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KP346UDQy7
8 hours ago
Dutch Bros Executive Chairman Travis Boersma sold 2.39 million shares worth about $106.4 million.
Dutch Bros' Q3 revenue rose 30% to $549.8 million, but EPS missed Street estimates.
On Stocktwits, retail sentiment jumped to 'extremely bullish' from 'bearish'.
Dutch Bros Inc. (BROS) stock plunged overnight as third-quarter (Q3) earnings miss and a $106.4 million stock sale by Executive Chairman Travis Boersma rattled investors, overshadowing revenue growth even as retail traders doubled down on the coffee chain's long-term potential.
Dutch Bros stock traded over 15% lower overnight. The stock had registered gains for the past three weeks.

#bros #Stock #executive #travis
codez
28 days ago
For a subset of young workers, the name of the game is to squirrel away enough savings and investments so retirement can come early, substituting strategic personal finance for a lifetime of labor. (FIRE!)
It turns out that the post-pandemic boom and explosion of stock prices has already gifted many older Americans with a version of that lifestyle, according to Bank of America — and it's affecting the economy.
Labor force participation — which measures the share of people employed or seeking work among the total population — never recovered after the shock of the pandemic.
According to BofA's economics team, led by Aditya Bhave, the biggest driver behind the decline in overall labor force participation has been workers over age 55 leaving the workforce.
"This debunks a popular bearish narrative on the labor market: 'the u-rate would have been higher if participation hadn't fallen,'" Bhave wrote.

#according #workers #FIRE #americans
266prism_packet
30 days ago
Famed "Big Short" investor Michael Burry isn't letting go of his bearish views towards Wall Street.
"The stock market is quite obviously in its first stage of grief, denial," Burry recently wrote on X. "Per 2000 and 2008, this stage lasts 6-9 months."
Jeff Bezos backs a platform that lets anyone invest in rental homes for as little as $100 — 6 ways to build wealth like a landlord without actually being one
Dave Ramsey warns nearly 50% of Americans are making 1 big Social Security mistake. Here's what it is and 3 simple steps to fix it ASAP
A single line on your car insurance policy could be inflating your premium by up to 30% — here's what to change

#burry #short #wall #jeff
xiztkyvuntdcnwe
1 month ago
Michael Burry continues his downbeat view of the market with bearish positions against top tech names like Nvidia and Palantir.

#bearish
bolt_mostly8543
1 month ago
Any semblance of sizzle has been pounded out of McDonald's (MCD) stock.
Shares of the high-calorie fast food seller dropped below $230 for the first time in more than four years on Monday.
Today's move is being driven by a relatively bearish note from Guggenheim ******* yst Gregory Francfort.
"It seems difficult to get positive on shares now without better evidence of a catalyst path over the next 12 months," Francfort said. "1Q27 comparisons do seem to get a lot easier than the Street models, which could be a catalyst, but we would like to see fundamental reasons that MCD's franchisees are buying into entry level value menu efforts or ops improvements than can drive traffic."
Francfort maintained a Neutral rating on McDonald's stock.

