2 hours ago
US stocks rose on Friday as investors digested the Consumer Price Index data, which showed inflation remained sticky and cemented bets that the Federal Reserve will hike interest rates next week.
The Dow Industrial Average (^DJI) and tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) rose 0.9% while the S&P 500 (^GSPC) rose 0.8%. The major indexes posted weekly declines, however, after a four-day losing streak.
Investors turned their attention to the Consumer Price Index, the last piece of inflation data before Federal Reserve policymakers convene next week. Overall prices rose 0.4% on a monthly basis and 3.4% on an annual basis, which were in line with economists' expectations and slightly hotter than July's reading.
But after stripping out volatile food and energy prices, the Fed's preferred reading, CPI rose 0.3%, compared to estimates for 0.2%.
Friday's CPI report prompted traders to ramp up their bets that the Fed will raise interest rates this month. Markets are now pricing in a roughly 87% chance the Fed raises interest rates by 25 basis points at the FOMC meeting next week, according to the CME's Fedwatch tool. That's up from 72% a day ago and 50% a week ago.
#week #next
The Dow Industrial Average (^DJI) and tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) rose 0.9% while the S&P 500 (^GSPC) rose 0.8%. The major indexes posted weekly declines, however, after a four-day losing streak.
Investors turned their attention to the Consumer Price Index, the last piece of inflation data before Federal Reserve policymakers convene next week. Overall prices rose 0.4% on a monthly basis and 3.4% on an annual basis, which were in line with economists' expectations and slightly hotter than July's reading.
But after stripping out volatile food and energy prices, the Fed's preferred reading, CPI rose 0.3%, compared to estimates for 0.2%.
Friday's CPI report prompted traders to ramp up their bets that the Fed will raise interest rates this month. Markets are now pricing in a roughly 87% chance the Fed raises interest rates by 25 basis points at the FOMC meeting next week, according to the CME's Fedwatch tool. That's up from 72% a day ago and 50% a week ago.
#week #next
3 hours ago
Updated Sept. 11, 2026 2:42 pm ET
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(3 min)
1420 ET – Gold futures hold steady as a pullback in oil prices helps offset the impact of an inflation report that increased expectations for a Fed interest-rate rise next week. Front-month gold settles little changed on the day in New York at $4,366.20 a troy ounce, and is down 1.4% for the week. Gold and silver remain within a range of strong support, says Peter Cardillo of Spartan Capital, and if the Fed does raise interest rates next week “it’s symbolic since the bond market had already tightened.” Silver settles up 0.4% at $64.554 a troy ounce, down 2.3% from a week ago. (anthony.harrupwsj.com)
1306 GMT – Gold prices rebounded after oil prices fell more than 2.5%, easing some inflationary concerns. Futures in New York rise 0.3% to $4,422.40 a troy ounce, but remain on track for a weekly loss. U.S. consumer prices accelerated in August, bolstering market expectations that the Federal Reserve could raise interest rates next week. According to the FedWatch tool, traders are now pricing in a nearly 87% probability that the U.S. central bank will raise interest rates next week, from around 67% earlier on Friday. Still, “while the markets appear to be placing their proverbial bets on a hike, it’s likely that members of the FOMC won’t be quite as unequivocal,” says Kyle Rodda from Capital.com. “The doves on the committee, of which there are many, are likely to argue the case that the dip in annual core inflation justifies patience.” (giulia.petroniwsj.com)
#week #Gold #next #rates
Listen
(3 min)
1420 ET – Gold futures hold steady as a pullback in oil prices helps offset the impact of an inflation report that increased expectations for a Fed interest-rate rise next week. Front-month gold settles little changed on the day in New York at $4,366.20 a troy ounce, and is down 1.4% for the week. Gold and silver remain within a range of strong support, says Peter Cardillo of Spartan Capital, and if the Fed does raise interest rates next week “it’s symbolic since the bond market had already tightened.” Silver settles up 0.4% at $64.554 a troy ounce, down 2.3% from a week ago. (anthony.harrupwsj.com)
1306 GMT – Gold prices rebounded after oil prices fell more than 2.5%, easing some inflationary concerns. Futures in New York rise 0.3% to $4,422.40 a troy ounce, but remain on track for a weekly loss. U.S. consumer prices accelerated in August, bolstering market expectations that the Federal Reserve could raise interest rates next week. According to the FedWatch tool, traders are now pricing in a nearly 87% probability that the U.S. central bank will raise interest rates next week, from around 67% earlier on Friday. Still, “while the markets appear to be placing their proverbial bets on a hike, it’s likely that members of the FOMC won’t be quite as unequivocal,” says Kyle Rodda from Capital.com. “The doves on the committee, of which there are many, are likely to argue the case that the dip in annual core inflation justifies patience.” (giulia.petroniwsj.com)
#week #Gold #next #rates
3 hours ago
ETH is enjoying another stretch of relative strength, trading up as much as 7% this morning above $2,600, and still running around +4% on the day at the time of writing.
In this span, ETH outperformed a flat BTC (+0.33%) and warmer majors like SOL, HYPE, and ZEC (which are all roughly +2% over the past 24 hours).
The backdrop: Friday's CPI landed mixed, i.e. a hotter headline number softened by a cooler core reading. Markets seem to have shrugged this result off as already priced in, flipping the mood from Thursday's PPI-driven jitters back toward risk-on.
Secondary driver: This vibe shift led to buy pressure, the buy pressure led to a bounce, and the bounce led to a squeeze. As ETH shorts had become a crowded trade once more, that bounce forced hundreds of millions in liquidations, with one outsized position wipeout on Hyperliquid doing a lot of that damage alone.
