9 days ago
On Sept. 15, 2016, Shopify (NASDAQ:SHOP) stock closed at a split-adjusted $4.18 per share. As of this writing, shares trade around $130. That comes out to about 31 times the initial investment -- enough to make a $10,000 stake bought that day worth about $311,000 today.
And because Shopify does not pay a dividend, the share price did all the work.
Missed AI's "Act 1"? Act 2 Could Be 15x Bigger. Most investors think they missed the AI boat because they didn't buy Nvidia in 2005. But according to our **** ysts, we're only at the end of "Act 1"—the R&D phase. "Act 2" is the global rollout. Continue »
For comparison, the S&P 500 (SNPINDEX:^GSPC) had an outstanding decade of its own. The same $10,000 in an index fund that tracks the benchmark, with dividends reinvested, would have become about $41,000 during that period.
Most investors would be delighted with that outcome. Shopify's was more than seven times better.
#sept
And because Shopify does not pay a dividend, the share price did all the work.
Missed AI's "Act 1"? Act 2 Could Be 15x Bigger. Most investors think they missed the AI boat because they didn't buy Nvidia in 2005. But according to our **** ysts, we're only at the end of "Act 1"—the R&D phase. "Act 2" is the global rollout. Continue »
For comparison, the S&P 500 (SNPINDEX:^GSPC) had an outstanding decade of its own. The same $10,000 in an index fund that tracks the benchmark, with dividends reinvested, would have become about $41,000 during that period.
Most investors would be delighted with that outcome. Shopify's was more than seven times better.
#sept
9 days ago
On Monday, Sept. 21, Sandisk (NASDAQ:SNDK) takes a spot in the S&P 100, a subset of the S&P 500 (SNPINDEX:^GSPC) made up of 100 of its largest blue-chip companies. Dell Technologies, Palo Alto Networks, and Arista Networks enter with it. The announcement came from S&P Dow Jones Indices on Sept. 4, and the changes take effect before Monday's open.
Four companies are leaving to make room: Nike (NYSE:NKE), Colgate-Palmolive, Simon Property Group, and Honeywell Aerospace.
Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again. In 2009, a "Double Down" signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. For the first time in years, that same "Total Conviction" signal is flashing for a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia. Continue »
The swap says a lot about how 2026 has gone. Sandisk shares have gained more than 600% this year, more than any other stock in the S&P 500.
Nike's stock, meanwhile, reached a 52-week low this week. And Sandisk, worth about $260 billion, is currently more than four times the size of the roughly $54 billion sportswear giant.
#sandisk #networks #four #Companies
Four companies are leaving to make room: Nike (NYSE:NKE), Colgate-Palmolive, Simon Property Group, and Honeywell Aerospace.
Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again. In 2009, a "Double Down" signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. For the first time in years, that same "Total Conviction" signal is flashing for a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia. Continue »
The swap says a lot about how 2026 has gone. Sandisk shares have gained more than 600% this year, more than any other stock in the S&P 500.
Nike's stock, meanwhile, reached a 52-week low this week. And Sandisk, worth about $260 billion, is currently more than four times the size of the roughly $54 billion sportswear giant.
#sandisk #networks #four #Companies
9 days ago
The Federal Reserve raised interest rates for the first time since July 2023 on Wednesday, and the S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) immediately dropped. It rose again before the day was over, but it's been steadily declining over the past month since hitting a high in mid-August.
There are a number of reasons for the fall, and part of that has been the anticipation of rate hikes. The Fed's decision has a lot to do with the other reasons, including high inflation and rising oil prices, and none of these spell enthusiasm for the market. Here's how the inflation outlook and accompanying interest rates signal a warning for investors.
Missed AI's "Act 1"? Act 2 Could Be 15x Bigger. Most investors think they missed the AI boat because they didn't buy Nvidia in 2005. But according to our **** ysts, we're only at the end of "Act 1"—the R&D phase. "Act 2" is the global rollout. Continue »
The simple version is that rising oil prices increase production costs, leading to higher consumer prices. The artificial intelligence (AI) buildout is contributing as well; memory prices are skyrocketing as hyperscalers have an insatiable demand for scarce memory products, and Apple, for example, said it's going to raise some prices.
As inflation surges and prices go up, it's harder for shoppers to keep spending. The worry is that lower consumer spending will lead to sagging sales for many companies, and the market is pricing that in as the inflation outlook persists.
#inflation #since #high #market
There are a number of reasons for the fall, and part of that has been the anticipation of rate hikes. The Fed's decision has a lot to do with the other reasons, including high inflation and rising oil prices, and none of these spell enthusiasm for the market. Here's how the inflation outlook and accompanying interest rates signal a warning for investors.
Missed AI's "Act 1"? Act 2 Could Be 15x Bigger. Most investors think they missed the AI boat because they didn't buy Nvidia in 2005. But according to our **** ysts, we're only at the end of "Act 1"—the R&D phase. "Act 2" is the global rollout. Continue »
The simple version is that rising oil prices increase production costs, leading to higher consumer prices. The artificial intelligence (AI) buildout is contributing as well; memory prices are skyrocketing as hyperscalers have an insatiable demand for scarce memory products, and Apple, for example, said it's going to raise some prices.
As inflation surges and prices go up, it's harder for shoppers to keep spending. The worry is that lower consumer spending will lead to sagging sales for many companies, and the market is pricing that in as the inflation outlook persists.
#inflation #since #high #market
9 days ago
On average, investors generally expect the market to provide roughly a 10% return each year. In fact, if you look at the long-term history of the S&P 500 index (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC), that's about what you get, ******* uming you reinvest dividends. So what should an investor make of the fact that the first six months of 2026 saw the S&P 500 index advance 9.5% on a price-only basis and nearly 10.2% with dividends reinvested?
The first issue to address regarding market returns is that it includes bull and bear markets. A bull market is when the market goes up 20%, while a bear market is when it falls 20%. Bull and bear markets represent moves much larger than 10% and highlight that the market does not just go up at a steady, comfortable pace. The markets can be, and often are, quite volatile.
Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again. In 2009, a "Double Down" signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. For the first time in years, that same "Total Conviction" signal is flashing for a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia. Continue »
To be fair, if you bought and held the S&P 500 index over the long term, you would have seen the value of your portfolio rise dramatically. You can easily buy the index with a low-cost exchange-trade fund like Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (NYSEMKT: VOO). But you have had to hold on through some pretty trying periods. For example, since the turn of the century, SPDR S&P 500 ETF (NYSEMKT: SPY), the oldest ETF tracking this index, is up roughly 400% on a price-only basis, with reinvested dividends bringing the total return up to just over 700%.
SPY data by YCharts
#market #bull #bear #markets
The first issue to address regarding market returns is that it includes bull and bear markets. A bull market is when the market goes up 20%, while a bear market is when it falls 20%. Bull and bear markets represent moves much larger than 10% and highlight that the market does not just go up at a steady, comfortable pace. The markets can be, and often are, quite volatile.
Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again. In 2009, a "Double Down" signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. For the first time in years, that same "Total Conviction" signal is flashing for a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia. Continue »
To be fair, if you bought and held the S&P 500 index over the long term, you would have seen the value of your portfolio rise dramatically. You can easily buy the index with a low-cost exchange-trade fund like Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (NYSEMKT: VOO). But you have had to hold on through some pretty trying periods. For example, since the turn of the century, SPDR S&P 500 ETF (NYSEMKT: SPY), the oldest ETF tracking this index, is up roughly 400% on a price-only basis, with reinvested dividends bringing the total return up to just over 700%.
SPY data by YCharts
#market #bull #bear #markets
9 days ago
With just over three months left in the year, the S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) is up 11% year to date. If it manages to stay there, it will end 2026 with four consecutive years of double-digit gains, a feat not accomplished since 1999 -- incidentally, right before it crashed and lost nearly 50% of its value. It lost that over three years, and it didn't reach a new high until mid-2007. Many companies went out of business then as the dot-com bubble burst.
If history is any indication of what's about to happen, every investor should be doing this one thing right now.
Missed AI's "Act 1"? Act 2 Could Be 15x Bigger. Most investors think they missed the AI boat because they didn't buy Nvidia in 2005. But according to our ***** ysts, we're only at the end of "Act 1"—the R&D phase. "Act 2" is the global rollout. Continue »
The artificial intelligence (AI) revolution is real, but the hype might not exactly align with reality. Some well-established AI powerhouses, like Nvidia and Alphabet, don't look expensive at today's prices. They trade at 14 and 23 times forward, one-year earnings, respectively. However, other, smaller stocks look riskier as their valuations soar.
Bloom Energy, for example, trades at 53 times forward, one-year earnings, and only recently became profitable, while Marvell Technology trades at 33 times earnings. CoreWeave isn't yet profitable. It appears that investors are willing to take a chance on these stocks for the massive expected payoff as they grow.
#years #right #lost
If history is any indication of what's about to happen, every investor should be doing this one thing right now.
Missed AI's "Act 1"? Act 2 Could Be 15x Bigger. Most investors think they missed the AI boat because they didn't buy Nvidia in 2005. But according to our ***** ysts, we're only at the end of "Act 1"—the R&D phase. "Act 2" is the global rollout. Continue »
The artificial intelligence (AI) revolution is real, but the hype might not exactly align with reality. Some well-established AI powerhouses, like Nvidia and Alphabet, don't look expensive at today's prices. They trade at 14 and 23 times forward, one-year earnings, respectively. However, other, smaller stocks look riskier as their valuations soar.
Bloom Energy, for example, trades at 53 times forward, one-year earnings, and only recently became profitable, while Marvell Technology trades at 33 times earnings. CoreWeave isn't yet profitable. It appears that investors are willing to take a chance on these stocks for the massive expected payoff as they grow.
#years #right #lost
9 days ago
Anthropic's initial public offering (IPO), expected no earlier than mid-October, will be a test of just how hungry the financial markets still are for exposure to artificial intelligence (AI). The S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) is going to react depending on how that test goes. Its backers want a valuation of $2 trillion or more, which would top ******* e Exploration Technologies as the biggest IPO ever if it happens.
Don't expect S&P 500 funds to buy it immediately, though. The road for Anthropic entering the S&P 500 is going to be slow, and it could test some nerves along the way.
Missed AI's "Act 1"? Act 2 Could Be 15x Bigger. Most investors think they missed the AI boat because they didn't buy Nvidia in 2005. But according to our ******* ysts, we're only at the end of "Act 1"—the R&D phase. "Act 2" is the global rollout. Continue »
By definition, index funds tracking the S&P 500 must buy whatever the S&P 500 adds to its list of stocks.
Anthropic probably won't get special treatment, given that on June 4, S&P Dow Jones Indices declined to loosen its rules for mega-cap listings. Those rules still require 12 months as a public company, at least 10% of shares being publicly held, and reported positive earnings under generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP).
#snpindex
Don't expect S&P 500 funds to buy it immediately, though. The road for Anthropic entering the S&P 500 is going to be slow, and it could test some nerves along the way.
Missed AI's "Act 1"? Act 2 Could Be 15x Bigger. Most investors think they missed the AI boat because they didn't buy Nvidia in 2005. But according to our ******* ysts, we're only at the end of "Act 1"—the R&D phase. "Act 2" is the global rollout. Continue »
By definition, index funds tracking the S&P 500 must buy whatever the S&P 500 adds to its list of stocks.
Anthropic probably won't get special treatment, given that on June 4, S&P Dow Jones Indices declined to loosen its rules for mega-cap listings. Those rules still require 12 months as a public company, at least 10% of shares being publicly held, and reported positive earnings under generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP).
#snpindex
9 days ago
The big day that seemingly everyone had circled on their calendar for weeks, Sept. 16, lived up to the hype.
On Wednesday, Sept. 16, Fed Chair Kevin Warsh and the 11 other voting members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) raised the federal funds target rate by 25 basis points to a new range of 3.75%-4.00%. The first interest rate hike since July 2023 wasn't well-received by Wall Street, with the time-tested Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJINDICES:^DJI) tumbling more than 1%, and the broad-based S&P 500 (SNPINDEX:^GSPC) and innovation-powered Nasdaq Composite (NASDAQINDEX:^IXIC) edging lower.
Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again. In 2009, a "Double Down" signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. For the first time in years, that same "Total Conviction" signal is flashing for a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia. Continue »
While Warsh's and the FOMC's actions are bound to raise questions and incite worry on Wall Street, nearly 36 years of history make clear what comes next for stocks.
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh and the FOMC just kicked off the first rate-hiking cycle in three years. Image source: Official Federal Reserve Photo.
#years #sept #chair
On Wednesday, Sept. 16, Fed Chair Kevin Warsh and the 11 other voting members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) raised the federal funds target rate by 25 basis points to a new range of 3.75%-4.00%. The first interest rate hike since July 2023 wasn't well-received by Wall Street, with the time-tested Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJINDICES:^DJI) tumbling more than 1%, and the broad-based S&P 500 (SNPINDEX:^GSPC) and innovation-powered Nasdaq Composite (NASDAQINDEX:^IXIC) edging lower.
Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again. In 2009, a "Double Down" signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. For the first time in years, that same "Total Conviction" signal is flashing for a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia. Continue »
While Warsh's and the FOMC's actions are bound to raise questions and incite worry on Wall Street, nearly 36 years of history make clear what comes next for stocks.
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh and the FOMC just kicked off the first rate-hiking cycle in three years. Image source: Official Federal Reserve Photo.
#years #sept #chair
9 days ago
The idea of building a $1 million portfolio might sound more daunting than climbing Mt. Everest. In reality, it's more achievable than you probably think. With enough time, discipline, and the right mix of investments, the long-term power of compounding can get you to the $1 million mark and beyond!
Just take a look at history. If you invested $10,000 in the S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) at the beginning of 1996, it would have grown to roughly $214,000 with dividends reinvested. Now, that's clearly not $1 million, but that's how large it grew with a one-time investment. Imagine how big it could get if you added a modest monthly investment to it over all those years.
Missed AI's "Act 1"? Act 2 Could Be 15x Bigger. Most investors think they missed the AI boat because they didn't buy Nvidia in 2005. But according to our ****** ysts, we're only at the end of "Act 1"—the R&D phase. "Act 2" is the global rollout. Continue »
This is why the idea of regular, consistent investing over time is one of the best pathways to millionaire status.
Over the past century, the S&P 500 has returned around 10% annually. The index has performed much better than that over the past decade, but the next decade could very well be much worse. When projecting long-term returns, it's better to be a little more conservative.
#idea #investment #past
Just take a look at history. If you invested $10,000 in the S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) at the beginning of 1996, it would have grown to roughly $214,000 with dividends reinvested. Now, that's clearly not $1 million, but that's how large it grew with a one-time investment. Imagine how big it could get if you added a modest monthly investment to it over all those years.
Missed AI's "Act 1"? Act 2 Could Be 15x Bigger. Most investors think they missed the AI boat because they didn't buy Nvidia in 2005. But according to our ****** ysts, we're only at the end of "Act 1"—the R&D phase. "Act 2" is the global rollout. Continue »
This is why the idea of regular, consistent investing over time is one of the best pathways to millionaire status.
Over the past century, the S&P 500 has returned around 10% annually. The index has performed much better than that over the past decade, but the next decade could very well be much worse. When projecting long-term returns, it's better to be a little more conservative.
#idea #investment #past
9 days ago
Wall Street pays a huge amount of attention to the price movements of the S&P 500 index (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC). If stocks are in a bull market, everyone wants to know when the next bear market will arrive. If there's a bear market, everyone keeps an eye out for the sign that the next bull market has come along. History shows you should ignore Wall Street and focus on a long-term plan of saving and investing, no matter what the market is doing.
World-famous investor and Wall Street icon Warren Buffett has often said that most investors would be better off buying an S&P 500 index fund, such as SPDR S&P 500 Trust (NYSEMKT: SPY) or Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (NYSEMKT: VOO), than trying to buy individual stocks. The real purpose of this is to create a simple, diversified portfolio that allows the investor to focus their attention on saving money and, frankly, living a happy life.
Missed AI's "Act 1"? Act 2 Could Be 15x Bigger. Most investors think they missed the AI boat because they didn't buy Nvidia in 2005. But according to our ****** ysts, we're only at the end of "Act 1"—the R&D phase. "Act 2" is the global rollout. Continue »
That said, a key part of Buffett's investment advice is that you should keep buying the S&P 500 no matter what is happening with the market. That's called dollar-cost averaging. You should also reinvest your dividends, which allows the dividends to compound over time. Both are simple, but powerful wealth-building tools.
SPY data by YCharts
#stocks
World-famous investor and Wall Street icon Warren Buffett has often said that most investors would be better off buying an S&P 500 index fund, such as SPDR S&P 500 Trust (NYSEMKT: SPY) or Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (NYSEMKT: VOO), than trying to buy individual stocks. The real purpose of this is to create a simple, diversified portfolio that allows the investor to focus their attention on saving money and, frankly, living a happy life.
Missed AI's "Act 1"? Act 2 Could Be 15x Bigger. Most investors think they missed the AI boat because they didn't buy Nvidia in 2005. But according to our ****** ysts, we're only at the end of "Act 1"—the R&D phase. "Act 2" is the global rollout. Continue »
That said, a key part of Buffett's investment advice is that you should keep buying the S&P 500 no matter what is happening with the market. That's called dollar-cost averaging. You should also reinvest your dividends, which allows the dividends to compound over time. Both are simple, but powerful wealth-building tools.
SPY data by YCharts
#stocks
10 days ago
Micron (NASDAQ: MU) and Sandisk (NASDAQ: SNDK) have been two of the best-performing stocks in the S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) so far this year. Sandisk is leading the way with an incredible 550% gain. Micron is in fourth place, up by over 220%. That means both of these stocks have tripled (or more than tripled in Sandisk's case), but I think that's just the beginning. In fact, if you invested $2,500 in each of these stocks, for a total of $5,000, I think that the combined value of those stakes will rise to $15,000 by the time 2028 arrives.
While that may sound far-fetched, the math backs it up, suggesting that these are two of the best investments you could make in the stock market right now.
Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again. In 2009, a "Double Down" signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. For the first time in years, that same "Total Conviction" signal is flashing for a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia. Continue »
The reason these two have done so well in 2026 is that there is no spare memory chip production capacity left. Micron and Sandisk are two of just three big players in this industry, and all of their production is being eaten up by massive demand for additional artificial intelligence computing power. AI processors and servers need heavy volumes of memory to function efficiently, and as a result, there's now a serious shortage of memory, so prices are skyrocketing.
This supply-and-demand imbalance is the culprit behind rising prices for consumer computing hardware, as these devices all require memory chips, too.
#NVIDIA #memory #flashing #best
While that may sound far-fetched, the math backs it up, suggesting that these are two of the best investments you could make in the stock market right now.
Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again. In 2009, a "Double Down" signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. For the first time in years, that same "Total Conviction" signal is flashing for a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia. Continue »
The reason these two have done so well in 2026 is that there is no spare memory chip production capacity left. Micron and Sandisk are two of just three big players in this industry, and all of their production is being eaten up by massive demand for additional artificial intelligence computing power. AI processors and servers need heavy volumes of memory to function efficiently, and as a result, there's now a serious shortage of memory, so prices are skyrocketing.
This supply-and-demand imbalance is the culprit behind rising prices for consumer computing hardware, as these devices all require memory chips, too.
#NVIDIA #memory #flashing #best
10 days ago
CoreWeave (NASDAQ:CRWV), a GPU-accelerated cloud infrastructure provider, closed at $79.88, down 4.16%. The stock fell after CoreWeave announced convertible debt and a share sale, and investors are watching financing costs and infrastructure expansion.
Trading volume reached 78.3 million shares, coming in about 176% above its three-month average of 28.4 million shares. CoreWeave IPO'd in 2025 and has doubled since going public.
The S&P 500 (SNPINDEX:^GSPC) closed at 7,637, up 1.13%, while the Nasdaq Composite (NASDAQINDEX:^IXIC) closed at 26,418, up 1.69%. Among specialized cloud computing and AI infrastructure services peers, Nebius Group (NASDAQ:NBIS) closed at $217.99, up 4.12%, and Iren (NASDAQ:IREN) closed at $43.48, up 2.02%, as investors kept weighing AI buildout demand against funding needs.
It's important to note why CoreWeave stock dropped while shares of its closest peers rose sharply today. The companies are in a capital-intensive spending growth stretch. Demand for high-powered compute cloud ******* e for AI is huge, and CoreWeave announced today that it would raise money to meet that demand in two ways.
Its share offering and convertible bond offering are both likely to be dilutive to shareholders. But it takes money to make money, and CoreWeave also reinforced today that it is raising prices for its compute cloud contracts.
But the debt and share issuance contrasts with the solid cash position of peer Iren, for example. Iren has built up cash from its existing crypto mining operations.
#iren #infrastructure #shares
Trading volume reached 78.3 million shares, coming in about 176% above its three-month average of 28.4 million shares. CoreWeave IPO'd in 2025 and has doubled since going public.
The S&P 500 (SNPINDEX:^GSPC) closed at 7,637, up 1.13%, while the Nasdaq Composite (NASDAQINDEX:^IXIC) closed at 26,418, up 1.69%. Among specialized cloud computing and AI infrastructure services peers, Nebius Group (NASDAQ:NBIS) closed at $217.99, up 4.12%, and Iren (NASDAQ:IREN) closed at $43.48, up 2.02%, as investors kept weighing AI buildout demand against funding needs.
It's important to note why CoreWeave stock dropped while shares of its closest peers rose sharply today. The companies are in a capital-intensive spending growth stretch. Demand for high-powered compute cloud ******* e for AI is huge, and CoreWeave announced today that it would raise money to meet that demand in two ways.
Its share offering and convertible bond offering are both likely to be dilutive to shareholders. But it takes money to make money, and CoreWeave also reinforced today that it is raising prices for its compute cloud contracts.
But the debt and share issuance contrasts with the solid cash position of peer Iren, for example. Iren has built up cash from its existing crypto mining operations.
#iren #infrastructure #shares
11 days ago
Grab Holdings (NASDAQ:GRAB), a super-app for ride-hailing, deliveries, and digital financial services, closed at $2.87, down 1.37%. The stock moved after Grab announced a $1.49 billion cash deal for a 60% stake in Atome Financial. Investors are watching the financial services expansion and consumer lending reach looking ahead. Trading volume reached 82.1M shares, coming in about 72% above its three-month average of 47.6M shares. Grab Holdings IPO'd in 2020 and has fallen 76% since going public.
The S&P 500 (SNPINDEX:^GSPC) fell 0.43% to 7,553, and the Nasdaq Composite (NASDAQINDEX:^IXIC) slipped 0.01% to 25,978. Among ride-hailing, delivery, and consumer fintech platforms, Uber Technologies (NYSE:UBER) closed at $71.01, down 0.59%, while Lyft (NASDAQ:LYFT) finished at $15.69, unchanged, as mobility peers remained in focus.
Grab, the Southeast Asian delivery, mobility, and financial services upstart, continues to show it intends to become the leading "superapp" in its niche after acquiring 60% of Atome Financial for $1.49 billion today. Prior to the deal, Grab held over $6 billion in cash versus minimal debt, so the deal shouldn't be a funding problem by any means.
Atome Financial operates in five of Grab's six markets and brings over 25 million unique transacting users, helping to beef up the latter's fintech offerings. Atome has seen its gross merchandise volume grow ninefold over the last six years and is profitable on an adjusted EBITDA basis.
As of 2024, merely 5% of Southeast Asian adults owned a credit card and only 14% had borrowed from a financial institution, so the potential here for Grab could be massive if they execute successfully upon this opportunity.
#billion #deal #lyft
The S&P 500 (SNPINDEX:^GSPC) fell 0.43% to 7,553, and the Nasdaq Composite (NASDAQINDEX:^IXIC) slipped 0.01% to 25,978. Among ride-hailing, delivery, and consumer fintech platforms, Uber Technologies (NYSE:UBER) closed at $71.01, down 0.59%, while Lyft (NASDAQ:LYFT) finished at $15.69, unchanged, as mobility peers remained in focus.