#guggenheim
vsZLH
2 months ago
Morgan Stanley has cut Novo Nordisk A/S (NYSE:NVO) to Underweight on September 11, 2026. Semaglutide, the underlying molecule for Wegovy and Ozempic, generates roughly 75% of 2026 revenue. Morgan Stanley models that it will still represent 59% of total sales when its patent protection expires in 2031. And according to the firm, the valuation does not price in the impact it has on Novo's terminal value. The stock, currently trading at 10.6x earnings and down 33% from its 52-week high, slipped another 2% following the call. At this point, the question isn't about whether the patent cliff is real or not, but whether the 10x multiple reflects an actual bargain.
Semaglutide loses exclusivity in Europe in 2031 and the US in 2032. And Morgan Stanley believes Novo's oral-obesity business, projected to reach $10 billion by 2031, could not offset the pricing collapse after the arrival of generics. Growth decelerates to a 4% compound rate between 2027 and 2030. If the deceleration continues, it will justify 10x earnings as a fair price instead of a cheap one.
The 10.6x multiple already prices aggressive pessimism into a market leader of one of the fastest-growing drug classes in history. Morgan Stanley fueled the pessimism by discounting a 2031 cliff five years earlier. However, pharmaceutical patent expirations frequently face extensions and prove difficult to time. Second, the ***** umption that oral obesity treatments cannot offset patent losses relies on oral semaglutide being the bridge. But Novo's next-generation portfolio, including CagriSema and amycretin, offers a significant defense against the patent cliff. This remains unproven, however, specifically after CagriSema's earlier weight-loss data failed to impress, yet Morgan Stanley's terminal-value model discounts this pipeline almost entirely. The company is also expanding its franchise. On September 7, the STEP Young trial hit its endpoint in children aged six to twelve, strengthening the base its successors inherit.
The smart money is leaning in. As per the Insider Monkey database, 59 hedge funds held NVO in the second quarter of 2026, up from 55 in the first, indicating a slight increase in the modest institutional interest in the stock. Short interest on the ADR is negligible at about 0.7%. The positioning reflects a beaten-down value stock quietly seeing institutional accumulation while Wall Street turns increasingly bearish.

#semaglutide #oral
L62aI
2 months ago
Eli Lilly presents mid-stage eloraTZP data September 30, and LLY stock near $1,152 with a $1 trillion market cap leaves no room for a weak result.
Novo Nordisk's GLP-1 franchise faces headwinds while Viking Therapeutics' VK2735 looms; a convincing eloraTZP win raises the bar for both rivals.
Bearish options positioning shows put/call ratios hitting 4.67 for October 9 expiry, signaling Wall Street is hedging hard against disappointment.
Just released. Our **** ysts combed the entire stock market and named the ten best stocks to buy right now, and Eli Lilly didn't make the cut. Enter your email to see the names that beat LLY. The report is free. Enter your email and see if any of your stocks made the cut.
Eli Lilly (NYSE:LLY) presents mid-stage data on eloraTZP, a combination of eloralintide and tirzepatide, at a European **** ociation for the Study of Diabetes symposium on September 30.

#eloratzp #september #Stock
wjx9z4tcsv5m00k
2 months ago
Array Technologies (ARRY) shares moved meaningfully lower on Sept. 18 after a senior UBS **** yst, Jon Windham, downgraded the solar tracking manufacturer to "Neutral." Windham also slashed his price target in half to $5, cautioning investors against expecting a swift recovery in ARRY in the near term.
His bearish call is meaningful, given that Array Technologies stock has already been a disappointment for investors in 2026, currently down more than 65% versus its year-to-date high.
Elon Musk, Who Became the World's First Trillionaire, Still Sleeps in a Tiny $50,000 House Where His Mom Uses the Garage — 'It's Kinda Awesome Though'
How to Play AMZN Stock as Amazon Unveils Project Mercury
JPMorgan Gives Up Forecasting Iran War Endgame as Trump Tells Reporters 'Anything Could Happen With Me'

#arry #Stock #musk
bZ9hy8t54CF
2 months ago
The dollar index (DXY00) fell from a 7-week high on Friday and finished down by -0.03%. The dollar gave its advance on Friday on weaker-than-expected US economic news that showed Aug manufacturing production and Aug leading indicators unexpectedly declined. Also, Friday's -1% fall in WTI crude oil eased inflation expectations and could persuade the Fed to loosen monetary policy, a bearish factor for the dollar.
The dollar initially moved higher on Friday on weakness in the yen, which fell to a 2-week low today. Higher T-note yields on Friday also supported the dollar. The dollar also has carryover support from Wednesday when the FOMC raised interest rates by 25 bp and signaled another rate hike by the end of the year. The dollar fell from its best level after US
Dollar Gains on Yen Weakness and Higher T-note Yields
Wall Street's Favorite Safe Haven Could Be In Trouble. How Investors Should Play Gold Here.
Stop Missing Market Moves: Get the FREE Barchart Brief – your midday dose of stock movers, trending sectors, and actionable trade ideas, delivered right to your inbox. Sign Up Now!