What to watch: Traders are now betting the Fed will raise rates at next week's FOMC meeting. Odds jumped to the mid-to-high 80% range after Friday's data, up from around 70% the day before. If that rate hike happens and the Fed signals more are coming, ETH's rallying could stall. Yet if Fed Chair Warsh sounds less aggressive when he speaks afterward, ETH's strength could just as easily keep going.
#pressure #markets #hyperliquid
In this span, ETH outperformed a flat BTC (+0.33%) and warmer majors like SOL, HYPE, and ZEC (which are all roughly +2% over the past 24 hours).
The backdrop: Friday's CPI landed mixed, i.e. a hotter headline number softened by a cooler core reading. Markets seem to have shrugged this result off as already priced in, flipping the mood from Thursday's PPI-driven jitters back toward risk-on.
Secondary driver: This vibe shift led to buy pressure, the buy pressure led to a bounce, and the bounce led to a squeeze. As ETH shorts had become a crowded trade once more, that bounce forced hundreds of millions in liquidations, with one outsized position wipeout on Hyperliquid doing a lot of that damage alone.
What to watch: Traders are now betting the Fed will raise rates at next week's FOMC meeting. Odds jumped to the mid-to-high 80% range after Friday's data, up from around 70% the day before. If that rate hike happens and the Fed signals more are coming, ETH's rallying could stall. Yet if Fed Chair Warsh sounds less aggressive when he speaks afterward, ETH's strength could just as easily keep going.
#pressure #markets #hyperliquid
1 day ago
Good morning. Stocks were on track for their fourth day of declines on Thursday as investors watched long-dated bond yields amid surging oil prices ahead of this week's key inflation print.
The market has been pricing in a 62% chance of a Fed rate hike ahead of Fed policymakers' meeting next week.
Here's a check of the markets in the first few minutes of trading, based on a heat map powered by Yahoo Finance AlphaSpace data.
The 2-year yield also gained 10 basis points during the session to 4.53% as traders adjust to the idea that monetary policy will stay "higher for longer."
The 10-year Treasury (^TNX) hovered near 4.91% while Brent crude futures (BZ=F) topped $105 per barrel amid continued Iran-US tensions in the Middle East.
#amid #finance
The market has been pricing in a 62% chance of a Fed rate hike ahead of Fed policymakers' meeting next week.
Here's a check of the markets in the first few minutes of trading, based on a heat map powered by Yahoo Finance AlphaSpace data.
The 2-year yield also gained 10 basis points during the session to 4.53% as traders adjust to the idea that monetary policy will stay "higher for longer."
The 10-year Treasury (^TNX) hovered near 4.91% while Brent crude futures (BZ=F) topped $105 per barrel amid continued Iran-US tensions in the Middle East.
#amid #finance
1 day ago
Options traders can spend hours searching for the right stock, studying charts, comparing fundamentals and trying to predict the market's next move.
But Barchart expert Rick Orford argues there's another question worth answering before any of that:
Options Flow Alert: Institutional Money Piles Into AMD Stock
Volatility Insurance for Applied Optoelectronics (AAOI) Stock Potentially Inspires a Contrarian Outlook
Unusual Options Activity Points to Big Institutional Bets on These 3 Industries
#options #institutional #money
But Barchart expert Rick Orford argues there's another question worth answering before any of that:
Options Flow Alert: Institutional Money Piles Into AMD Stock
Volatility Insurance for Applied Optoelectronics (AAOI) Stock Potentially Inspires a Contrarian Outlook
Unusual Options Activity Points to Big Institutional Bets on These 3 Industries
#options #institutional #money
1 day ago
Volatility has picked up in recent days as the market digests rising yields and oil prices along with seasonal headwinds. With everything going on, volatility could rear its ugly head again at any time.
The VIX Index closed at 16.46 yesterday after briefly dropping below 14 last week.
Unusual Options Activity Points to Big Institutional Bets on These 3 Industries
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A Rare Quant Signal Just Flashed for Contrarian Options Traders in Home Depot Stock
#Stock #index #points #bets
The VIX Index closed at 16.46 yesterday after briefly dropping below 14 last week.
Unusual Options Activity Points to Big Institutional Bets on These 3 Industries
Volatility Insurance for Applied Optoelectronics (AAOI) Stock Potentially Inspires a Contrarian Outlook
A Rare Quant Signal Just Flashed for Contrarian Options Traders in Home Depot Stock
#Stock #index #points #bets
1 day ago
US stocks rose on Friday as investors digested the Consumer Price Index data, which showed inflation remained sticky and cemented bets that the Federal Reserve will hike interest rates next week.
The Dow Industrial Average (^DJI) and S&P 500 (^GSPC) climbed by about 1.1%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) rose by about 1.2%. The upbeat move comes after a four-day losing streak for the major indexes.
Investors turned their attention to the Consumer Price Index, the last piece of inflation data before Federal Reserve policymakers convene next week. Overall prices rose 0.4% on a monthly basis and 3.4% on an annual basis, which were in line with economists' expectations and slightly hotter than July's reading.
Friday's CPI report prompted traders to ramp up their bets that the Fed will raise interest rates this month. Markets are now pricing in a roughly 87% chance the Fed raises interest rates by 25 basis points at the FOMC meeting next week, according to the CME's Fedwatch tool. That's up from 72% a day ago and 50% a week ago.
Read more: What is inflation, and how does it affect you?