Grab, the Southeast Asian delivery, mobility, and financial services upstart, continues to show it intends to become the leading "superapp" in its niche after acquiring 60% of Atome Financial for $1.49 billion today. Prior to the deal, Grab held over $6 billion in cash versus minimal debt, so the deal shouldn't be a funding problem by any means.
Atome Financial operates in five of Grab's six markets and brings over 25 million unique transacting users, helping to beef up the latter's fintech offerings. Atome has seen its gross merchandise volume grow ninefold over the last six years and is profitable on an adjusted EBITDA basis.
As of 2024, merely 5% of Southeast Asian adults owned a credit card and only 14% had borrowed from a financial institution, so the potential here for Grab could be massive if they execute successfully upon this opportunity.
#billion #deal #lyft
11 days ago
The broader benchmark S&P 500 (SNPINDEX:^GSPC) has seemingly hit a wall over the past month, down about 2.3%.
On the whole, the S&P 500 is still having a decent year, but considering the Iran war and high inflation expectations, among other concerns, it's not hard to see why investors and market strategists have grown concerned.
Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again. In 2009, a "Double Down" signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. For the first time in years, that same "Total Conviction" signal is flashing for a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia. Continue »
Recently, one of Wall Street's most bullish strategists trimmed his S&P 500 price target for the year.
Ed Yardeni of Yardeni Research recently slashed his forecast from 8,400 to 7,900, which suggests minimal upside in the final 3.5 months of the year, with the index already around 7,600. 8,400 had been the highest price target on the Street.
#yardeni #recently #price
On the whole, the S&P 500 is still having a decent year, but considering the Iran war and high inflation expectations, among other concerns, it's not hard to see why investors and market strategists have grown concerned.
Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again. In 2009, a "Double Down" signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. For the first time in years, that same "Total Conviction" signal is flashing for a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia. Continue »
Recently, one of Wall Street's most bullish strategists trimmed his S&P 500 price target for the year.
Ed Yardeni of Yardeni Research recently slashed his forecast from 8,400 to 7,900, which suggests minimal upside in the final 3.5 months of the year, with the index already around 7,600. 8,400 had been the highest price target on the Street.
#yardeni #recently #price
11 days ago
The stock market is rarely boring, but 2026 has seemed especially wild, if you ask me. After narrowly avoiding a correction to begin the year, the S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) is up 20% from its low in March. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJINDICES: ^DJI) and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (NASDAQINDEX: ^IXIC) both slipped into full correction territory -- meaning a decline of 20% or more -- but are now up 16% and 26%, respectively.
All three stock indexes are just a few percentage points off their all-time highs. That has some investors nervous.
Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again. In 2009, a "Double Down" signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. For the first time in years, that same "Total Conviction" signal is flashing for a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia. Continue »
And now, an important stock market indicator has reached a level we've seen only once before -- during the dot-com bubble.
So what does history have to tell us? What should investors do with that information?
#snpindex
All three stock indexes are just a few percentage points off their all-time highs. That has some investors nervous.
Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again. In 2009, a "Double Down" signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. For the first time in years, that same "Total Conviction" signal is flashing for a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia. Continue »
And now, an important stock market indicator has reached a level we've seen only once before -- during the dot-com bubble.
So what does history have to tell us? What should investors do with that information?
#snpindex
12 days ago
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh used his Aug. 28 keynote speech at Jackson Hole to drive home the point that inflation is broader than the headline rate suggests, speaking directly to the everyday experiences of a rising price level that most people have been having for a while now. Specifically, Warsh said 54% of the 199 items in the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, which is the Fed's preferred inflation gauge, had risen by more than 3% in the 12 months through summer 2026, versus 32% of those items in the two decades before the pandemic.
That's a bit of an awkward situation for the companies that make up the S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC), whose stellar growth in 2026 has been built on profits that are much higher than average. In short, the next thing the market will need to deal with is, in all probability, a Federal Reserve that's keen on making businesses pay more for each dollar of borrowing, which could in turn end up leading to investors paying less for each dollar of profit ***** ociated with the ***** ets they buy.
Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again. In 2009, a "Double Down" signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. For the first time in years, that same "Total Conviction" signal is flashing for a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia. Continue »
Here's how that could unfold, and soon.
After the Sept. 11 inflation report showed that consumer prices are still rising at a faster-than-desired pace, the odds of a rate hike by the Fed at its meeting on Sept. 16 were 90%, per the CME FedWatch. Warsh also said in his speech that he'd struggle to call the current set of financial conditions restrictive. That obviously means that investors need to brace for higher rates.
#inflation
That's a bit of an awkward situation for the companies that make up the S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC), whose stellar growth in 2026 has been built on profits that are much higher than average. In short, the next thing the market will need to deal with is, in all probability, a Federal Reserve that's keen on making businesses pay more for each dollar of borrowing, which could in turn end up leading to investors paying less for each dollar of profit ***** ociated with the ***** ets they buy.
Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again. In 2009, a "Double Down" signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. For the first time in years, that same "Total Conviction" signal is flashing for a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia. Continue »
Here's how that could unfold, and soon.
After the Sept. 11 inflation report showed that consumer prices are still rising at a faster-than-desired pace, the odds of a rate hike by the Fed at its meeting on Sept. 16 were 90%, per the CME FedWatch. Warsh also said in his speech that he'd struggle to call the current set of financial conditions restrictive. That obviously means that investors need to brace for higher rates.
#inflation
14 days ago
As of 11:38 AM ET, the S&P 500 (SNPINDEX:^GSPC) is down 0.44% to 7,623, the Nasdaq Composite (NASDAQINDEX:^IXIC) has fallen 0.44% to 26,217 as cooling artificial intelligence sentiment weighs on growth stocks, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJINDICES:^DJI) is trading 0.36% lower to 52,422.
Gold is down 1.88% to $4,325.10, and the 10-Year Treasury yield has slipped 0.02% to 4.96%, after reaching 5% for the first time since 2023. Communication stocks and healthcare are leading sector gains, while basic materials and industrials are underperforming.
Meta Platforms is climbing today after Goldman Sachs maintained a Buy rating, stressing the potential upside from its Muse AI agent. Micron Technology tumbled over 5% following warnings about the risks of rapid AI development. Those same concerns drove gains in cybersecurity stocks -- CrowdStrike Holdings soared 15%.
