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Most Federal Open Market Committee members see the need for at least one more 25 basis point rate hike this year, as 12 out of 18 members that submitted projections pegged their view of appropriate monetary policy in 2026 at an average of 4.125%.
That rate implies one more 25 basis point hike to come by year-end.
Read more: The Fed's dot plot explained
Four committee members see 50 more basis points' worth of rate hikes in 2026 as appropriate, while only two members see no more hikes this year — suggesting that the new effective target rate of 3.75% to 4% is adequate.
The Summary of Economic Projections, also known as the "dot plot," does not label projections with the names of the Federal Reserve members who made them.

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2 months ago

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