#Friday #yields
pushpx
2 months ago
Expedia (EXPE) shares closed meaningfully lower on Sept. 16 after a senior Morgan Stanley ******* yst, Brian Nowak, downgraded the travel technology company to "Underweight." In his research note, Nowak ******* igned a $235 price target to EXPE, indicating it could sink another 20% from current levels.
His bearish call is significant given Expedia stock has already been in a downtrend, with its price currently trailing the recent high by about 15%.
Why It's Time to Load Up on Nvidia Stock
The Case for Selling CrowdStrike Stock
Dear Tesla Stock Fans, Mark Your Calendars for October 1

#Stock #morgan #brian #underweight
014_zt
2 months ago
October WTI crude oil (CLV26) closed down -3.40 (-3.21%) on Wednesday, and October RBOB gasoline (RBV26) closed up +0.0198 (+0.57%).
Crude oil and gasoline prices settled mixed on Wednesday, with gasoline climbing to a 3-week nearest-futures high. Crude prices fell sharply on Wednesday as signs emerged that more crude supplies are reaching the market, easing supply concerns. Losses in crude accelerated on Wednesday after weekly EIA crude inventories fell less than expected and gasoline and distillate supplies rose more than expected. Also, Wednesday's rally in the dollar index ($DXY) to a 1.5-month high undercut energy prices.
Crude Oil Prices Retreat as Supply Fears Ease
Why UBS Just Turned Bearish on NuScale Power Stock
Crude Prices Soar as Global Oil Supplies Continue to Tighten

#crude #wednesday #supply #high
807packet
2 months ago
October Nymex natural gas (NGV26) on Wednesday closed down -0.028 (-0.96%).
Nat-gas prices retreated from a 1-week high on Wednesday and settled lower as a decline in European nat-gas prices to a 1-week low sparked long liquidation in US nat-gas futures. Nat-gas prices initially rose on Wednesday on the outlook for above-average US temperatures, which should boost nat-gas demand from electricity providers as air conditioning use is expected to increase. The Commodity Weather Group said Wednesday that above-average temperatures are expected across the South and Southeast through September 25.
Crude Oil Prices Sharply Lower as Middle East Disruptions Ease
Crude Oil Prices Retreat as Supply Fears Ease
Why UBS Just Turned Bearish on NuScale Power Stock

#prices #lower #average #expected
18dig
2 months ago
Teck Resources Ltd (NYSE:TECK) stock's pullback from its Sept. 8 record high of $72.56 has found support at the 60-, 80-, and 100-day moving averages. The 100-day trendline in particular is a historically bullish signal that presents an intriguing 'buy the dip' angle.
Per Schaeffer's Senior Quantitative ******* yst Rocky White, TECK has traded within 0.75 times the 100-day moving average's 20-day average true range (ATR) after spending at least 80% of the previous two weeks and 80% of the prior 42 trading sessions above the trendline. This setup has occurred eight other times over the last decade, after which the stock was higher one month later 75% of the time, averaging a large 13.8% gain.
Short interest accounts for a healthy 7.5% of the stock's available float, leaving ample sideline buying power should some of these bearish bets begin to unwind. TECK's 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 28.4 also sits in "oversold" territory, which often precedes a short-term bounce.
Plus, TECK's Schaeffer's Volatility Scorecard (SVS) sits at 81 out of 100, suggesting the shares have tended to outperform options traders' volatility expectations during the past year.

#resources
tuvidashukve050
2 months ago
U.S. diesel prices have moved into record territory. The national average price of diesel climbed to a record $6.23 per gallon on Sept. 14, after first breaking above the $6 threshold last week. And diesel is hitting new highs again today at around $6.31. According to AAA data, the national average diesel price reached about $6.05 per gallon on Sept. 11, 2026, surpassing the previous record established in June 2022. The latest price is roughly 68% higher than the level of about $3.71 per gallon a year ago, highlighting the extraordinary speed of the rally.
The surge is being driven by a global shortage of refined petroleum products rather than crude oil alone. Disruptions to Middle Eastern energy infrastructure, sharply reduced traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, and attacks on Russian refineries have reduced the availability of diesel and other middle distillates. The situation has become serious enough that diesel prices are now adding to broader inflation concerns while simultaneously creating a potentially attractive environment for U.S. refiners.
Crude Oil Prices Sharply Lower as Middle East Disruptions Ease
Crude Oil Prices Retreat as Supply Fears Ease
Why UBS Just Turned Bearish on NuScale Power Stock

