8 days ago
The S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) has spent most of 2026 at or near record highs. While that's been good news for anyone invested in the index, a problem is developing beneath the surface.
As of Oct. 5, the S&P 500 was trading at less than 1% below its all-time high, yet only 42% of its components were trading above their 200-day moving average. According to Dow Jones Market Data, the last time the S&P 500 was within 1% of a record high while more than half of its stocks traded below their 200-day moving averages was March 2000.
Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again. In 2009, a "Double Down" signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. For the first time in years, that same "Total Conviction" signal is flashing for a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia. Continue »
Clearly, no one likes to see comparisons to the peak of the tech bubble. But this isn't a signal to sell stocks. Rather, it's time to rethink what you're actually owning when you buy the S&P 500.
Obviously, the S&P 500 is historically top-heavy right now. Tech stocks account for roughly 38% of the index, while the top 10 holdings also account for approximately 38%.
#time #Tech #record
As of Oct. 5, the S&P 500 was trading at less than 1% below its all-time high, yet only 42% of its components were trading above their 200-day moving average. According to Dow Jones Market Data, the last time the S&P 500 was within 1% of a record high while more than half of its stocks traded below their 200-day moving averages was March 2000.
Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again. In 2009, a "Double Down" signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. For the first time in years, that same "Total Conviction" signal is flashing for a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia. Continue »
Clearly, no one likes to see comparisons to the peak of the tech bubble. But this isn't a signal to sell stocks. Rather, it's time to rethink what you're actually owning when you buy the S&P 500.
Obviously, the S&P 500 is historically top-heavy right now. Tech stocks account for roughly 38% of the index, while the top 10 holdings also account for approximately 38%.
#time #Tech #record
25 days ago
Six-Month Run: NVDA stock has climbed 20.6% since mid-March, a 45.4% annualized pace, even as the S&P 500 wobbled under the Fed's rate hike and a 10-year Treasury yield near 5%.
Model Verdict: TIKR's model puts fair value at $643, implying 193% total return by early 2031.
Coverage Split: Nvidia stock carries 48 buy ratings, 10 outperforms, 2 holds, 2 no opinions and 1 sell, with a mean target of $328, 50% above the current price.
Supply Squeeze: Nvidia guided to roughly 70% revenue growth for fiscal 2028 on demand it calls supply-constrained, with cloud industry backlog above $2 trillion.
Nvidia (NVDA) stock has climbed 20.6% since mid-March, a 45.4% annualized pace, while the Federal Reserve's first rate hike in more than three years pushed the 10-year Treasury yield toward 5% and dragged the S&P 500 into back-to-back weekly declines. Most of the market treated the hike as a reason to sell. Nvidia stock kept climbing anyway.
#march #model #supply #since
Model Verdict: TIKR's model puts fair value at $643, implying 193% total return by early 2031.
Coverage Split: Nvidia stock carries 48 buy ratings, 10 outperforms, 2 holds, 2 no opinions and 1 sell, with a mean target of $328, 50% above the current price.
Supply Squeeze: Nvidia guided to roughly 70% revenue growth for fiscal 2028 on demand it calls supply-constrained, with cloud industry backlog above $2 trillion.
Nvidia (NVDA) stock has climbed 20.6% since mid-March, a 45.4% annualized pace, while the Federal Reserve's first rate hike in more than three years pushed the 10-year Treasury yield toward 5% and dragged the S&P 500 into back-to-back weekly declines. Most of the market treated the hike as a reason to sell. Nvidia stock kept climbing anyway.
#march #model #supply #since
26 days ago
Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) and Micron Technology (NASDAQ: MU) are two of the biggest companies in the world. Nvidia holds the top spot, sitting at a $5.3 trillion valuation. Micron currently sits at 13th place worldwide, with a $1.1 trillion valuation. These companies are also two of the biggest beneficiaries of the artificial intelligence (AI) build-out, and with that expected to ramp up again in 2027, these two are in a prime position to benefit.