#week #rose
The Dow Industrial Average (^DJI) and S&P 500 (^GSPC) climbed by about 1.1%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) rose by about 1.2%. The upbeat move comes after a four-day losing streak for the major indexes.
Investors turned their attention to the Consumer Price Index, the last piece of inflation data before Federal Reserve policymakers convene next week. Overall prices rose 0.4% on a monthly basis and 3.4% on an annual basis, which were in line with economists' expectations and slightly hotter than July's reading.
Friday's CPI report prompted traders to ramp up their bets that the Fed will raise interest rates this month. Markets are now pricing in a roughly 87% chance the Fed raises interest rates by 25 basis points at the FOMC meeting next week, according to the CME's Fedwatch tool. That's up from 72% a day ago and 50% a week ago.
Read more: What is inflation, and how does it affect you?
#week #rose
2 days ago
By Ella Cao and Naveen Thukral
BEIJING/SINGAPORE, Sept 10 (Reuters) - China bought 14 to 15 cargoes of U.S. soybeans this week, or around 1 million metric tons, four traders told Reuters, as the world's top oilseed buyer steps up purchases ahead of Chinese President Xi Jinping's visit to Washington later this month.
The purchases take China's total U.S. soybean buying to nearly half of the 25 million tons the White House said Beijing had committed to annually through 2028.
Chinese state stockpiler Sinograin booked the cargoes for shipment from U.S. Gulf terminals between December and February, traders said.
Sinograin did not immediately respond to Reuters' requests for comment.
#cargoes #tons #purchases #ella
BEIJING/SINGAPORE, Sept 10 (Reuters) - China bought 14 to 15 cargoes of U.S. soybeans this week, or around 1 million metric tons, four traders told Reuters, as the world's top oilseed buyer steps up purchases ahead of Chinese President Xi Jinping's visit to Washington later this month.
The purchases take China's total U.S. soybean buying to nearly half of the 25 million tons the White House said Beijing had committed to annually through 2028.
Chinese state stockpiler Sinograin booked the cargoes for shipment from U.S. Gulf terminals between December and February, traders said.
Sinograin did not immediately respond to Reuters' requests for comment.
#cargoes #tons #purchases #ella
2 days ago
US stocks fell for a third day in a row on Wednesday as oil prices continued to rise and Treasury yields jumped after Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent revealed new bond buyback plans.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) lost nearly 0.8%, and the Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) fell 0.6%, extending losses after a downbeat session on Tuesday. The S&P 500 (^GSPC) fell by roughly 0.5%.
The 10-year yield (^TNX) rose 3 basis points to 4.83%, its highest level since October 2023, as the market reacted negatively to Bessent's announcement that the Treasury Department intends to triple its next bond buyback program in an effort to curb rising borrowing costs.
Oil prices reached triple digits for the first time in over a month after fighting between the US and Iran escalated and the US struck five Iranian oil tankers. Brent crude oil futures (BZ=F), the global benchmark, traded at $101 per barrel, while US benchmark WTI crude (CL=F) climbed to $96 per barrel.
Concerns that energy supply disruptions stemming from the war in the Strait of Hormuz will persist fed into bets that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates next week. Traders now see a 60% chance of a 25 basis point hike this month, according to CME Group, up slightly from the odds a day ago.
#bond #triple
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) lost nearly 0.8%, and the Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) fell 0.6%, extending losses after a downbeat session on Tuesday. The S&P 500 (^GSPC) fell by roughly 0.5%.
The 10-year yield (^TNX) rose 3 basis points to 4.83%, its highest level since October 2023, as the market reacted negatively to Bessent's announcement that the Treasury Department intends to triple its next bond buyback program in an effort to curb rising borrowing costs.
Oil prices reached triple digits for the first time in over a month after fighting between the US and Iran escalated and the US struck five Iranian oil tankers. Brent crude oil futures (BZ=F), the global benchmark, traded at $101 per barrel, while US benchmark WTI crude (CL=F) climbed to $96 per barrel.
Concerns that energy supply disruptions stemming from the war in the Strait of Hormuz will persist fed into bets that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates next week. Traders now see a 60% chance of a 25 basis point hike this month, according to CME Group, up slightly from the odds a day ago.
#bond #triple
2 days ago
The dollar index (DXY00) recovered from a 2.5-week low on Wednesday and finished up by +0.06%. The dollar found support on Wednesday after WTI crude oil surged +3 % to a 3.25-month high, boosting inflation expectations and potentially persuading the Fed to tighten monetary policy. Also, short covering emerged in the dollar on Wednesday after the US Treasury announced it would purchase $6 billion of long-term US government debt securities on Thursday, below expectations of $10 billion. In addition, Wednesday's increase in the 10-year T-note yield to a 2.75-year high of 4.85% has strengthened the dollar's interest rate differentials.
The dollar initially moved lower on Wednesday amid strength in the yen after US Treasury Secretary Bessent challenged traders to test his resolve on strengthening the yen.
Dollar Slips on **** anese Yen Strength
AT&T Offers $10K Reward for Tips as Cable Theft Soars Alongside Copper Prices
Dollar Slips Before the Treasury's Buyback Operation
#wednesday #treasury #billion #dxy00
The dollar initially moved lower on Wednesday amid strength in the yen after US Treasury Secretary Bessent challenged traders to test his resolve on strengthening the yen.