#Diesel
64dash
2 months ago
October WTI crude oil (CLV26) is down -4.07 (-3.85%) today, and October RBOB gasoline (RBV26) is down -0.-0350 (-1.01%).
Crude oil and gasoline prices are sharply lower today on signs that crude supplies are getting through the Strait of Hormuz, easing supply concerns. Losses in crude accelerated today after weekly EIA crude inventories fell less than expected and gasoline and distillate supplies rose more than expected.
Crude Oil Prices Sharply Lower as Middle East Disruptions Ease
Why UBS Just Turned Bearish on NuScale Power Stock
Crude Prices Soar as Global Oil Supplies Continue to Tighten

#supplies #october
bouNc8FrOst
2 months ago
December cotton (CTZ26) futures present a selling opportunity on more price weakness.
See on the daily bar chart for December cotton futures that prices are trending down and have just hit a four-week low. See, too, at the bottom of the chart that the moving average convergence divergence (MACD) indicator is in a bearish posture as the blue MACD line is below the red trigger line and both lines are trending down. The bears have the near-term technical advantage as the trend is now their friend.
Coffee Prices Retreat on Ideal Growing Weather in Brazil and Vietnam
Cocoa Prices Fall on Signs of Adequate Supplies
Signs of Adequate Supplies Weigh on Cocoa Prices

#prices #macd #supplies
drift_meg
2 months ago
AI data centers are facing growing power constraints, and the issue is becoming increasingly urgent. New utility capacity can take years to develop and bring online, but hyperscalers cannot afford to wait that long to support their growing computing needs. That gap between supply and demand creates an opportunity for Bloom Energy (BE), which is focused on delivering power where and when hyperscalers like Microsoft (MSFT), Amazon (AMZN), and Alphabet (GOOG) (GOOGL) require it. The fundamentals are now starting to provide support for the growing optimism around its opportunity.
Bloom Energy's technology stands out because it can address the AI power challenge on a much shorter timeline. The company's solid-oxide fuel cells are manufactured in factories and can be moved where required. They can also be deployed much faster than traditional power infrastructure. Instead of waiting years for grid upgrades or additional turbine capacity, data center developers can install Bloom Energy's systems and bring power online in a much shorter timeframe. As AI infrastructure expands, that speed has helped the company establish itself as an increasingly important on-site power vendor. All major U.S. hyperscalers are also providing validation of its position.
Why UBS Just Turned Bearish on NuScale Power Stock
Crude Oil Prices Retreat as Supply Fears Ease
Crude Prices Soar as Global Oil Supplies Continue to Tighten

#bloom #crude
3_plbyxg_simply_fly
2 months ago
The dollar index (DXY00) climbed to a 2-week high today and is up by +0.09%. The dollar is climbing today on signs of US economic growth after Aug retail sales rose more than expected. The dollar also has support on expectations that the Fed will raise interest rates by 25 bp at today's FOMC meeting.
Higher stocks today have curbed demand for dollar liquidity. Also, the larger-than-expected decline in the Sep NAHB housing market index is negative for the dollar. In addition, today's -2% decline in WTI crude oil lowers inflation expectations and is dovish for Fed policy and bearish for the dollar.
Dollar Rises on Surging Crude Prices and T-Note Yields
Dollar Supported by Higher Crude Prices and T-Note Yields
Dollar Soars as Fed Hikes Rates and Signals More to Come

#today #higher #note #rates
WhIrl1260
2 months ago
Ethereum's native token, Ether (ETH), is showing signs of underperformance against Bitcoin (BTC), with a bearish double-top setup emerging just as the US Senate's failure to advance the CLARITY Act adds fresh uncertainty to the crypto market.
Ether was trading near 0.03167 BTC on Sept. 16, after failing to sustain its latest advance against Bitcoin.
The ETH/BTC daily chart shows two comparable peaks near 0.03344 BTC, one formed in August and another in September. Together, they resemble a potential double top, a bearish reversal structure that typically develops when buyers repeatedly fail to push price through the same resistance area.
Its neckline sits around 0.03078 BTC, meaning ETH/BTC would need a decisive daily close below that level to validate the breakdown.
If that happens, subtracting the pattern's maximum height from the neckline produces a downside target near 0.0283 BTC. That would represent a decline of roughly 10% from current levels, signaling further Ethereum underperformance relative to Bitcoin.

