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Fresh US economic data is sending a clear but nuanced signal to markets. Inflation pressures are easing, but consumers remain under strain.
For Bitcoin and the broader crypto market, that mix points to improving macro conditions, tempered by near-term volatility.
US consumer sentiment edged up to 52.9 in December, slightly higher than November but still nearly 30% lower than a year ago, according to the University of Michigan.
At the same time, inflation expectations continued to fall. Short-term expectations dropped to 4.2%, while long-term expectations eased to 3.2%.
For markets, those i

Professor Andrew Urquhart is Professor of Finance and Financial Technology and Head of the Department of Finance at Birmingham Business School (BBS).
This is the tenth installment of the Professor Coin column, in which I bring important insights from published academic literature on cryptocurrencies to the Decrypt readership. In this article, I discuss how crypto’s relationship with equities has evolved.
Not so long ago, Bitcoin was marketed as the ultimate diversifier—an ***** et supposedly immune to whatever was happening in equity markets. Early academic work backed that up: Liu and Tsyvi

Bitcoin may be holding slightly below $90,000, but data imply that the $100K year-end target is still alive as ****** ysts point out that three Bitcoin Price Prediction indicators are flashing a green signal.
The first and most critical driver is the shift in Federal Reserve monetary policy.
After months of reducing liquidity through quantitative tightening, where the central bank stopped reinvesting proceeds from maturing bonds and Treasury holdings, the Fed ended this program on December 1.
Markets are now positioning for an easing cycle.

https://cryptonews.com/new...

Crypto is down again, and the drop is chewing our portfolios as we see the rise in crypto liquidations and debate on Michael Burry and his Bitcoin comments. With crypto down across major ******* ets and liquidations climbing, we are questioning why Bitcoin is falling even while traditional markets are up.
What deepens the discussion is how often Michael Burry skepticism on Bitcoin comes during these volatility spikes, especially when crypto is down without any direct negative catalyst. As the crypto market absorbs the latest wave of liquidations, the vibe has shifted from surprise to concern.

In recent remarks at the “Revitalizing America’s Markets” event, SEC Chair Paul Atkins laid out a plan that would fundamentally redefine what it means to be a public company in the United States. He framed it as a plan to “make IPOs great again,” but beneath the rhetoric lies something far more consequential: a shift toward a marketplace where public companies behave like private ones — shielded from disclosure, insulated from shareholder input, and increasingly detached from the long-term health of the broader economy. In essence, it is a move toward absolute control by CEOs and their boards

Dow Jones Top Markets Headlines at 3 AM ET: Dow Slips, Small Stocks Rally Amid...

Dow Slips, Small Stocks Rally Amid Mixed Signals on Economy
Bond yields rise in the U.S. and ****** an, and new data showed an unexpected drop in weekly American jobless claims.
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Why investors see Friday's inflation report as a gut check of vibes on the economy
Stocks are back on the doorstep of record territory after a volatile month on Wall Street, but persistent inflation worries and souring consumer sentiment are keeping investors uneasy ahead of the Fed's last policy meeting of the year.

https:

The IMF published a new 56-page departmental paper, “Understanding Stablecoins,” on December 2, 2025, warning that large foreign‑currency stablecoins can accelerate currency substitution and erode monetary control in weaker economies. The report is available on the IMF site and is authored by Tobias Adrian and 15 co‑authors from the fund’s Monetary and Capital Markets Department.
The paper notes that global stablecoin capitalization now exceeds $300 billion. About 97% of outstanding tokens reference the U.S. dollar, concentrating influence in issuers such as Tether’s USDT and Circle’s USDC.

Bitcoin held just under $92,000 on Friday as traders weighed a heavy mix of labour data, central bank bets and choppy equity markets in Asia, Europe and the US.
Akshat Siddhant, lead quant ****** yst at Mudrex, said the crypto market continues to display strong resilience.
“Renewed whale accumulation is supporting the trend, as ETH whales have added over 450,000 ETH since mid-November, with BTC whales showing similar activity.”
“Even with the US labour market displaying solid strength, the odds for a rate cut this month stand at 93%, contributing to the buying pressure. A clear move above $

Louis Navellier has seen a thing or two over the years. Navellier, a veteran money manager who has been navigating the stock market since the 1980s, is the founder of Navellier & ****** ociates, a firm with about $1 billion in ****** ets under management.
His long career means he has managed money through the savings and loan crisis of the 1980s and early 1990s, the internet boom and bust, the Great Recession, the Covid pandemic, and 2022's bear market. Along the way, he learned some valuable insights about markets and what causes stocks to rise or fall — a knowledge that has helped keep him

Initial jobless claims dropped to 191,000—far below the 219,000 forecast—marking the lowest level since 2022, according to Kathy Jones, Chief Fixed Income Strategist at Schwab Center for Financial Research. Jones cautioned: "Good news, but the data can be a bit volatile around the holidays."
The unexpectedly strong labor market print comes just one day after December Fed rate cut odds surged to 88.8% following flat import price data, with the robust claims figure now raising questions about whether the Fed needs to ease as aggressively as markets anticipate.
Jones’ holiday volatility warning

