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Fresh US economic data is sending a clear but nuanced signal to markets. Inflation pressures are easing, but consumers remain under strain.
For Bitcoin and the broader crypto market, that mix points to improving macro conditions, tempered by near-term volatility.
US consumer sentiment edged up to 52.9 in December, slightly higher than November but still nearly 30% lower than a year ago, according to the University of Michigan.
At the same time, inflation expectations continued to fall. Short-term expectations dropped to 4.2%, while long-term expectations eased to 3.2%.
For markets, those i

Economists cast doubt on inflation report: 'Hard to take this data seriously'

How much is inflation really cooling?
Thursday’s release of November’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) data showed inflation unexpectedly eased to an annual rise of 2.7% that month. But monthly comparisons — October data was never collected due to the government shutdown — were absent from the Labor Department’s report, leaving more recent price swings a bit of a mystery for dozens of product categories.
Economists treaded lightly following the report.
Heather Long, chief economist at the Navy Federal Credit Union,

[LIVE] Bitcoin Price Watch: September PCE Inflation Hits 2.8% as Expected—Will F...

According to The Kobeissi Letter, the S&P 500 surges +0.5% as Core PCE inflation unexpectedly falls to 2.8%, now just 30 points away from a new record high.
The Letter noted: "The S&P 500 has now added +$3.3 TRILLION since the November 21st low. Those who ignored the noise are winning. **** et owners are winning."
Core PCE came in at 2.8% versus 2.9% expected, with the softer-than-expected reading fueling risk **** et gains as December Fed rate cut odds hold at 88.8%.

https://cryptonews.com/new...

Dow Jones Top Markets Headlines at 3 AM ET: Dow Slips, Small Stocks Rally Amid...

Dow Slips, Small Stocks Rally Amid Mixed Signals on Economy
Bond yields rise in the U.S. and ****** an, and new data showed an unexpected drop in weekly American jobless claims.
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Why investors see Friday's inflation report as a gut check of vibes on the economy
Stocks are back on the doorstep of record territory after a volatile month on Wall Street, but persistent inflation worries and souring consumer sentiment are keeping investors uneasy ahead of the Fed's last policy meeting of the year.

https:

https://au.investing.com/n...

Everyone is talking about a K-shaped economy, in which lower- and middle-income households are increasingly being squeezed by a weakening job market and rebounding inflation.
The backdrop has taken a toll on consumer wallets, shifting spending from discretionary to essential purchases. It's also led to consumers rethinking where they spend their hard-earned money, with an increasing number seeking out retailers with a history of low prices, including discount chains and dollar stores.
Dollar General is one of the leading beneficiaries of this shift in customer behavior, as evidenced by its r

RBC thinks the US is on track for "stagflation lite" in 2026.
Stagflation is a dreaded economic scenario in which inflation runs hot while economic growth slows.
The bank pointed to factors like high housing costs and tariffs, which suggest stagflation is looming
The worst-case scenario for the US economy could be a looming reality in 2026.
RBC flagged the likelihood of stagflation in 2026 as the economy looks poised to post below-trend growth while inflation runs "uncomfortably" hot.

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Yuri Gripas/CNP/Bloomberg via Getty
President Donald Trump claimed that affordability was a "Democrat scam" in a Cabinet meeting on Tuesday, Dec. 2, during which he appeared to fall asleep
Trump touted cheaper groceries as a major issue during his 2024 presidential campaign
Inflation hit 3% in September, according to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
President Donald Trump called the term "affordability" a "Democrat scam" during a televised Cabinet meeting on Tuesday, Dec. 2.

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(AKA the unemployment rate, cost of eggs, gas prices, inflation, the Dow Jones, whether citizens received a stimulus check, and Trump's overall approval rating.)
Note: Data on inflation is released a few weeks after each month has ended, so our reports will look at the previous month's numbers.
Related: Gavin Newsom's 3-Word Response To Trump's Republican Goodie Bags Is Going Massively Viral
For the second month in a row, the Bureau of Labor Statistics is delaying its reporting.
Last month, we listed September's unemployment rate as TBD because the bureau was late in releasing its stats du

As inflation and interest rates rise, many Americans are trying to save more — but keeping too much cash in low-interest accounts could be quietly costing them.
Be Aware: Fidelity Says This Is a Surprising Risk of Holding Too Much Cash — Do You Have Too Much?
Read Next: 9 Low-Effort Ways To Make Passive Income (You Can Start This Week)
“Cash parked in low-yield savings or in low-yield checking accounts effectively erodes in real value,” said Gabe Krajieck, CEO of Kasasa, a financial services and tech provider for community banks and credit unions. “While the dollar amount remains static, th