Dollar Slips on **** anese Yen Strength
AT&T Offers $10K Reward for Tips as Cable Theft Soars Alongside Copper Prices
Dollar Slips Before the Treasury's Buyback Operation
#wednesday #treasury #billion #dxy00
2 days ago
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Barclays raised its year-end S&P 500 target to 7,950 Wednesday, betting stronger earnings and continued artificial intelligence spending can keep the rally going.
The bank lifted its target from 7,800 and raised its 2026 earnings-per-share forecast to $365 from $337, Reuters reported. The S&P 500 was trading around 7,625 Wednesday, leaving Barclays' target about 4% above current levels. The index is tracked by the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:SPY).
Even after the upgrade, Barclays is still one of the more cautious voices on Wall Street. HSBC raised its target to 8,100 Tuesday, while UBS, Goldman Sachs and Citigroup also see the index finishing at or above 8,000.
Prediction traders are more skeptical. Polymarket puts roughly 40% on an S&P 500 finish above 8,000, while its contracts put more combined weight on the index ending below 7,500 than above 8,000.
#below
Barclays raised its year-end S&P 500 target to 7,950 Wednesday, betting stronger earnings and continued artificial intelligence spending can keep the rally going.
The bank lifted its target from 7,800 and raised its 2026 earnings-per-share forecast to $365 from $337, Reuters reported. The S&P 500 was trading around 7,625 Wednesday, leaving Barclays' target about 4% above current levels. The index is tracked by the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:SPY).
Even after the upgrade, Barclays is still one of the more cautious voices on Wall Street. HSBC raised its target to 8,100 Tuesday, while UBS, Goldman Sachs and Citigroup also see the index finishing at or above 8,000.
Prediction traders are more skeptical. Polymarket puts roughly 40% on an S&P 500 finish above 8,000, while its contracts put more combined weight on the index ending below 7,500 than above 8,000.
#below
2 days ago
Etsy Inc (NASDAQ:ETSY) stock is down 2.6% to trade at $70.20 today amid broader market pressure, though Argus reiterated its "buy" rating and lifted its price target to $89 from $67. The $70 level has served as both support and resistance in recent months and could provide a potential pivot point for the shares. What's more, the e-commerce name is now within striking distance of a historically bullish trendline.
According to Schaeffer's Senior Quantitative ***** yst Rocky White, Etsy stock is trading within 0.75 times the 100-day moving averages' 20-day average true range (ATR), after spending at least 80% of the previous two weeks and 80% of the prior 42 trading sessions above that trendline. This setup has appeared 13 other times over the last decade, after which the stock was higher one month later 77% of the time, averaging a 10.3% gain.
Short interest represents 10.8% of the stock's available float, and would take shorts over three days to cover at the stock's average pace of trading. A move higher could pressure some of these bearish bettors to exit their positions, creating additional buying power.
Now also looks like a good time to weigh in on ETSY's next move with options. The stock's Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) of 49% sits in the low 10th percentile of its annual range, suggesting options traders are pricing in relatively low volatility expectations at the moment.
#trading #volatility #within
According to Schaeffer's Senior Quantitative ***** yst Rocky White, Etsy stock is trading within 0.75 times the 100-day moving averages' 20-day average true range (ATR), after spending at least 80% of the previous two weeks and 80% of the prior 42 trading sessions above that trendline. This setup has appeared 13 other times over the last decade, after which the stock was higher one month later 77% of the time, averaging a 10.3% gain.
Short interest represents 10.8% of the stock's available float, and would take shorts over three days to cover at the stock's average pace of trading. A move higher could pressure some of these bearish bettors to exit their positions, creating additional buying power.
Now also looks like a good time to weigh in on ETSY's next move with options. The stock's Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) of 49% sits in the low 10th percentile of its annual range, suggesting options traders are pricing in relatively low volatility expectations at the moment.
#trading #volatility #within
2 days ago
U.S. Dollar Index is losing some ground as traders focus on Treasury's decision to boost bond buybacks to $6 billion. Bessent continues his attempts to put pressure on yields, but they are rising amid rally in the oil markets. Worries about long-term sustainability of U.S. finances also push yields higher.
The yield of 10-year Treasuries climbed towards the 4.85% level, while the yield of 30-year Treasuries tested the psychologically important 5.30% level.
U.S. Dollar Index continues its attempts to settle below the support level at 98.60 – 98.75. In case U.S. Dollar Index manages to settle below the 98.60 level, it will head towards the next support at 97.70 – 97.85. RSI is in the moderate territory, so there is plenty of room to gain additional downside momentum in the near term.
EUR/USD gained some ground as traders prepared for ECB Interest Rate Decision, which will be released tomorrow. ***** ysts expect that ECB will raise the interest rate from 2.4% to 2.65% due to rising oil prices.
The European Central Bank is forced to raise rates as the EU economy will face inflationary pressure due to high energy prices. It remains to be seen whether winter will be cold, but energy prices will likely stay high anyway.
#dollar #treasuries #interest #rate
The yield of 10-year Treasuries climbed towards the 4.85% level, while the yield of 30-year Treasuries tested the psychologically important 5.30% level.
U.S. Dollar Index continues its attempts to settle below the support level at 98.60 – 98.75. In case U.S. Dollar Index manages to settle below the 98.60 level, it will head towards the next support at 97.70 – 97.85. RSI is in the moderate territory, so there is plenty of room to gain additional downside momentum in the near term.
EUR/USD gained some ground as traders prepared for ECB Interest Rate Decision, which will be released tomorrow. ***** ysts expect that ECB will raise the interest rate from 2.4% to 2.65% due to rising oil prices.