Tech leaders have issued dire warnings about the risks of rapid artificial intelligence (AI) development in recent days, prompting an industrywide pullback. Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei and OpenAI CEO Sam Altman both highlighted the dangers that advanced systems could quickly move beyond human control and called for a slower pace of development.
Investors fear any slowdown could impact demand for AI infrastructure, pressuring some of this year's outperformers, such as Marvell Technology, CoreWeave, and Intel. Those worries are understandable, but it is important think about how any controls on AI development might impact long-term growth. Near-term sentiment may slip, but AI isn't going to disappear, and there is a chance that a slower build-out could actually strengthen the industry in the long term.
#down
Gold is down 1.88% to $4,325.10, and the 10-Year Treasury yield has slipped 0.02% to 4.96%, after reaching 5% for the first time since 2023. Communication stocks and healthcare are leading sector gains, while basic materials and industrials are underperforming.
Meta Platforms is climbing today after Goldman Sachs maintained a Buy rating, stressing the potential upside from its Muse AI agent. Micron Technology tumbled over 5% following warnings about the risks of rapid AI development. Those same concerns drove gains in cybersecurity stocks -- CrowdStrike Holdings soared 15%.
Tech leaders have issued dire warnings about the risks of rapid artificial intelligence (AI) development in recent days, prompting an industrywide pullback. Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei and OpenAI CEO Sam Altman both highlighted the dangers that advanced systems could quickly move beyond human control and called for a slower pace of development.
Investors fear any slowdown could impact demand for AI infrastructure, pressuring some of this year's outperformers, such as Marvell Technology, CoreWeave, and Intel. Those worries are understandable, but it is important think about how any controls on AI development might impact long-term growth. Near-term sentiment may slip, but AI isn't going to disappear, and there is a chance that a slower build-out could actually strengthen the industry in the long term.
#down
16 days ago
If you are looking for yield today, rising interest rates have increased your options. For example, the 30-year Treasury bond's yield is around 5.3% as of this writing. By comparison, the S&P 500 index (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) is only yielding around 1%. But there are still two big reasons why investors may want to buy a high-yield dividend stock like Coca-Cola (NYSE: KO), even though its 2.4% yield isn't even close to the 30-year Treasury yield.
A bond is an agreement between the lender and the borrower. The lender provides a fixed amount of cash, while the borrower pays interest at a fixed rate until the loan matures. When the loan matures, the borrower repays the bond's principal. Everything is fixed, and both the value of the interest collected and the bond's principal are slowly eroded by inflation. It doesn't matter that 30-year Treasuries are considered safe because they are backed by the U.S. government. The big inflation risk is still the same.
Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again. In 2009, a "Double Down" signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. For the first time in years, that same "Total Conviction" signal is flashing for a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia. Continue »
If you have a short investment time horizon, inflation may not be a big issue for you. In which case, the 5.3% yield of a 30-year Treasury would probably be more attractive than Coca-Cola's 2.4% yield. However, if you have a long time horizon, Coca-Cola's yield comes with something that a Treasury doesn't: Growth.
Coca-Cola is one of the world's largest consumer staples companies. It has an incredible history of growth, highlighted by 64 annual dividend increases. That makes the company a Dividend King. But think about that for a second, you can collect 30 years of the same income from a bond or 30 years of increasing income from Coca-Cola. Since the start of 1996, roughly 30 years ago, the company's dividend has increased by nearly 750%. That dividend growth was driven by the company's growth, which also led to an over 300% increase in the stock price. If you hold a bond to maturity, all you get back is the principal.
#coca
A bond is an agreement between the lender and the borrower. The lender provides a fixed amount of cash, while the borrower pays interest at a fixed rate until the loan matures. When the loan matures, the borrower repays the bond's principal. Everything is fixed, and both the value of the interest collected and the bond's principal are slowly eroded by inflation. It doesn't matter that 30-year Treasuries are considered safe because they are backed by the U.S. government. The big inflation risk is still the same.
Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again. In 2009, a "Double Down" signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. For the first time in years, that same "Total Conviction" signal is flashing for a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia. Continue »
If you have a short investment time horizon, inflation may not be a big issue for you. In which case, the 5.3% yield of a 30-year Treasury would probably be more attractive than Coca-Cola's 2.4% yield. However, if you have a long time horizon, Coca-Cola's yield comes with something that a Treasury doesn't: Growth.
Coca-Cola is one of the world's largest consumer staples companies. It has an incredible history of growth, highlighted by 64 annual dividend increases. That makes the company a Dividend King. But think about that for a second, you can collect 30 years of the same income from a bond or 30 years of increasing income from Coca-Cola. Since the start of 1996, roughly 30 years ago, the company's dividend has increased by nearly 750%. That dividend growth was driven by the company's growth, which also led to an over 300% increase in the stock price. If you hold a bond to maturity, all you get back is the principal.
#coca
16 days ago
On Friday, Dec. 18, 2020, shares of electric-car maker Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) rose almost 6% to close at a record $695. More than 200 million shares changed hands that session (more than $131 billion of stock), making it one of the busiest trading days in the company's history.
The buying wasn't optional for everyone. S&P Dow Jones Indices had scheduled Tesla to join the S&P 500 (SNPINDEX:^GSPC) at its full weight before the market opened the following Monday. And the addition was based on that Friday's closing prices. In other words, every fund tracking the index effectively paid $695.
Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again. In 2009, a "Double Down" signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. For the first time in years, that same "Total Conviction" signal is flashing for a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia. Continue »
Nearly six years later, that $10,000 would have become about $15,700. The same money in an S&P 500 index fund would have grown to about $20,500 before dividends.
Image source: The Motley Fool.
#flashing #fund #same #Friday
The buying wasn't optional for everyone. S&P Dow Jones Indices had scheduled Tesla to join the S&P 500 (SNPINDEX:^GSPC) at its full weight before the market opened the following Monday. And the addition was based on that Friday's closing prices. In other words, every fund tracking the index effectively paid $695.
Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again. In 2009, a "Double Down" signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. For the first time in years, that same "Total Conviction" signal is flashing for a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia. Continue »
Nearly six years later, that $10,000 would have become about $15,700. The same money in an S&P 500 index fund would have grown to about $20,500 before dividends.
Image source: The Motley Fool.
#flashing #fund #same #Friday
18 days ago
The diversified S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) and the technology-heavy Nasdaq-100 are two widely followed stock market indexes that are packed with America's highest-quality companies. They have returned 12.7% and 17% respectively so far in 2026, as of the market close last Friday, Sept. 4.
But then there is the Russell 2000 index, which is sitting on an even better year-to-date gain of 20.2%. It tracks the performance of approximately 2,000 of America's smallest listed companies, and since many of them generate most of their revenue domestically, they are more insulated from headwinds like the ongoing conflict in the Middle East compared to larger, multinational companies.
Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again. In 2009, a "Double Down" signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. For the first time in years, that same "Total Conviction" signal is flashing for a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia. Continue »
The Vanguard Russell 2000 ETF (NASDAQ: VTWO) is an exchange-traded fund (ETF) that mimics the Russell 2000. It could face a reckoning on Sept. 15 and 16, when the U.S. Federal Reserve holds its next policy meeting. The odds of an interest rate hike are increasing, and for reasons I'll soon explain, small American companies tend to be more sensitive to such policy adjustments than their larger counterparts.
The companies in both the S&P 500 and the Russell 2000 come from 11 different economic sectors, so both indexes are highly diversified. However, the technology sector alone accounts for over one-third of the value of the entire S&P, whereas the Russell is far more balanced. The five largest sectors (by weight) in the Vanguard Russell 2000 ETF are as follows:
#NVIDIA #sept
But then there is the Russell 2000 index, which is sitting on an even better year-to-date gain of 20.2%. It tracks the performance of approximately 2,000 of America's smallest listed companies, and since many of them generate most of their revenue domestically, they are more insulated from headwinds like the ongoing conflict in the Middle East compared to larger, multinational companies.
Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again. In 2009, a "Double Down" signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. For the first time in years, that same "Total Conviction" signal is flashing for a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia. Continue »
The Vanguard Russell 2000 ETF (NASDAQ: VTWO) is an exchange-traded fund (ETF) that mimics the Russell 2000. It could face a reckoning on Sept. 15 and 16, when the U.S. Federal Reserve holds its next policy meeting. The odds of an interest rate hike are increasing, and for reasons I'll soon explain, small American companies tend to be more sensitive to such policy adjustments than their larger counterparts.
The companies in both the S&P 500 and the Russell 2000 come from 11 different economic sectors, so both indexes are highly diversified. However, the technology sector alone accounts for over one-third of the value of the entire S&P, whereas the Russell is far more balanced. The five largest sectors (by weight) in the Vanguard Russell 2000 ETF are as follows:
#NVIDIA #sept
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21 days ago
The S&P 500 (SNPINDEX:^GSPC) has risen by 13% thus far in 2026. The broad index is on track for another above-average performance; historically, its annual gains are around just 10%. However, with many stocks continuing to perform well, the index, which tracks the leading companies on U.S. markets, has thrived.
Gold, meanwhile, which investors typically turn to when they're worried about the stock market, has been going in the opposite direction. Its value has been diminishing, a sharp turnaround from earlier in the year, when gold was hitting record levels. The SPDR Gold Shares(NYSEMKT:GLD) fund, which tracks gold, is up only 3% this year.
Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again. In 2009, a "Double Down" signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. For the first time in years, that same "Total Conviction" signal is flashing for a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia. Continue »
However, with no shortage of economic and political uncertainty ahead, will this pattern continue? Is tracking the S&P 500 still the ideal move for investors, or is it time to buy SPDR Gold Shares?
Image source: Getty Images.
#NVIDIA
Gold, meanwhile, which investors typically turn to when they're worried about the stock market, has been going in the opposite direction. Its value has been diminishing, a sharp turnaround from earlier in the year, when gold was hitting record levels. The SPDR Gold Shares(NYSEMKT:GLD) fund, which tracks gold, is up only 3% this year.
Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again. In 2009, a "Double Down" signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. For the first time in years, that same "Total Conviction" signal is flashing for a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia. Continue »
However, with no shortage of economic and political uncertainty ahead, will this pattern continue? Is tracking the S&P 500 still the ideal move for investors, or is it time to buy SPDR Gold Shares?
Image source: Getty Images.
#NVIDIA
21 days ago
The S&P 500 (SNPINDEX:^GSPC) and the Nasdaq Composite (NASDAQINDEX:^IXIC) have advanced 13% and 14%, respectively, year to date. The driving force behind those double-digit gains has been strong earnings growth, particularly among technology companies involved in the artificial intelligence infrastructure build-out.
However, by one valuation measure, the stock market is repeating a pattern last seen during the dot-com bubble. Is the AI boom destined to end in a catastrophic market crash? Of course, no one can predict the future, but here's what investors should know.
Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again. In 2009, a "Double Down" signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. For the first time in years, that same "Total Conviction" signal is flashing for a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia. Continue »
Image source: Getty Images.
The S&P 500 recorded a cyclically adjusted price-to-earnings (CAPE) ratio of 41.1 in August. The index's CAPE ratio has now exceeded 40 in five consecutive months, something that has only happened once before: during the dot-com bubble in 2000.
#NVIDIA #market #ratio
However, by one valuation measure, the stock market is repeating a pattern last seen during the dot-com bubble. Is the AI boom destined to end in a catastrophic market crash? Of course, no one can predict the future, but here's what investors should know.
Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again. In 2009, a "Double Down" signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. For the first time in years, that same "Total Conviction" signal is flashing for a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia. Continue »
Image source: Getty Images.
The S&P 500 recorded a cyclically adjusted price-to-earnings (CAPE) ratio of 41.1 in August. The index's CAPE ratio has now exceeded 40 in five consecutive months, something that has only happened once before: during the dot-com bubble in 2000.