#Bitcoin #underperformance #daily #neckline
luckymdx
2 months ago
Shares of Nvidia Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA) stock are inching 0.4% higher to trade at $211.72 this afternoon, taking a breather after five-straight losing sessions, including yesterday's AI-induced selloff of 3.4%. The equity is still up 13.3% in 2026, however, and a rebound could soon be on the way, per a historically bullish trendline.
According to Schaeffer's Senior Quantitative ***** yst Rocky White, NVDA is trading within 0.75 times the 126-day moving average's 20-day average true range (ATR), after spending at least 80% of the previous two weeks and 80% of the prior 42 trading sessions above that trendline.
This setup has appeared 11 times over the last decade, after which the stock was higher one month later 82% of the time, averaging a 6.2% gain. From its current perch, a move of this caliber would put the equity just shy of $225.
NVDA sports a 50-day put/call volume ratio at the International Securities Exchange (ISE), Cboe Options Exchange (CBOE), and NASDAQ OMX PHLX (PHLX) that stands higher than 83% of readings from the past year. Should this bearish sentiment begin to unwind, it could trigger a new round of tailwinds for the shares.
Options are looking affordable as well. The stock's Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) of 34% stands higher than just 2% of all other readings from the past year. In other words, near-term option traders are pricing in low volatility expectations at the moment.

#NASDAQ #cboe #phlx
bluntly_hawk_lynx_72
2 months ago
Cathie Wood, head of Ark Investment Management, often buys her favorite tech stocks when she sees a new opportunity.
That's what she did last week, pouring $27.9 million into Meta Platforms (META) as the company pushes deeper into AI.
Last year, the flagship Ark Innovation ETF gained 35.49%, far outpacing the S&P 500's return of 17.88% in the same period. So far this year, Wood's flagship Ark Innovation ETF (ARKK) is up 8.66% as of writing, while the S&P 500 surged 11.85%, Yahoo Finance data shows.
Wood gained a reputation after the Ark Innovation ETF delivered a rosy 153% return in 2020. But her style also brings painful losses in bearish markets, as seen in 2022, when the ETF tumbled more than 60%.
Those swings have weighed on Wood's long-term gains. As of Sept. 11, her Ark Innovation ETF has delivered a five-year annualized return of -6.89%, while the S&P 500 has an annualized return of 11.42% over the same period, according to data from Morningstar.

#meta #last #period
mildlycomet
2 months ago
October WTI crude oil (CLV26) closed up +6.43 (+6.69%) on Thursday, and October RBOB gasoline (RBV26) closed up +0.1826 (+5.69%).
Crude oil and gasoline prices surged on Thursday, with crude oil posting a 3.5-month high and gasoline posting a 2-week high. Crude prices are rallying sharply amid fears that the US-Iran war will persist, reducing Middle East energy exports and tightening global oil supplies. Crude prices rallied on Thursday despite a bearish weekly EIA inventory report.
Crude Oil Prices Soar on Fears US-Iran War to Persist
What are Markets Waiting on Thursday Morning?
Nat-Gas Prices Recover as European Nat-Gas Surges