The European Central Bank is forced to raise rates as the EU economy will face inflationary pressure due to high energy prices. It remains to be seen whether winter will be cold, but energy prices will likely stay high anyway.
#dollar #treasuries #interest #rate
2 days ago
Useless (USELESS), a Solana-based memecoin, has surged more than 900% from its August low to trade near $0.337 on Wednesday, its highest level since October 2025.
In my view, these gains won't hold for too long, which may lead USELESS down at least 50% from its current levels. Let's examine.
USELESS's one-week liquidation heatmap shows a large imbalance in leveraged positions, with substantially more long positions exposed below the current price than short positions sitting above it.
If USELESS extends its rally to around $0.347, roughly $540,000 worth of ****** ulative short positions could be liquidated, according to CoinGlass data. That is relatively small compared with the downside exposure.
A decline toward $0.10, for instance, could wipe out nearly $6.70 million in ****** ulative leveraged long positions. In other words, traders betting on further gains currently have far more capital vulnerable to forced liquidation than bears betting on a decline.
#long #gains #liquidation #decline
In my view, these gains won't hold for too long, which may lead USELESS down at least 50% from its current levels. Let's examine.
USELESS's one-week liquidation heatmap shows a large imbalance in leveraged positions, with substantially more long positions exposed below the current price than short positions sitting above it.
If USELESS extends its rally to around $0.347, roughly $540,000 worth of ****** ulative short positions could be liquidated, according to CoinGlass data. That is relatively small compared with the downside exposure.
A decline toward $0.10, for instance, could wipe out nearly $6.70 million in ****** ulative leveraged long positions. In other words, traders betting on further gains currently have far more capital vulnerable to forced liquidation than bears betting on a decline.
#long #gains #liquidation #decline
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2 days ago
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) has been one of the standout performers of 2026, already up around 136% year-to-date as the market rewards its accelerating push into AI data center chips.
The options flow from today suggests institutional traders are positioning for this AI-driven rally to keep running.
Micron Price Targets Are Rising - Bull Put Credit Spreads in MU Are Attractive for Investors with Limited Funds
Unusual Call Options Activity in Takeover Target GFL Environmental Stock
Get Paid to Wait: Buy OXY at a Discount or Earn Options Income
#micro #rising #credit
The options flow from today suggests institutional traders are positioning for this AI-driven rally to keep running.
Micron Price Targets Are Rising - Bull Put Credit Spreads in MU Are Attractive for Investors with Limited Funds
Unusual Call Options Activity in Takeover Target GFL Environmental Stock
Get Paid to Wait: Buy OXY at a Discount or Earn Options Income
#micro #rising #credit
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2 days ago
(Bloomberg) -- The global refining sector's diesel crunch is likely to result in tight supply for the coming months, keeping prices high and weighing on demand, according to ****** ysts and traders.
Most Read from Bloomberg
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#traders #plus #making
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Bessent Dares Traders to Bet Against Yen: 'I Am the House Now'
#traders #plus #making
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2 days ago
(Bloomberg) -- Oil traders are growing increasingly cautious about longer-term positions as the wars in Iran and Ukraine cloud the outlook beyond the next few months.
Most Read from Bloomberg
Apple's $2,000-Plus Foldable iPhone Was a Decade in the Making
EU and Canada Plan Deal to Boost Trade, Security as US Ties Fray
Bessent Dares Traders to Bet Against Yen: 'I Am the House Now'
#ukraine #foldable #plan
Most Read from Bloomberg
Apple's $2,000-Plus Foldable iPhone Was a Decade in the Making
EU and Canada Plan Deal to Boost Trade, Security as US Ties Fray
Bessent Dares Traders to Bet Against Yen: 'I Am the House Now'
#ukraine #foldable #plan
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2 days ago
Lyft Inc (NASDAQ:LYFT) is slightly lower this afternoon, down 0.2% at $14.86. Heading for a fifth-straight daily drop, the Uber Technologies (UBER) rival is trading near its late-July lows, sporting a grim 23.3% year-to-date deficit. All may not be lost, however, as this pullback looks to be placing Lyft stock near a trendline with historically bullish implications.
According to Schaeffer's Senior Quantitative ****** yst Rocky White, LYFT shares are within 0.75 of their 126-day moving average's 20-day average true range (ATR), after remaining below it 80% of the time in the past two weeks and in 80% of the last 42 trading sessions.
This signal has occurred five times in the last 10 years, after which Lyft stock was higher one month later 60% of the time, averaging a 9.4% gain. From its current perch, a surge of this magnitude would put the shares back above the $16 area.
Put traders have been circling, per LYFT's 10-day put/call volume ratio at the International Securities Exchange (ISE), Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE), and NASDAQ OMX PHLX (PHLX), which stands higher than 76% of all other readings from the past year. Echoing this, the stock's Schaeffer's put/call open interest ratio (SOIR) of ranks higher than all other readings from the past 12 months. Should this bearish sentiment begin to unwind, it could trigger tailwinds for the shares.
Options are attractively priced as well, per the stock's Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) of 51%, which stands higher than just 18% of all other readings from the past year, implying that near-term option traders are pricing in relatively low volatility expectations.
#lyft #higher #uber
According to Schaeffer's Senior Quantitative ****** yst Rocky White, LYFT shares are within 0.75 of their 126-day moving average's 20-day average true range (ATR), after remaining below it 80% of the time in the past two weeks and in 80% of the last 42 trading sessions.
This signal has occurred five times in the last 10 years, after which Lyft stock was higher one month later 60% of the time, averaging a 9.4% gain. From its current perch, a surge of this magnitude would put the shares back above the $16 area.