Trump cut tariffs on beef, bananas, coffee and more — but that won't curb prices

When the Trump administration announced it was easing tariffs on a slew of agricultural products, the goal was to appease consumers who are sick of dealing with rising grocery prices.
But though the reduced tariffs could help ease the rate of inflation for foods Americans rely on, it’s unlikely that shoppers will see significant price reductions in store aisles.
Subscribe to The Post Most newsletter for the most important and interesting stories from The Washington Post.
“Once prices increase, especially for

A new poll found that more Americans are unhappy with President Donald Trump's stances on the economy and cost of living, with almost twice as many saying the president has helped raise prices rather than lowering them.
In a Yahoo/YouGov poll conducted Nov. 21-24, 49% of respondents said Trump's actions since taking office for his second term in January have raised prices instead of cutting them. That's a nearly two-to-one ratio to the 24% who said he's done more to lower costs.
The survey also found more Americans (38%) now blame Trump more for inflation than his predecessor, former Preside

US retail sales on Black Friday, the busiest shopping day of the year, climbed 4.1% compared with last year, according to data released Saturday by Mastercard SpendingPulse. Online shoppers alone spent $11.8 billion, up 9.1% from 2024, according to data collection platform Adobe **** ytics.
But those gains don’t account for higher prices due to inflation, so actual spending could be flat.
“We have 3% inflation, so maybe (the 4.1% increase in spending) is a real increase of just 1% or so, which is not that much of an increase,” Rick Newman, who writes The Pinpoint Press, a newsletter on the U

Facing sanctions, soaring inflation and labour shortages, Russia is relying on one of the oldest and most stable commodities to shore up its wartime economy.
And Vladimir Putin’s mercenaries are accused of murdering and torturing their way through central Africa to get their hands on it.
Moscow has been ****** ding gold for nearly two decades and the precious metal now plays a key role, alongside oil, in the finances of Putin’s war machine.
Successors to the Wagner Group have taken control of mines in the Central African Republic where they have gained a reputation for ruthlessness and viol

In recent months, more companies have announced plans to adopt bitcoin treasuries. They frame this as vision: a bold move toward the future of finance, a hedge against inflation, and a sign of corporate sophistication. On the surface, it sounds like progress. In reality, most of these “bitcoin treasuries” are a dangerous distraction, pushed by firms that offer little to no actual value in the marketplace.
Corporate treasuries were never designed to be speculative ventures. When companies turn to bitcoin not as a genuine conviction but as a publicity stunt or last-ditch effort to stay relevant

The PPI inflation came in at 2.7%, higher than estimates of 2.6%.
The Core PPI came in at 2.6%, below expectations.
Bitcoin dropped from around $87,800 and risk falling below $87,000.
The U.S. PPI inflation data for September has come in higher than expectations, providing a bearish outlook for Bitcoin. The flagship crypto quickly dropped after the PPI report, which could cast doubt on another rate cut at the December FOMC meeting.
Bureau of Labor Statistics data shows that the September PPi inflation rose to 2.7% year-over-year (YoY), which is above expectations of 2.6%. However, the Core

As boomers are forced back to work because they can’t afford to retire, Robinhood CEO says Gen Zers are opening retirement accounts at just 19 years old

Soaring inflation, stagnant salaries, and a high cost of living are dragging baby boomers out of retirement and back into the office—but young savers are watching and learning. Gen Zers are already putting cash aside for their eventual retirement, Robinhood cofounder and CEO Vlad Tenev has revealed.
“Retirement seemed really, really far away,” Tenev said recently on the Uncapped with Jack Altman podcast, thinking back to his own financial

The Fold Bitcoin Gift Card makes it easier than ever to give the world’s largest cryptocurrency this holiday season.
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We used to measure holiday gifting by the stack of boxes, not the value inside them. Get the hottest tech or the newest drop, then watch the recipient’s excitement fade faster than a return window. Not this year.
Inflation has forced shoppers to rethink what a gift should be. Americans are spending less on the holidays and being more intentional about giving gifts that carry real value. Gen Z in particular now prioritizes value over volume. Many began investing before a

