr Chase and George Pickens hurt lineups in Week 1, but neither performance provided a good reason to panic.
Mandatory Credit: Denny Medley-Imagn Images
Chase delivered the most shocking dud of the opening weekend, catching two of four targets for only 12 yards in Cincinnati's 33-27 victory over Tampa Bay. He finished behind Mike Gesicki, Tee Higgins and Chase Brown in targets despite entering the week as fantasy football's consensus top wide receiver.
The four targets were frustrating, but the result looks more like an outlier than a changing offensive hierarchy. Chase's 3.2 PPR points represented the second-worst fantasy performance of his career. He has also averaged 5.5 fewer fantasy points in September than during every other month, demonstrating that slow starts are nothing new.
#fantasy #george #receiver
11 days ago
Nuggets projected to see big Jamal Murray leap to help Nikola Jokic, but there's a catch originally appeared on The Sporting News. Add The Sporting News as a Preferred Source by clicking here.
Championship windows are closing for some squads in the NBA. The Denver Nuggets will have to watch this happen in real time. Nikola Jokic is starting to approach the twilight of his prime and everyone around him should act fast to maximize that. Jamal Murray is usually the tipping point that decides whether they do well. For the 2026-27 NBA season, luck is on the side of Mile High City and their fans.
Will Murray rise to become an All-Star and All-NBA selection once again? Let's break it down!
Shot diet was the main reason the Nuggets struggled against opponents during the 2025-26 NBA season. They attempted 87.8 field goals per game, ranking 26th in the NBA. Denver shot an impressive 39.6% from three and 49.6% from the field, ranking first and second in the league, respectively, which means they should try to stuff the rim more from all parts of the floor.
This is where Jamal Murray comes in to help the Nuggets led by Nikola Jokic. His Basketball Reference Per 36 Minutes Projections for the 2026-27 NBA season are as follows:
#nuggets #jokic #shot
Championship windows are closing for some squads in the NBA. The Denver Nuggets will have to watch this happen in real time. Nikola Jokic is starting to approach the twilight of his prime and everyone around him should act fast to maximize that. Jamal Murray is usually the tipping point that decides whether they do well. For the 2026-27 NBA season, luck is on the side of Mile High City and their fans.
Will Murray rise to become an All-Star and All-NBA selection once again? Let's break it down!
Shot diet was the main reason the Nuggets struggled against opponents during the 2025-26 NBA season. They attempted 87.8 field goals per game, ranking 26th in the NBA. Denver shot an impressive 39.6% from three and 49.6% from the field, ranking first and second in the league, respectively, which means they should try to stuff the rim more from all parts of the floor.
This is where Jamal Murray comes in to help the Nuggets led by Nikola Jokic. His Basketball Reference Per 36 Minutes Projections for the 2026-27 NBA season are as follows:
#nuggets #jokic #shot
13 days ago
For most of your adult life, you have decided which card comes out of your wallet. Maybe it is the one with the best cashback. Maybe it is the one on top.
That decision is starting to move to software.
More than one in 10 online shoppers will routinely use AI agents to shop and pay by 2030, according to a report published Sept. 8, 2026 by Mastercard (MA). That works out to more than 300 million people worldwide.
The number reads like a distant projection. Recent US data suggests the behavior is already further along than that.
The report, ******* led "A short history of the future of shopping and payments," pairs original consumer research with predictions from four futurists in the US, Europe and Asia, according to Mastercard.
#maybe
That decision is starting to move to software.
More than one in 10 online shoppers will routinely use AI agents to shop and pay by 2030, according to a report published Sept. 8, 2026 by Mastercard (MA). That works out to more than 300 million people worldwide.
The number reads like a distant projection. Recent US data suggests the behavior is already further along than that.
The report, ******* led "A short history of the future of shopping and payments," pairs original consumer research with predictions from four futurists in the US, Europe and Asia, according to Mastercard.
#maybe
13 days ago
The Cooper Companies Inc. (NASDAQ:COO), a leading medical device company, announced its third quarter fiscal 2026 results on September 9. Topline went up 1% to $1.066 billion in comparison with the same quarter last year, which also included 1% organic growth. The company posted quarterly adjusted diluted EPS of $1.15, which represented a 4% jump from Q3 FY25. During the quarter, $339.1 million was spent on repurchasing around 4.9 million of the company's common shares. This leaves management with $1.5 billion of repurchase capacity, which remains available after the Board had raised its buyback authorization from $2 billion to $3 billion.