#october #fears #closed
o8Vu168zab6ytrU
2 months ago
On September 3, a caller asked if UnitedHealth Group Incorporated (NYSE:UNH) has enough profitable growth that they should consider adding it to their portfolio. Mad Money host Jim Cramer replied:
Yes, the answer: it does, it does. You know, I've got to tell you, I thought that last quarter was very, very good. The stock market did not like the quarter as much as I thought it would, but the stock's making a stand here. I think that UNH is good to buy.
Cramer's bullish stance rests on the core strength of the company's financial delivery and improving execution. In its second-quarter 2026 report, UnitedHealth Group Incorporated (NYSE:UNH) posted consolidated revenues of $112 billion and operating earnings of $8 billion. Adjusted diluted earnings per share reached $6.38, outpacing Wall Street expectations by $1.48. Driven by strong performance across both the UnitedHealthcare and Optum divisions, management raised its full-year 2026 adjusted EPS guidance to a range of $19.50 to $20. Furthermore, the medical care ratio improved to 86.7% down from 89.4% a year prior, showing that medical cost trends and pricing are aligning effectively.
On the other hand, Wall Street remains cautious about lingering cost pressures across the managed care landscape. Even though the medical care ratio improved compared to last year, patients continuing to utilize medical services at a high rate keeps expenses heavy. At the same time, commercial insurance margins are taking longer to bounce back. Adding in tighter payment adjustments for government-backed plans along with heavy spending on tech infrastructure, cautious investors could have reasons to wait rather than chasing the stock higher.
Insider Monkey's data tracking over 1000 hedge funds shows accumulation by major ****** et managers. 143 hedge funds had positions in UnitedHealth Group Incorporated (NYSE:UNH) in Q2 compared to 130 in Q1. Of those funds, Fisher ****** et Management was the top shareholder with nearly 9.1 million shares. The firm increased its position in the stock by 74% in the quarter. Additionally, short interest remains low, with the short percentage of the float sitting at 1.92%, showing a general lack of aggressive bearish bets against the stock.

#unitedhealth #funds
rsikvi
2 months ago
On September 3, a caller mentioned that they are unsure whether to buy, sell, or hold Intel Corporation (NASDAQ:INTC). In response, Mad Money host Jim Cramer said:
Okay, now, let's own this right up front. I got too excited about Intel because I knew it was going to have a good quarter. It had an unbelievable quarter, and the stock went down anyway... Here's the problem: The government has a huge position in it, and they're supposed to be able to sell it if they want to, and we're all waiting for the government to sell the stake, and that's why the stock's been going down. And I have been saying, listen, I may just have to go in and buy more right here, get a better average, and have it come back. I understand it is mixed, but my belief in Intel is 100%. I just need to see the government get out of the stock or just go buy it anyway.
Intel Corporation's (NASDAQ:INTC) fundamental business is finally turning a corner. The company blew past Wall Street estimates with $16.1 billion in second-quarter revenue, fueled by heavy demand for its Xeon data center chips and solid progress on its 18A manufacturing technology. For patient investors who watched management pour billions into rebuilding the company's chip-making muscle, these results offer encouraging signs that Intel's long-term comeback and push into AI hardware are starting to pay off.
Even with those solid numbers, the stock faces a major psychological roadblock: the federal government's massive equity stake. As Cramer noted, investors are sitting on their hands, worried about when and how that big block of shares might be sold off, creating a potential overhang on the stock. Adding to this narrative are structural headwinds in the foundry segment, which continues to report operating losses as it scales up capital-intensive fabrication infrastructure, leaving the stock vulnerable to sentiment-driven pullbacks.
Institutional interest reflects growing engagement along with the company's operational recovery. According to Insider Monkey's tracking data, 138 hedge funds held positions in Intel Corporation (NASDAQ:INTC) during the second quarter, marking an increase from 112 funds in the prior quarter. Short interest stands at 2.57% of the public float, showing a measured level of skepticism without aggressive bearish shorting.

#Intel #quarter #government #right
paTCH70
2 months ago
Etsy Inc (NASDAQ:ETSY) stock is down 2.6% to trade at $70.20 today amid broader market pressure, though Argus reiterated its "buy" rating and lifted its price target to $89 from $67. The $70 level has served as both support and resistance in recent months and could provide a potential pivot point for the shares. What's more, the e-commerce name is now within striking distance of a historically bullish trendline.
According to Schaeffer's Senior Quantitative ***** yst Rocky White, Etsy stock is trading within 0.75 times the 100-day moving averages' 20-day average true range (ATR), after spending at least 80% of the previous two weeks and 80% of the prior 42 trading sessions above that trendline. This setup has appeared 13 other times over the last decade, after which the stock was higher one month later 77% of the time, averaging a 10.3% gain.
Short interest represents 10.8% of the stock's available float, and would take shorts over three days to cover at the stock's average pace of trading. A move higher could pressure some of these bearish bettors to exit their positions, creating additional buying power.
Now also looks like a good time to weigh in on ETSY's next move with options. The stock's Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) of 49% sits in the low 10th percentile of its annual range, suggesting options traders are pricing in relatively low volatility expectations at the moment.