But which stock stands to benefit more? Let's take a look at these two and see which stock makes the most sense for your investment dollars.
Missed AI's "Act 1"? Act 2 Could Be 15x Bigger. Most investors think they missed the AI boat because they didn't buy Nvidia in 2005. But according to our ***** ysts, we're only at the end of "Act 1"—the R&D phase. "Act 2" is the global rollout. Continue »
Nvidia and Micron are partners in the AI arms race. Micron makes memory chips, including DRAM memory that's utilized inside Nvidia GPUs. Micron's DRAM chips are also utilized in several other competitors' products, and demand for these products continues to rise.
Nvidia forecasts that the big five AI hyperscalers will spend nearly $800 billion on data center capital expenditures during 2026. Next year, that figure is projected to rise to $1.3 trillion. That's a lot of GPUs from Nvidia, filled with memory chips from Micron. There is huge demand for each company's product, but there is a stark difference in the long-term demand curve for each.
#memory #demand #gpus
But which stock stands to benefit more? Let's take a look at these two and see which stock makes the most sense for your investment dollars.
Missed AI's "Act 1"? Act 2 Could Be 15x Bigger. Most investors think they missed the AI boat because they didn't buy Nvidia in 2005. But according to our ***** ysts, we're only at the end of "Act 1"—the R&D phase. "Act 2" is the global rollout. Continue »
Nvidia and Micron are partners in the AI arms race. Micron makes memory chips, including DRAM memory that's utilized inside Nvidia GPUs. Micron's DRAM chips are also utilized in several other competitors' products, and demand for these products continues to rise.
Nvidia forecasts that the big five AI hyperscalers will spend nearly $800 billion on data center capital expenditures during 2026. Next year, that figure is projected to rise to $1.3 trillion. That's a lot of GPUs from Nvidia, filled with memory chips from Micron. There is huge demand for each company's product, but there is a stark difference in the long-term demand curve for each.
#memory #demand #gpus
28 days ago
The dollar index (DXY00) rose by +0.14% on Tuesday, just below Monday's 1.5-week high. Tuesday's +4% surge in WTI crude oil prices raised inflation expectations and could persuade the Fed to tighten monetary policy, supporting the dollar. Also, Tuesday's increase in the 10-year T-note yield to a 19-year high of 5.04% strengthens the dollar's interest rate differentials. In addition, expectations that the Fed will raise interest rates by 25 bp at the Tue/Wed FOMC meeting support the dollar. The dollar fell from its best level on Tuesday after the Sep Empire manufacturing survey came in weaker than expected.
The US Sep Empire manufacturing survey of general business conditions fell -13.0 points to 7.6, weaker than expectations of 15.0.
Dollar Edges Higher as Stocks Fall and Crude Oil Rallies
Dollar Supported by Higher Crude Prices and T-Note Yields
Dollar Climbs as Stocks Sink and Crude Oil Surges
#crude #prices #high
The US Sep Empire manufacturing survey of general business conditions fell -13.0 points to 7.6, weaker than expectations of 15.0.
Dollar Edges Higher as Stocks Fall and Crude Oil Rallies
Dollar Supported by Higher Crude Prices and T-Note Yields
Dollar Climbs as Stocks Sink and Crude Oil Surges
#crude #prices #high
1 month ago
The S&P 500 Index ($SPX) (SPY) on Friday rose by +0.86%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DOWI) (DIA) rose by +0.98%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX) (QQQ) rose by +0.91%. E-mini S&P futures (ESU26) rose +0.83%, and September E-mini Nasdaq futures (NQU26) rose +0.86%.
Stock indexes closed higher, supported by Friday's -2.4% decline in oil prices. The stock market took Friday's CPI report largely in stride, even as the 10-year T-note yield closed slightly higher and the odds of a Fed rate hike next week rose to 85%.