Put traders have been circling, per LYFT's 10-day put/call volume ratio at the International Securities Exchange (ISE), Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE), and NASDAQ OMX PHLX (PHLX), which stands higher than 76% of all other readings from the past year. Echoing this, the stock's Schaeffer's put/call open interest ratio (SOIR) of ranks higher than all other readings from the past 12 months. Should this bearish sentiment begin to unwind, it could trigger tailwinds for the shares.
Options are attractively priced as well, per the stock's Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) of 51%, which stands higher than just 18% of all other readings from the past year, implying that near-term option traders are pricing in relatively low volatility expectations.
#lyft #higher #uber
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2 days ago
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The August consumer price index is due Friday at 8:30 a.m. ET and could determine whether the Federal Reserve raises interest rates next week, with the decision potentially coming down to whether core prices rise 0.2% or 0.3%.
Markets are increasingly leaning toward a hike after Thursday's producer-price report showed inflation remaining stubbornly high, even as Wall Street remains remarkably confident that core CPI will come in at 0.2%.
The median forecast among 17 economists surveyed by The Wall Street Journal is 0.22%. Every estimate, ranging from just 0.16% to 0.24%, rounds to 0.2%.
Kalshi traders are similarly concentrated around 0.2%. The prediction market gives core CPI an 87% chance of exceeding 0.1%, but only a 28% chance of coming in above 0.2%.
#core #wall #benzinga
The August consumer price index is due Friday at 8:30 a.m. ET and could determine whether the Federal Reserve raises interest rates next week, with the decision potentially coming down to whether core prices rise 0.2% or 0.3%.
Markets are increasingly leaning toward a hike after Thursday's producer-price report showed inflation remaining stubbornly high, even as Wall Street remains remarkably confident that core CPI will come in at 0.2%.
The median forecast among 17 economists surveyed by The Wall Street Journal is 0.22%. Every estimate, ranging from just 0.16% to 0.24%, rounds to 0.2%.
Kalshi traders are similarly concentrated around 0.2%. The prediction market gives core CPI an 87% chance of exceeding 0.1%, but only a 28% chance of coming in above 0.2%.
#core #wall #benzinga
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5 days ago
College football's opening week gave prediction market traders on Kalshi and Polymarket plenty of fun, intense moments. Week 2 arrives with fresh injuries and shaky performances shaping the numbers.
Kalshi and Polymarket have priced six games with noteworthy separation between favorite and underdog, but a few of those splits look wider than what showed up on the field last weekend. Here are picks on all six.
MORE: Kirk Herbstreit makes 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship pick
(College football) Boston College Eagles running back Evan ***** ens (23) carries the ball against the Cincinnati Bearcats in the second half at Nippert Stadium.
Friday, September 11, 7:30 p.m. ET
#college #kalshi #week
Kalshi and Polymarket have priced six games with noteworthy separation between favorite and underdog, but a few of those splits look wider than what showed up on the field last weekend. Here are picks on all six.
MORE: Kirk Herbstreit makes 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship pick
(College football) Boston College Eagles running back Evan ***** ens (23) carries the ball against the Cincinnati Bearcats in the second half at Nippert Stadium.
Friday, September 11, 7:30 p.m. ET
#college #kalshi #week
5 days ago
By Ankur Banerjee and Rocky Swift
SINGAPORE, Sept 8 (Reuters) - A blistering rally in the ******* anese yen ahead of an expected interest rate hike from the Bank of ******* an next week is upending the long-established and lucrative carry trade, as investors rethink the path ahead for the volatile currency.
Early hints of capital repatriation and expectations of a faster pace of monetary tightening by the BOJ along with U.S. pressure are combining to boost the yen, which hit 40-year lows in July, triggering a joint U.S.-Japan intervention.
The spike is also spurring an unwinding of the popular carry trade, which involves borrowing yen at a low cost to invest in other currencies and ******* ets offering higher yields, as traders brace for central bank meetings in ******* an and the U.S.
"The carry trade is vulnerable because this unwind is happening before the BOJ has even delivered its expected hike," said Charu Chanana, chief investment strategist at Saxo.
#bank
SINGAPORE, Sept 8 (Reuters) - A blistering rally in the ******* anese yen ahead of an expected interest rate hike from the Bank of ******* an next week is upending the long-established and lucrative carry trade, as investors rethink the path ahead for the volatile currency.
Early hints of capital repatriation and expectations of a faster pace of monetary tightening by the BOJ along with U.S. pressure are combining to boost the yen, which hit 40-year lows in July, triggering a joint U.S.-Japan intervention.
The spike is also spurring an unwinding of the popular carry trade, which involves borrowing yen at a low cost to invest in other currencies and ******* ets offering higher yields, as traders brace for central bank meetings in ******* an and the U.S.
"The carry trade is vulnerable because this unwind is happening before the BOJ has even delivered its expected hike," said Charu Chanana, chief investment strategist at Saxo.
#bank
5 days ago
By Alun John and Rae Wee
LONDON/SINGAPORE, Sept 7 (Reuters) - The yen surged to a seven-month high on Monday as traders reassessed the battered currency's outlook, driven by expectations of faster Bank of ***** an policy tightening and growing bets that ***** anese investors could repatriate funds.
The main event this week is Friday's U.S. inflation report, which could shape the Federal Reserve's decision on whether to raise interest rates later this month and influence the dollar's direction.
The European Central Bank also meets on Thursday and is widely expected to raise euro zone interest rates.