Stock markets pulled back in November, as worries about an AI bubble persisted, along with concerns about a lack of visibility over the state of the US economy as official data releases were delayed due to the government shutdown.
President Donald Trump signed a funding bill on 12 November, which ended the longest US government shutdown in history, having lasted for 43 days.
Tilmann Galler, global market strategist at JPMorgan **** et Management (JPM), said that even though the shutdown ended in mid-November, "market uncertainty regarding the ambiguous data environment, the impact on growth,

The Santa Claus rally is usually one of Wall Street’s favorite holiday traditions. Stocks tend to grind higher after Thanksgiving, volatility fades, and December often delivers one of the strongest months of the year.
This year, strategists say, Santa may not show up.
“None [of the months this year] have behaved the way they have seasonally," Amy Wu Silverman, head of derivatives strategy at RBC Capital Markets, told Yahoo Finance.
And there are plenty of reasons why. The year has offered reminder after reminder that this isn’t a normal market cycle: The DeepSeek meltdown in February, Presi

Bitcoin is set to fall even further after the top crypto’s price tumbled below $86,000 on Monday, ******* ysts warn.
The 7% overnight fall erased the gains seen in the market last week, but market watchers warn several factors stand in the way of a full-on recovery.
Investors should brace for “choppy, range-bound markets to close out the year” in the context of liquidity “stress still lurking in the background,” ******* ysts David Brickell and Chris Mills of the London Crypto Club warned in their weekly newsletter.
The slip below $86,000 comes as more market watchers are turning pessimistic

Dow Jones Top Markets Headlines at 5 AM ET: Global Markets Slip Amid Risk...

Global Markets Slip Amid Risk Aversion
U.S. futures and international equities markets started the week lower and bond yields rose as investors shifted away from risky ***** ets.
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Rate Hikes Wouldn't Put Brakes on ***** an's Economy, BOJ's Ueda Says
The Bank of ***** an will thoroughly discuss the possibility of an interest-rate increase at its coming meeting, Gov. Kazuo Ueda said, stoking hopes for a resumption of monetary tightening this year.

https://www.morningstar.co...

Crypto markets closed November with their steepest monthly decline since February, as exchange volumes plunged to $1.59 trillion and bitcoin ETFs hemorrhaged $3.48 billion in net outflows.
The sector-wide retreat accelerated Monday when Bitcoin crashed below $86,000, wiping out over $600 million in leveraged positions and extending losses that began weeks earlier when the world’s largest cryptocurrency tumbled from its $126,251 all-time high.
Source: TradingView
Trading activity across centralized exchanges fell 26.7% from October’s $2.17 trillion, marking the weakest performance since June

Fed contender Hassett says markets are already reacting as Trump nears decision

(Bloomberg) -- President Donald Trump said Sunday he has decided on his pick for the next Federal Reserve chair after making clear he expects his nominee to deliver interest-rate cuts.
“I know who I am going to pick, yeah,” Trump told reporters on Air Force One on his way back to Washington, without naming his choice. “We’ll be announcing it.”
Most Read from Bloomberg
Europe’s Largest Capital Without a Subway Is Finally Getting One
Trump has frequently excoriated current Fed chief Jerome Powell for failing t

The total crypto market cap (TOTAL) witnessed a sharp drop today as over $162 billion was wiped out in the last 24 hours. Bitcoin (BTC) fell below $86,000 in the process, with altcoins following suit, led by Zcash (ZEC), falling by 20% today.
In the news today:-
Global capital is pouring into US markets at record levels, with foreign investors heavily buying equities and Treasury demand shifting structurally. Meanwhile, US consumer debt has hit an all-time high, signaling a major shift in global risk appetite that could impact both crypto and equity markets.
Japan’s 2-year bond yield hit 1%

Japan's 2-year government bond yield surged to 1% on December 1, its highest since 2008. Bank of ***** an Governor Kazuo Ueda signaled a possible interest rate hike at the December 18-19 monetary policy meeting, sending ripples through global financial markets.
This development could mark the end of three decades of ultra-low interest rates that fueled the yen carry trade. As borrowing costs rise and the yen strengthens, global markets now brace for significant deleveraging across ***** et classes.
Japan’s bond market moved sharply following Ueda's recent statements. The 2-year note yield ro

This year has brought all sorts of twists and turns for investors.
Remember the "Liberation Day" tariff spectacle the market had to digest in April? The S&P 500 (^GSPC) tanked 4.8% the day after President Trump unveiled sweeping tariffs on April 2. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) dropped a staggering 1,679 points.
Tariffs are now in effect, though they are not as severe as first advertised. Markets have clawed back losses to trade near record highs.
Crypto has finally been embraced by major financial institutions. And the Federal Reserve has started cutting interest rates again.
Bu

The final month of the year gets underway on Monday, and investors will be looking for a smoother month to round out the year after choppy November trading saw the Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) snap a seven-month winning streak while the S&P 500 (^GSPC) moved back to within 1% of a record high.
On Friday, markets ended the week by notching a fifth straight session of gains to close out the up-and-down month in a holiday-shortened trading session. And despite snapping its monthly winning streak, the Nasdaq is also within 3% of a record. The Dow is less than 2% off its record close.
And while the f

This is The Takeaway from today's Morning Brief, which you can sign up to receive in your inbox every morning along with:
What we're watching
What we're reading
Economic data releases and earnings
Americans gathering at the Thanksgiving table to talk about cryptocurrency has been a holiday staple since 2017. This year, a new innovation took its place: prediction markets.

https://finance.yahoo.com/...