#trading #volatility #within
bIBztlzbDYeZ
2 months ago
The move represents a sharp reversal from the yen's weakness earlier in the summer, when the USD/JPY approached 165 and forced **** anese authorities to intervene in the foreign-exchange market.
The latest appreciation is increasingly being driven by expectations that the Bank of **** an (BoJ) is preparing to raise interest rates at its September meeting, while investors are also reassessing the outlook for US monetary policy. The BoJ is scheduled to meet next Thursday and Friday, with markets now pricing in a high probability of a 25-basis-point increase. More importantly, investors will be looking for guidance on whether the central bank could accelerate the pace of subsequent tightening.
U.S. consumer-price data due on Friday will provide an important signal ahead of the Federal Reserve's September 15-16 meeting. The inflation figures have become particularly significant because the Fed's policy outlook remains unusually divided. Governor Christopher Waller has indicated that he could support keeping rates unchanged if inflation continues to moderate, while Fed Chair Kevin Warsh has stressed that insufficient progress on inflation could warrant tighter policy.
From a technical perspective, the weekly chart points to a clear deterioration in the USD/JPY trend. The pair has broken below its ascending trend structure and is trading beneath both the Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen lines of the Ichimoku Cloud index. This suggests that the medium-term bullish structure has weakened. The weekly RSI has also fallen below the neutral 50 threshold and is moving lower, indicating that bearish momentum is becoming more established.
The fundamental backdrop is becoming increasingly challenging for the USD/JPY bulls because the interest-rate differential that supported the yen carry trade for years is gradually narrowing.

#Friday #rates
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coxemdo
2 months ago
Lyft Inc (NASDAQ:LYFT) is slightly lower this afternoon, down 0.2% at $14.86. Heading for a fifth-straight daily drop, the Uber Technologies (UBER) rival is trading near its late-July lows, sporting a grim 23.3% year-to-date deficit. All may not be lost, however, as this pullback looks to be placing Lyft stock near a trendline with historically bullish implications.
According to Schaeffer's Senior Quantitative ****** yst Rocky White, LYFT shares are within 0.75 of their 126-day moving average's 20-day average true range (ATR), after remaining below it 80% of the time in the past two weeks and in 80% of the last 42 trading sessions.
This signal has occurred five times in the last 10 years, after which Lyft stock was higher one month later 60% of the time, averaging a 9.4% gain. From its current perch, a surge of this magnitude would put the shares back above the $16 area.
Put traders have been circling, per LYFT's 10-day put/call volume ratio at the International Securities Exchange (ISE), Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE), and NASDAQ OMX PHLX (PHLX), which stands higher than 76% of all other readings from the past year. Echoing this, the stock's Schaeffer's put/call open interest ratio (SOIR) of ranks higher than all other readings from the past 12 months. Should this bearish sentiment begin to unwind, it could trigger tailwinds for the shares.
Options are attractively priced as well, per the stock's Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) of 51%, which stands higher than just 18% of all other readings from the past year, implying that near-term option traders are pricing in relatively low volatility expectations.

#lyft #higher #uber
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table8686
2 months ago
The Cleveland Browns have had plenty of time this offseason to reflect on what they need to do in 2026. With a new coaching staff and an overhauled roster, Week 1 will speak volumes about what they'll be like.
ESPN also did one last bit of reflection when they tasked the beat writers for their respective teams with answering a few final questions about their teams. However, one question was directed at ESPN's Seth Walder. He was asked what a bold prediction about the Browns is.
His answer centered on the quarterback position.
He answered, "Quarterback Taylen Green will start at least four games. Perhaps there's no fourth-string player with an easier path to playing time than Green, a sixth-round pick out of Arkansas. I'm bearish on Watson, Sanders and Gabriel, so by the time the end of the season rolls around, I suspect the Browns will want to see if they have anything in Green."
Taylen Green may already be getting some work in packages. He just brings something to the position with his speed and mobility that no one else on the depth chart does. When an offense needs a spark, Green ca provide that and he showed it during the preseason.