Until then, the focus remains on the yen. The dollar fell to as low as 154.05 yen, its weakest level since February, and was last down 1.1% at 154.4. It has now broken below lows reached in August after Washington and Tokyo jointly intervened to support the ***** anese currency, which was then trading at 40-year lows.
#rates #john
LONDON/SINGAPORE, Sept 7 (Reuters) - The yen surged to a seven-month high on Monday as traders reassessed the battered currency's outlook, driven by expectations of faster Bank of ***** an policy tightening and growing bets that ***** anese investors could repatriate funds.
The main event this week is Friday's U.S. inflation report, which could shape the Federal Reserve's decision on whether to raise interest rates later this month and influence the dollar's direction.
The European Central Bank also meets on Thursday and is widely expected to raise euro zone interest rates.
Until then, the focus remains on the yen. The dollar fell to as low as 154.05 yen, its weakest level since February, and was last down 1.1% at 154.4. It has now broken below lows reached in August after Washington and Tokyo jointly intervened to support the ***** anese currency, which was then trading at 40-year lows.
#rates #john
5 days ago
Kenya's government sought to reassure foreign traders that they have legal protection to operate in the country after President William Ruto raised doubts over their status in East Africa's biggest economy. Ruto reportedly ordered authorities to begin shutting down foreign-owned businesses from Sept. 7 as part of a move to restrict small-scale retail to Kenyans. However, the principal secretary for foreign affairs on Sunday said the president's comments related to a debate about proposed employment legislation.
Ruto reportedly made the remarks last week, days before ordering Tata Chemicals to leave the country, accusing it of failing to create jobs and process minerals locally.
The president, who will seek a second term in a poll next August, has increasingly focused on employment and wealth creation in his reelection pitch. He took office four years ago, after an election campaign in which he vowed to improve the lives of the poorest Kenyans. But his popularity plummeted amid tax hikes that prompted street protests.
— Alexis Akwagyiram
#ruto #kenyans #east
Ruto reportedly made the remarks last week, days before ordering Tata Chemicals to leave the country, accusing it of failing to create jobs and process minerals locally.
The president, who will seek a second term in a poll next August, has increasingly focused on employment and wealth creation in his reelection pitch. He took office four years ago, after an election campaign in which he vowed to improve the lives of the poorest Kenyans. But his popularity plummeted amid tax hikes that prompted street protests.
— Alexis Akwagyiram
#ruto #kenyans #east
6 days ago
ChargePoint (CHPT) spent most of the past two years as a stock few investors wanted.
Then it reported earnings, and sentiment changed quickly.
The electric vehicle charging company beat expectations on both revenue and profit for its second quarter, and traders pushed the shares sharply higher.
ChargePoint sells commercial-grade Level 2 and DC Fast charging stations, and cloud software that allows property owners to manage prices, usage, and energy demand. There are 44,800 physical station locations in the U.S., making its installed base the largest Level 2 commercial footprint in America.
The company's financial performance is particularly impressive given the broader decline in electric vehicle sales since tax credits disappeared, with U.S. EV sales down 27% from a year earlier in the first quarter of 2026, according to ****** Automotive.
#vehicle #commercial #sales #fast
Then it reported earnings, and sentiment changed quickly.
The electric vehicle charging company beat expectations on both revenue and profit for its second quarter, and traders pushed the shares sharply higher.
ChargePoint sells commercial-grade Level 2 and DC Fast charging stations, and cloud software that allows property owners to manage prices, usage, and energy demand. There are 44,800 physical station locations in the U.S., making its installed base the largest Level 2 commercial footprint in America.
The company's financial performance is particularly impressive given the broader decline in electric vehicle sales since tax credits disappeared, with U.S. EV sales down 27% from a year earlier in the first quarter of 2026, according to ****** Automotive.
#vehicle #commercial #sales #fast
7 days ago
I spend a lot of time ***** yzing exchange-traded funds (ETFs) here. And while you might think that's because I've ***** yzed those securities individually for a long time (I have), the thing about ETF ***** ysis is this: if you do enough of it, for enough years, you start to see patterns of behavior. And while they don't always immediately say "buy this" or "sell this," they do something I think is at least as important to traders and investors.
ETFs can help us figure out when early risk has a shot of becoming big risk. Which often leads to big losses. And I'm all about minimizing that.
Why It's Time to Load Up on SoFi Stock
A $1.4 Billion Reason to Buy GameStop Stock Now
TIME Left Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang Off Its 100 Most Influential People in AI List — But Paris Hilton and Ben Affleck Made the Cut
#etfs #risk #load
ETFs can help us figure out when early risk has a shot of becoming big risk. Which often leads to big losses. And I'm all about minimizing that.
Why It's Time to Load Up on SoFi Stock
A $1.4 Billion Reason to Buy GameStop Stock Now
TIME Left Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang Off Its 100 Most Influential People in AI List — But Paris Hilton and Ben Affleck Made the Cut
#etfs #risk #load
7 days ago
By Dhara Ranasinghe, Rae Wee and Atsuko Aoyama
LONDON/SINGAPORE/TOKYO, Sept 4 (Reuters) - Six weeks after hitting a four-decade low against the dollar, the tide appears to be turning for the battered yen as a host of factors finally smoke out traders who have spent years betting against the ****** anese currency.
While central bank rate hikes and record currency intervention have failed to provide lasting support for the yen, new tailwinds from capital repatriation, unwinding carry trades and U.S. political pressure are now giving short speculators cause to rethink their long-term game.