The quarter featured several encouraging highlights. These include earnings that exceeded projections, notable growth across the fertility segment within CooperSurgical, record free cash flow generation, and a major tax resolution in the company's favor.
GAAP gross margin went up from 65% in Q3 FY25 to 67% during the recent quarter, largely reflecting the comparison against fiscal 2025 inventory write-downs tied to a CooperSurgical product line exit. Adjusted operating margin improved by 30 basis points to 26%, supported by cost discipline and productivity gains, though partly offset by currency headwinds.
Interest expense fell to $21.5 million from $25.4 million a year prior, reflecting lower rates and reduced average debt. Free cash flow surged 66% to $273.0 million, driven by $341.7 million in operating cash flow less $68.7 million in capital spending.
Due to unfavorable currency movements and rising manufacturing costs, the Q3 gross margin settled at 67% on adjusted basis. This was a 60 basis point drop from Q3 FY25. Certain areas of the business grant caution, such as the CooperVision segment. It generated flat organic growth amid notable weakness across the Asia Pacific and Americas regions.
#billion #cash
The quarter featured several encouraging highlights. These include earnings that exceeded projections, notable growth across the fertility segment within CooperSurgical, record free cash flow generation, and a major tax resolution in the company's favor.
GAAP gross margin went up from 65% in Q3 FY25 to 67% during the recent quarter, largely reflecting the comparison against fiscal 2025 inventory write-downs tied to a CooperSurgical product line exit. Adjusted operating margin improved by 30 basis points to 26%, supported by cost discipline and productivity gains, though partly offset by currency headwinds.
Interest expense fell to $21.5 million from $25.4 million a year prior, reflecting lower rates and reduced average debt. Free cash flow surged 66% to $273.0 million, driven by $341.7 million in operating cash flow less $68.7 million in capital spending.
Due to unfavorable currency movements and rising manufacturing costs, the Q3 gross margin settled at 67% on adjusted basis. This was a 60 basis point drop from Q3 FY25. Certain areas of the business grant caution, such as the CooperVision segment. It generated flat organic growth amid notable weakness across the Asia Pacific and Americas regions.
#billion #cash
14 days ago
Corn futures were busy squaring up ahead of the Friday USDA report, closing Thursday with gains of 5 to 7 cents across the board. The CmdtyView national average Cash Corn price was up 6 cents at $4.87.
The weekly EIA report showed ethanol production at 1.099 million barrels per day in the week of 9/4, down 11,000 bpd from the week prior. Stocks saw a 152,000 barrel increase to 25.187 million barrels, which is 10.29% above the same week last year.
Arabica Coffee Falls Sharply on ICO Projections for Record Coffee Production
Sugar Prices Climb as Crude Oil Soars
Can Soybeans Remain in the Teens?
#million #USDA
The weekly EIA report showed ethanol production at 1.099 million barrels per day in the week of 9/4, down 11,000 bpd from the week prior. Stocks saw a 152,000 barrel increase to 25.187 million barrels, which is 10.29% above the same week last year.
Arabica Coffee Falls Sharply on ICO Projections for Record Coffee Production
Sugar Prices Climb as Crude Oil Soars
Can Soybeans Remain in the Teens?
#million #USDA
14 days ago
Soybeans were in rally mode on Thursday, with contracts 13 to 22 cents higher across most contracts. The cmdtyView national average Cash Bean price was up 22 1/2 cents at $12.74 ½. Soymeal futures saw gains of $2.30 to $5.50, as Soy Oil rallied 102 to 135 points.
USDA reported private export sale announcements of 272,000 MT of soybeans to China for 2026/27 and 206,500 MT of 2026/27 beans to unknown destinations this morning. Weekly Export Sales data will be out on Friday morning, with ****** ysts surveyed by Reuters looking for no sales to net cancellations of 500,000 MT for 2025/26 soybeans. New crop sales are seen in a range of 1 to 2.6 MMT in the week of September 3. Soybean meal sales are expected to be in a range of 150,000 to 950,000 MT, with 0 to 12,000 MT
Arabica Coffee Falls Sharply on ICO Projections for Record Coffee Production
Sugar Prices Climb as Crude Oil Soars
Can Soybeans Remain in the Teens?