GME Stock Jumps as GameStop CEO Ryan Cohen Buys $20 Million Worth of Shares
Rocket Lab Stock Just Scored a New Bullish Rating
Cathie Wood Just Bet $45 Million on This Beaten-Down ***** e Stock. Wall Street Sees 70% Upside.
#index #futures #higher #Friday
Stock indexes closed higher, supported by Friday's -2.4% decline in oil prices. The stock market took Friday's CPI report largely in stride, even as the 10-year T-note yield closed slightly higher and the odds of a Fed rate hike next week rose to 85%.
GME Stock Jumps as GameStop CEO Ryan Cohen Buys $20 Million Worth of Shares
Rocket Lab Stock Just Scored a New Bullish Rating
Cathie Wood Just Bet $45 Million on This Beaten-Down ***** e Stock. Wall Street Sees 70% Upside.
#index #futures #higher #Friday
1 month ago
Key Takeaways
Bitcoin climbed back above $80,000 after Fed Governor Christopher Waller said cooling inflation could justify leaving interest rates unchanged in September.
Three-month core inflation has fallen from 4.76% in February to 3.05% through July, according to Waller, although annual PCE inflation remains well above the Fed's 2% target.
Markets are almost evenly divided over a Sept. 16 rate hike, making the upcoming August CPI report a major test for Bitcoin.
Bitcoin has returned above $80,000 as a sharp improvement in short-term US inflation data gives crypto traders a new reason to question whether the Federal Reserve will raise rates on Sept. 16.
#waller #sept #christopher #september
Bitcoin climbed back above $80,000 after Fed Governor Christopher Waller said cooling inflation could justify leaving interest rates unchanged in September.
Three-month core inflation has fallen from 4.76% in February to 3.05% through July, according to Waller, although annual PCE inflation remains well above the Fed's 2% target.
Markets are almost evenly divided over a Sept. 16 rate hike, making the upcoming August CPI report a major test for Bitcoin.
Bitcoin has returned above $80,000 as a sharp improvement in short-term US inflation data gives crypto traders a new reason to question whether the Federal Reserve will raise rates on Sept. 16.
#waller #sept #christopher #september
1 month ago
Shares of Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) stepped on the gas Monday morning, gaining as much as 4.9% in early trading. As of 11:22 a.m. ET, the stock was still up 4.5%.
The catalyst that sent the electric vehicle (EV) specialist higher was a weekend missive from CEO Elon Musk.
Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again. In 2009, a "Double Down" signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. For the first time in years, that same "Total Conviction" signal is flashing for a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia. Continue »
In a post on X this weekend, Musk replied to a post about plans by **** e Exploration Technologies (NASDAQ: SPCX), aka **** eX, to manufacture its own gas turbine blades to remove one bottleneck in data center construction. He noted that both **** eX and Tesla were "each building 100 gigawatts per year of solar production capacity as fast as possible," but that the process would take several years.
Natural gas would be needed to fill the gap in the interim, but the "limiting factor" on current production is the time-intensive process of casting gas turbine blades. "By doing in-house casting at **** eX, we can accelerate [natural] gas turbines coming online by up to 18 months, which is a profound game-changer."
#NVIDIA #SpaceX #musk #natural
The catalyst that sent the electric vehicle (EV) specialist higher was a weekend missive from CEO Elon Musk.
Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again. In 2009, a "Double Down" signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. For the first time in years, that same "Total Conviction" signal is flashing for a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia. Continue »
In a post on X this weekend, Musk replied to a post about plans by **** e Exploration Technologies (NASDAQ: SPCX), aka **** eX, to manufacture its own gas turbine blades to remove one bottleneck in data center construction. He noted that both **** eX and Tesla were "each building 100 gigawatts per year of solar production capacity as fast as possible," but that the process would take several years.
Natural gas would be needed to fill the gap in the interim, but the "limiting factor" on current production is the time-intensive process of casting gas turbine blades. "By doing in-house casting at **** eX, we can accelerate [natural] gas turbines coming online by up to 18 months, which is a profound game-changer."
#NVIDIA #SpaceX #musk #natural