The yen is on track for a roughly 2% surge against the greenback this week — the most since a rare joint U.S. and ****** an intervention at the end of July to lift the yen.
"The market psychology around the yen appears to be changing," said Rong Ren Goh, a fixed income portfolio manager at Eastspring Investments. "Investors seem increasingly reluctant to aggressively short the JPY (yen), particularly with the prospect of a BOJ rate hike in September adding another layer of risk to the trade."
#currency #dhara #ranasinghe
LONDON/SINGAPORE/TOKYO, Sept 4 (Reuters) - Six weeks after hitting a four-decade low against the dollar, the tide appears to be turning for the battered yen as a host of factors finally smoke out traders who have spent years betting against the ****** anese currency.
While central bank rate hikes and record currency intervention have failed to provide lasting support for the yen, new tailwinds from capital repatriation, unwinding carry trades and U.S. political pressure are now giving short speculators cause to rethink their long-term game.
The yen is on track for a roughly 2% surge against the greenback this week — the most since a rare joint U.S. and ****** an intervention at the end of July to lift the yen.
"The market psychology around the yen appears to be changing," said Rong Ren Goh, a fixed income portfolio manager at Eastspring Investments. "Investors seem increasingly reluctant to aggressively short the JPY (yen), particularly with the prospect of a BOJ rate hike in September adding another layer of risk to the trade."
#currency #dhara #ranasinghe
7 days ago
Cathie Wood's investment firm ARK Invest bought 28,589 shares of Robinhood Markets (Nasdaq: HOOD) worth approximately $3.6 million on Sep. 4.
A veteran investor, Wood is a prolific trader of crypto-linked equities such as Circle Internet Group (NYSE: CRCL), Bullish (NYSE: BLSH), Block Inc. (NYSE: XYZ), Bitmine Immersion Technologies (NYSE: BMNR), etc.
Wood bought Robinhood shares as the company got involved in a controversy with the entertainment giant, AMC Entertainment Holdings (NYSE: AMC).
Related: Man turns Robinhood-AMC feud into $2 million gain in 12 hours
Robinhood is an e-brokerage platform popular among young retail traders for its equity, crypto, and stock token offerings.
#robinhood
A veteran investor, Wood is a prolific trader of crypto-linked equities such as Circle Internet Group (NYSE: CRCL), Bullish (NYSE: BLSH), Block Inc. (NYSE: XYZ), Bitmine Immersion Technologies (NYSE: BMNR), etc.
Wood bought Robinhood shares as the company got involved in a controversy with the entertainment giant, AMC Entertainment Holdings (NYSE: AMC).
Related: Man turns Robinhood-AMC feud into $2 million gain in 12 hours
Robinhood is an e-brokerage platform popular among young retail traders for its equity, crypto, and stock token offerings.
#robinhood
7 days ago
Key Takeaways
Bitcoin climbed back above $80,000 after Fed Governor Christopher Waller said cooling inflation could justify leaving interest rates unchanged in September.
Three-month core inflation has fallen from 4.76% in February to 3.05% through July, according to Waller, although annual PCE inflation remains well above the Fed's 2% target.
Markets are almost evenly divided over a Sept. 16 rate hike, making the upcoming August CPI report a major test for Bitcoin.
Bitcoin has returned above $80,000 as a sharp improvement in short-term US inflation data gives crypto traders a new reason to question whether the Federal Reserve will raise rates on Sept. 16.
#waller #sept #christopher #september
Bitcoin climbed back above $80,000 after Fed Governor Christopher Waller said cooling inflation could justify leaving interest rates unchanged in September.
Three-month core inflation has fallen from 4.76% in February to 3.05% through July, according to Waller, although annual PCE inflation remains well above the Fed's 2% target.
Markets are almost evenly divided over a Sept. 16 rate hike, making the upcoming August CPI report a major test for Bitcoin.
Bitcoin has returned above $80,000 as a sharp improvement in short-term US inflation data gives crypto traders a new reason to question whether the Federal Reserve will raise rates on Sept. 16.
#waller #sept #christopher #september
8 days ago
By Anna Szymanski
Sept 4 (Reuters) - From the Editor
Are the vigilantes back? Bond yields spiked across developed markets this week, with many hitting multi-decade highs, as rising deficits, elevated inflation and a surge of AI-driven corporate debt issuance left traders demanding higher compensation for the risk of holding longer-term government debt.
Far from a moral crusade by fixed income investors seeking to influence fiscal policy, this instead looks like a logical response to the economic facts on the ground, including the dawning reality that borrowing rates in many large markets are likely going to be higher for longer.
Over the past week, the benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yield surged to roughly 4.80%, hitting its highest point since President Donald Trump returned to the White House early last year. This undid any positive impact from Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's bond-buying announcement two weeks ago.
#markets #many #hitting #debt
Sept 4 (Reuters) - From the Editor
Are the vigilantes back? Bond yields spiked across developed markets this week, with many hitting multi-decade highs, as rising deficits, elevated inflation and a surge of AI-driven corporate debt issuance left traders demanding higher compensation for the risk of holding longer-term government debt.
Far from a moral crusade by fixed income investors seeking to influence fiscal policy, this instead looks like a logical response to the economic facts on the ground, including the dawning reality that borrowing rates in many large markets are likely going to be higher for longer.
Over the past week, the benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yield surged to roughly 4.80%, hitting its highest point since President Donald Trump returned to the White House early last year. This undid any positive impact from Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's bond-buying announcement two weeks ago.
#markets #many #hitting #debt