#export #cash
USDA reported private export sale announcements of 272,000 MT of soybeans to China for 2026/27 and 206,500 MT of 2026/27 beans to unknown destinations this morning. Weekly Export Sales data will be out on Friday morning, with ****** ysts surveyed by Reuters looking for no sales to net cancellations of 500,000 MT for 2025/26 soybeans. New crop sales are seen in a range of 1 to 2.6 MMT in the week of September 3. Soybean meal sales are expected to be in a range of 150,000 to 950,000 MT, with 0 to 12,000 MT
Arabica Coffee Falls Sharply on ICO Projections for Record Coffee Production
Sugar Prices Climb as Crude Oil Soars
Can Soybeans Remain in the Teens?
#export #cash
14 days ago
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Mortgage rates continue to rise as 2026 nears its fourth quarter. What is the outlook for home loan rates in the next five years? Should you wait for mortgage rates to fall significantly before buying or refinancing? Mortgage interest rates are determined by several factors, all of which can give us clues about the future. Let's take a closer look at mortgage rate predictions over the next five years.
Here are the housing market predictions for 2026.
One of the most useful indicators for predicting mortgage rates is the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note. Mortgage rates and 10-year Treasury yields typically move in the same direction, although mortgage rates are usually higher because lenders factor in additional risks. This difference is known as the spread, and we'll account for it when estimating where mortgage rates could go.
With that in mind, the first step is to look at where economists believe Treasury yields are headed over the next five years. To build a forecast, we'll combine expert economic projections with data compiled using artificial intelligence.
#rates #treasury #look #predictions
Mortgage rates continue to rise as 2026 nears its fourth quarter. What is the outlook for home loan rates in the next five years? Should you wait for mortgage rates to fall significantly before buying or refinancing? Mortgage interest rates are determined by several factors, all of which can give us clues about the future. Let's take a closer look at mortgage rate predictions over the next five years.
Here are the housing market predictions for 2026.
One of the most useful indicators for predicting mortgage rates is the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note. Mortgage rates and 10-year Treasury yields typically move in the same direction, although mortgage rates are usually higher because lenders factor in additional risks. This difference is known as the spread, and we'll account for it when estimating where mortgage rates could go.
With that in mind, the first step is to look at where economists believe Treasury yields are headed over the next five years. To build a forecast, we'll combine expert economic projections with data compiled using artificial intelligence.
#rates #treasury #look #predictions
14 days ago
I asked if the soybean rally was over in a June 18, 2026, Barchart article, where I concluded with the following:
The weather over the coming weeks and months during the 2026 growing season is critical for the path of least resistance of CBOT soybean and soybean product futures. However, the situation in the Middle East adds complexities beyond the weather and crop to the soybean market, which could cause sudden price volatility.
Cocoa Prices Gain After Ghana Proposes Raising Farmer Pay
Coffee Prices Settle Higher on Tight ICE Inventories and Vietnam Weather
Arabica Coffee Falls Sharply on ICO Projections for Record Coffee Production
#weather #prices #june #middle
The weather over the coming weeks and months during the 2026 growing season is critical for the path of least resistance of CBOT soybean and soybean product futures. However, the situation in the Middle East adds complexities beyond the weather and crop to the soybean market, which could cause sudden price volatility.
Cocoa Prices Gain After Ghana Proposes Raising Farmer Pay
Coffee Prices Settle Higher on Tight ICE Inventories and Vietnam Weather
Arabica Coffee Falls Sharply on ICO Projections for Record Coffee Production
#weather #prices #june #middle
14 days ago
Eagles news: Saquon Barkley drops NSFW declaration amid concerns about his age appeared first on ClutchPoints. Add ClutchPoints as a Preferred Source by clicking here.
Stars in any sport often start a decline once they approach the age of 30. Philadelphia Eagles star Saquon Barkley looks to go against that concept going into the 2026 NFL season.
Barkley took part in an interview with The Athletic, discussing multiple topics about his career accomplishments and projections. Turning 30 next February, he cited Barry Sanders and other NFL Hall of Famers who continued playing remarkable after turning 30, looking to join them in the process.
"The competitor in me, who I am to the core, I want to say F*** everybody. You don't think I'm able to put myself in that category? Why can't I put myself in that category for another five more years? That's the mentality I have," Barkley said.
Watch sports LIVE with fuboTV (free trial)
#Eagles #saquon #clutchpoints #myself
Stars in any sport often start a decline once they approach the age of 30. Philadelphia Eagles star Saquon Barkley looks to go against that concept going into the 2026 NFL season.
Barkley took part in an interview with The Athletic, discussing multiple topics about his career accomplishments and projections. Turning 30 next February, he cited Barry Sanders and other NFL Hall of Famers who continued playing remarkable after turning 30, looking to join them in the process.