Bitcoin (BTC) could climb to $240,000 over the long term, according to a recent JPMorgan note ***** sing the ***** et’s evolving market structure.
The projection followed a weak stretch for the broader crypto market, with BTC falling from its early October peak of $126,000 to around $82,000 in November.
At the time of writing, BTC had stabilized near $86,610.
In the note, ***** ysts wrote that crypto markets are now influenced more by macroeconomic forces than by Bitcoin’s four-year halving cycle, which historically preceded major bull runs.
“Crypto is moving away from resembling a venture

Bitcoin and Ethereum are mostly flat ahead of the Thanksgiving holiday on Thursday.
Bitcoin and Ethereum are down nearly 1% over 24 hours, while XRP is down 3.1%, undoing Monday’s ETF-driven gains, according to CoinGecko data. The performance of Solana, BNB, Dogecoin, and other top altcoins hovers between -1% and 1%.
While the broader traditional finance sector remains closed on Thursday's Thanksgiving holiday, crypto markets will remain open. However, due to the holiday, liquidity and volume are often drained from the market, which could trigger volatile moves.
“I wouldn’t read today’s mar

Bitcoin (BTC) fell close to 33% from its peak to around $84,000 amid a broader tech sell-off.
Strategy (MSTR) shares dropped 63% from their high as the company continues buying Bitcoin during the decline.
Strategy was excluded from the S&P 500 and may face exclusion from other indices during Bitcoin’s downturn.
If you’re thinking about retiring or know someone who is, there are three quick questions causing many Americans to realize they can retire earlier than expected. take 5 minutes to learn more here
There's a bit of a panic going on in the crypto markets, to say the least, with Bitcoi

Good morning, Asia. Here’s what’s moving before the bell.
Asian markets opened stronger on Wednesday, with traders leaning back into risk ***** ets as Bitcoin held near $87,000 and investors doubled down on the idea that the US Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in December.
Stocks across the region tracked Wall Street’s rebound. MSCI’s gauge of Asia-Pacific shares outside ***** an rose about 1% in early trade, while ***** an’s Nikkei jumped around 1.8%.
US equity futures added to the upbeat tone with modest gains, building on the prior session’s climb.

https://cryptonews.com/new...

Markets react as Trump signals Hassett may be his pick to lead Fed after Powell

(Bloomberg) -- White House National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett is seen by advisers and allies of President Donald Trump as the frontrunner to be the next Federal Reserve chair, according to people familiar with the matter, as the search for a new central bank leader enters its final weeks.
With Hassett, Trump would have a close ally whom the president knows well and trusts installed at the independent central bank, the people said, speaking on the condition of anonymity. Hassett is seen as someone

Benzinga and Yahoo Finance LLC may earn commission or revenue on some items through the links below.
Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) is experiencing the same kind of shock traditional markets see once in a generation — only Bitcoiners endure it every 18 months, says Anthony Pompliano, who argues the current correction is entirely normal.
What Happened: In a new CNBC interview, Pompliano explained that Bitcoin has logged 21 drawdowns of more than 30% over the past decade, including seven drops exceeding 50%. For long-term holders, this isn't chaos, it's routine.
What is unusual, he noted, is the wave

As November wraps up, a holiday-shortened week of trading, courtesy of Thanksgiving Day and Black Friday, will greet investors who continue to wrestle with the fallout from Nvidia's (NVDA) blockbuster earnings report alongside flagging confidence in the overall AI-driven market.
On Friday, markets capped a roller-coaster week with daily gains but weekly losses, as the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) fell over 2% while the S&P 500 (^GSPC) and the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) fell about 1.5% for the week.
A strong September jobs report, strong earnings from Nvidia, and a positive th

Bitcoin's recent price decline has revealed a sharp split in trading, with US sessions driving sell-offs while Asian traders steadily buy the dip. Data shows American sessions have become the weakest period for Bitcoin prices.
This divergence highlights contrasting risk appetites and sparks debate about whether Bitcoin is experiencing a healthy correction or facing deeper structural issues.
This week's price activity reflects a clear trend: US trading hours show persistent losses, with European sessions experiencing smaller declines. In contrast, Asian-Pacific markets remain comparatively st

US stocks were hammered on Thursday as an abrupt midday reversal in markets followed a blockbuster earnings report from Nvidia (NVDA) and the release of the long-delayed September jobs report, which showed hiring grew more than expected in the final month of the third quarter.
When the closing bell rang on Thursday, the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) had taken the sharpest losses, falling more than 2.1% from Wednesday's close, and marking a more than 3.5% intraday reversal.
The S&P 500 (^GSPC) fell 1.5%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) lost 380 points, or 0.8%.
Stocks opene