#time #taylen
glid2compass
2 months ago
Moneywise and Yahoo Finance LLC may earn commission or revenue through links in the content below.
Many Americans are feeling bearish about the economy, with May's Economic Confidence Index hitting the lowest level since 2022. While the numbers have rebounded slightly to -39 in August from -45 in May, consumer confidence remains low (1).
But some Americans are more optimistic than others, and Julio Gonzalez, founder of Engineered Tax Services, is one of them, writing in a Sept. 3 Fox News op-ed that "the pessimists are wrong, and the numbers prove it (2)."
Jeff Bezos backs a platform that lets anyone invest in rental homes for as little as $100 — 6 ways to build wealth like a landlord without actually being one
JPMorgan sees gold hitting $5,000/oz by Q4 — and savvy investors are protecting their wealth with a tax-advantaged Gold IRA. Get your free guide from Priority Gold

#wealth
4mNKlTS
2 months ago
Vertiv, Applied Optoelectronics, and Innodata entered September well below their 2026 highs despite strong operating growth. The pullbacks do not make them interchangeable bargains. Vertiv Holdings Co. (NYSE:VRT) sells power and cooling, Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (NASDAQ:AAOI) supplies optical transceivers, and Innodata Inc. (NASDAQ:INOD) provides data engineering and model-evaluation services.
Vertiv's second-quarter sales rose 24% to $3.27 billion, adjusted operating margin expanded 410 basis points to 22.6%, and adjusted free cash flow reached $925 million. The bull case is rising power and thermal content per AI rack. The bear case is project timing, supply congestion, and expectations built around long-duration demand. Insider Monkey counted 112 hedge funds holding Vertiv Holdings Co. (NYSE:VRT) in Q2, up from 96 in Q1. Cliff Asness's AQR Capital reported 2,686,683 shares, 0.5% more sequentially.
Applied Optoelectronics posted record revenue of $191.9 million, while 800G volume more than doubled from Q1. Management expects 800G and 1.6-terabit demand to exceed production capacity through mid-2027. That capacity ramp is the bull case; a 27.7% GAAP gross margin, a $22.8 million GAAP loss, customer concentration, and execution are the bear case. Fifty-four hedge funds held Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (NASDAQ:AAOI), down from 55. Value Aligned Research disclosed 1,595,124 shares, 26% more sequentially.
Innodata's revenue grew 58% to $92.1 million and adjusted EBITDA rose 92% to $25.4 million. Its reusable data sets and evaluation work can expand margins, but large-customer dependence and rapidly changing model-training methods create risk. Twenty-five hedge funds held Innodata Inc. (NASDAQ:INOD), up from 20. Mitch Rubin's RiverPark Advisors reported 2,042 shares, 18% more than in Q1.
AAOI's August 14 short-interest settlement showed 10,421,985 shares sold short, equal to 12.81% of float, with 0.69 days to cover..The elevated short-float percentage signals substantial bearish positioning, while the low days-to-cover ratio suggests shorts could cover relatively quickly at recent trading volumes.Vertiv has the strongest cash generation, AAOI the sharpest capacity upside, and Innodata the lightest physical footprint. A buying opportunity exists only if margins, customer diversification, and cash conversion justify each stock's remaining expectations. The risks also differ in timing. Vertiv can lose on delayed data-center construction, AAOI can lose during the manufacturing ramp, and Innodata can lose when a major customer changes vendors or training methods. Investors should therefore avoid using distance from a high as valuation ******* ysis. Order conversion, gross-margin durability, customer concentration, and diluted share growth are the comparable checkpoints. The pullback improves entry prices, but only operating evidence can establish value. Balance-sheet resilience matters most when capacity plans meet a weaker cycle.

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