"The competitor in me, who I am to the core, I want to say F*** everybody. You don't think I'm able to put myself in that category? Why can't I put myself in that category for another five more years? That's the mentality I have," Barkley said.
Watch sports LIVE with fuboTV (free trial)
#Eagles #saquon #clutchpoints #myself
14 days ago
The European Central Bank is likely to deliver a 25 basis-point rate hike at its meeting concluding today. But while the direction of travel may be clear for now, the path beyond September is anything but.
The ECB is likely to keep its powder dry beyond today, with the path thereafter determined by how the economy and, above all, inflation respond to the renewed energy shock. The key message from the Governing Council is therefore likely to be hawkish: further hike(s) may be warranted if inflation risks intensify, but policymakers will want to retain flexibility rather than pre-commit to any specific policy path.
There is only modest evidence so far that inflation expectations are becoming less firmly anchored, although there may be growing concern that second-round effects may eventually turn a temporary energy shock into a more persistent inflation problem. The challenge for the ECB is that the economy has so far proven more resilient than expected, making an upside revision to its growth projections probable. Output rose more than anticipated during the second quarter, and business surveys are suggesting solid momentum ahead.
That resilience matters. A weaker economy would give policymakers more room to look through an energy-driven inflation spike. A more robust economy, by contrast, makes it harder to ***** ume that higher energy prices may simply wash through absent affecting wages, services prices and broader inflation behaviour.
Euro area headline inflation rose to 3.3% year on year last month (Figure 1), although the easing in core inflation to 2.4% does offer some reassurance. Underlying inflation measures have stayed comparatively moderate, wage pressures are still contained and there is, as yet, only sparse evidence that the energy shock is generating widespread second-round effects.
#economy #path #shock #today
The ECB is likely to keep its powder dry beyond today, with the path thereafter determined by how the economy and, above all, inflation respond to the renewed energy shock. The key message from the Governing Council is therefore likely to be hawkish: further hike(s) may be warranted if inflation risks intensify, but policymakers will want to retain flexibility rather than pre-commit to any specific policy path.
There is only modest evidence so far that inflation expectations are becoming less firmly anchored, although there may be growing concern that second-round effects may eventually turn a temporary energy shock into a more persistent inflation problem. The challenge for the ECB is that the economy has so far proven more resilient than expected, making an upside revision to its growth projections probable. Output rose more than anticipated during the second quarter, and business surveys are suggesting solid momentum ahead.
That resilience matters. A weaker economy would give policymakers more room to look through an energy-driven inflation spike. A more robust economy, by contrast, makes it harder to ***** ume that higher energy prices may simply wash through absent affecting wages, services prices and broader inflation behaviour.
Euro area headline inflation rose to 3.3% year on year last month (Figure 1), although the easing in core inflation to 2.4% does offer some reassurance. Underlying inflation measures have stayed comparatively moderate, wage pressures are still contained and there is, as yet, only sparse evidence that the energy shock is generating widespread second-round effects.
#economy #path #shock #today
14 days ago
The useful part of these matchup conversations is figuring out which players outside the obvious tier have a chance to outkick their ranking and give you more than the market is pricing in. That's what we're looking at here.
Every player on this list sits outside the top 10 at his position in both Yahoo Sports' Week 1 half-PPR consensus rankings and FantasyPros' half-PPR Expert Consensus Rankings. From there, I'm looking at the matchup and the higher-end outcomes from my projection model.
Join a Yahoo Fantasy Football league for the 2026 NFL season
The boom and nuke percentages come from my simulation model. Boom thresholds are 27 points for quarterbacks, 24 for running backs and wide receivers and 20 for tight ends. Nuke thresholds are 35, 33, 34 and 28, respectively.
Yahoo: QB13 | ECR: QB16 | My projection: QB13 Boom: 10% | Nuke: 1% | Hit: 41%
#outside #half #projection
Every player on this list sits outside the top 10 at his position in both Yahoo Sports' Week 1 half-PPR consensus rankings and FantasyPros' half-PPR Expert Consensus Rankings. From there, I'm looking at the matchup and the higher-end outcomes from my projection model.
Join a Yahoo Fantasy Football league for the 2026 NFL season
The boom and nuke percentages come from my simulation model. Boom thresholds are 27 points for quarterbacks, 24 for running backs and wide receivers and 20 for tight ends. Nuke thresholds are 35, 33, 34 and 28, respectively.
Yahoo: QB13 | ECR: QB16 | My projection: QB13 Boom: 10% | Nuke: 1% | Hit: 41%
#outside #half #projection