Fed Chair Jerome Powell could push for another rate cut in December, as per Barclays Research.
CME FedWatch tool shows more than 67% odds of a 25 bps rate cut.
Analysts support a possible recovery in Bitcoin.
Bitcoin could see a much-needed rebound as Barclays Research says Fed Chair Jerome Powell may still lean towards another 25 bps cut while other Fed officials remain divided. Meanwhile, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent claims there is no recession risk for the US economy or rise in inflation.
Barclays Research sees the FOMC decision as remaining a close call in December, but Chair Jero

Odds for another interest rate cut jumped Friday after New York Fed president John Williams signaled he could support a cut when the central bank meets in December.
“I still see room for a further adjustment in the near term to the target range for the federal funds rate to move the stance of policy closer to the range of neutral,” Williams said in a speech in Chile.
Though he still sees room to cut, Williams said he believes tariffs have temporarily stalled progress toward the Fed’s 2% inflation goal. He estimates tariffs are contributing a half a percentage point to three-quarters of a per

A stronger-than-expected jobs report for the month of September has some increasing the odds that the Federal Reserve won’t cut interest rates next month.
But Kevin Hassett, director of the president’s National Economic Council, said that would be a “very bad time” for the central bank to pause cutting because the government shutdown dented economic growth in the fourth quarter.
Hassett said he expects the government shutdown will knock 1.5 percentage points off GDP in the fourth quarter. At the same time, he pointed to the Consumer Price Index for September that showed inflation came in bet

(Bloomberg) -- The ***** et once expected to “go to the moon” is struggling to keep pace with Treasuries. Bitcoin has fallen nearly 30% from its 2025 peak, lagging behind everything from tech stocks to T-bills.
Once promoted as a high-growth play, an inflation hedge, and a portfolio diversifier, the world’s largest cryptocurrency now faces the prospect of ending the year in the red — without fulfilling any of those roles.
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What parallels exist between Trump's and Biden's approaches?
How is Trump addressing voter concerns about inflation?
How effective are Trump's tariff exemptions for groceries?
What are the current inflation numbers versus targets?
President Trump began the week by stepping up his efforts to counteract the unease Americans feel about rising prices and his own handling of the issue.

https://finance.yahoo.com/...

Two Federal Reserve officials are worried about the job market — more so than inflation.
Fed governor Chris Waller said Monday that he supports cutting interest rates next month because he's more worried that the job market is weakening than inflation accelerating. Waller noted that it's unlikely the September jobs report later this week or any other data in the next few weeks will change his view that another cut is in order.
"The data leads me, at this moment, to support a cut in the FOMC's policy rate at our next meeting on December 9 and 10 as a matter of risk management," Waller said in

More than two-thirds of Oregonians say state economy is "on the wrong track,"...

PR Newswire
PORTLAND, Ore., Nov. 17, 2025
Over Half Would Explore Leaving Oregon For New Job in Another State
PORTLAND, Ore., Nov. 17, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- Market research conducted in September in the State of Oregon by Public Opinion Strategies, one of the nation's premier research firms, revealed that 67% of registered voters say the state's economy is "pretty seriously off on the wrong track." The survey indicates that voters attribute the poor economic environment to the high cost of living/inflation, h

The economy survived the government shutdown - but all is not well

By Jeffry Bartash
The U.S. is facing a tough labor market and persistent inflation
A sign welcomes visitors to the National Gallery of Art in Washington after the reopening of the federal government.
The U.S. economy didn't get any better during the longest government shutdown in history, but the good news is that it probably didn't get much worse.
That's the prevailing view among Wall Street economists based on the limited amount of information available to them - most notably, the weekly tally of how many people applie

Who among us could use a spare half a billion dollars? In this economy? Even with inflation, that’s a lot of dough.
The Powerball jackpot is once again climbing it small island owning levels of jackpots with the Saturday, Nov. 15, 2025, prize of $546 million. That means some lucky winner could win a $255 million cash prize if they choose a one-time payout.
To win Powerball, players have to buy a ticket matching all five numbers and the Powerball — the odds of winning were 1 in 292,201,338 — and have the option to select a one-time cash payout worth $826.4 million instead of annual payments.

President Trump’s massive tax and budget proposal, which would add more than $3 trillion to the national debt, could increase inflation just as his tariff policies are already pushing prices up, economists warn.

Exploring Bitcoin Treasury Strategies

How Companies Use BTC to Manage Reserves, Hedge Inflation, and Drive Growth

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