#NVIDIA #market #ratio
21 days ago
Bank of Nova Scotia (NYSE: BNS) is offering investors a nearly 3.5% yield. The average bank's yield is around 2.2%, and the S&P 500 index (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) has a tiny 1% yield. If you are looking for a high-yield bank stock, Scotiabank, as it is more commonly known, is probably worth a close look. But the real dividend story is about consistency. Here's what you need to know.
Recently, Scotiabank made a major change in its business. For a long time, the Canadian bank had skipped the U.S. market, focusing instead on Central and South America. That differentiated it from its large Canadian peers, which had focused on growth in the U.S. Scotiabank's plans didn't work out as well as hoped, so it shifted gears. Now, like its peers, it is increasing its focus on the U.S., with a goal of offering its services from Mexico to Canada. Those three countries are contiguous and important trading partners.
Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again. In 2009, a "Double Down" signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. For the first time in years, that same "Total Conviction" signal is flashing for a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia. Continue »
What's notable is that Scotiabank has made this shift without resorting to a dividend cut. In fact, the biggest impact that dividend investors felt was a one-year pause in dividend increases. When you look at the company's history, however, that makes total sense. Scotiabank has paid dividends every year since 1833, over 190 years ago. And, unlike many of the largest U.S. banks, it also didn't cut its dividend during the Great Recession.
Scotiabank's efforts to grow in the U.S. market will likely be a net positive, but the real story here isn't about growth. This is a slow-and-steady business that will help you build wealth over time. Dividend reinvestment would allow for powerful compounding, given the above-average yield and incredible dividend history. The real story, then, is consistency, which is powered by the bank's Canadian operations.
#Dividend #time
Recently, Scotiabank made a major change in its business. For a long time, the Canadian bank had skipped the U.S. market, focusing instead on Central and South America. That differentiated it from its large Canadian peers, which had focused on growth in the U.S. Scotiabank's plans didn't work out as well as hoped, so it shifted gears. Now, like its peers, it is increasing its focus on the U.S., with a goal of offering its services from Mexico to Canada. Those three countries are contiguous and important trading partners.
Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again. In 2009, a "Double Down" signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. For the first time in years, that same "Total Conviction" signal is flashing for a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia. Continue »
What's notable is that Scotiabank has made this shift without resorting to a dividend cut. In fact, the biggest impact that dividend investors felt was a one-year pause in dividend increases. When you look at the company's history, however, that makes total sense. Scotiabank has paid dividends every year since 1833, over 190 years ago. And, unlike many of the largest U.S. banks, it also didn't cut its dividend during the Great Recession.
Scotiabank's efforts to grow in the U.S. market will likely be a net positive, but the real story here isn't about growth. This is a slow-and-steady business that will help you build wealth over time. Dividend reinvestment would allow for powerful compounding, given the above-average yield and incredible dividend history. The real story, then, is consistency, which is powered by the bank's Canadian operations.
#Dividend #time
22 days ago
September has a bit of a bad rep on Wall Street. The ninth month of the year has historically delivered negative or weaker returns with such consistency that it has even been dubbed "The September Effect."
It's a market anomaly -- an unusual pattern -- but this year it is compounded with real market uncertainty. Among investor concerns: sticky inflation, rising energy prices, hawkish signals from bankers, high yields on U.S. Treasury bonds, a trade war between the U.S. and Canada, an actual war between U.S. and Iran, plus ballooning national debt and continued fears over an AI bubble.
Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again. In 2009, a "Double Down" signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. For the first time in years, that same "Total Conviction" signal is flashing for a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia. Continue »
These are, to be fair, just the negatives, and a complete picture would have to add the positives, such as soaring profits for S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) companies, steady growth in the U.S. economy, and a stock market that is broadening beyond a few megacap leaders.
There is, however, one persistent concern that goes beyond September's historically weak performance. One of the market's most reliable valuation metrics has been flashing a warning light for months. And, if history is any guide, Wall Street won't like what's coming next.
#flashing
It's a market anomaly -- an unusual pattern -- but this year it is compounded with real market uncertainty. Among investor concerns: sticky inflation, rising energy prices, hawkish signals from bankers, high yields on U.S. Treasury bonds, a trade war between the U.S. and Canada, an actual war between U.S. and Iran, plus ballooning national debt and continued fears over an AI bubble.
Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again. In 2009, a "Double Down" signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. For the first time in years, that same "Total Conviction" signal is flashing for a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia. Continue »
These are, to be fair, just the negatives, and a complete picture would have to add the positives, such as soaring profits for S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) companies, steady growth in the U.S. economy, and a stock market that is broadening beyond a few megacap leaders.
There is, however, one persistent concern that goes beyond September's historically weak performance. One of the market's most reliable valuation metrics has been flashing a warning light for months. And, if history is any guide, Wall Street won't like what's coming next.
#flashing
22 days ago
September has arrived. This means that investors need to prepare themselves for what's historically at least been the worst calendar month of the year for stocks.
Since 1928, the S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) has fallen by an average of 1.1% during September. Historically, the index has produced positive results just 44.5% of the time.
Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again. In 2009, a "Double Down" signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. For the first time in years, that same "Total Conviction" signal is flashing for a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia. Continue »
Given the current backdrop of high inflation, a war in Iran, a mixed labor market, and possible rate hikes from the Fed, it would be easy for investors to think that the S&P 500 could pull back once again -- and to unload shares in advance.
History suggests, however, that this could be the wrong move.
#time #since
Since 1928, the S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) has fallen by an average of 1.1% during September. Historically, the index has produced positive results just 44.5% of the time.
Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again. In 2009, a "Double Down" signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. For the first time in years, that same "Total Conviction" signal is flashing for a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia. Continue »
Given the current backdrop of high inflation, a war in Iran, a mixed labor market, and possible rate hikes from the Fed, it would be easy for investors to think that the S&P 500 could pull back once again -- and to unload shares in advance.
History suggests, however, that this could be the wrong move.
#time #since
22 days ago
Coca-Cola (NYSE: KO) is one of the best-known companies in the world, thanks to its namesake beverage brand, so it needs little introduction. However, what's most impressive right now is the stock's performance. It is up 28% over the past year, as of this writing. The average consumer staples stock is only up 5% over that span. Even the S&P 500 index (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) is "only" up 20%. After a run like that, is Coca-Cola a buy, hold, or sell?
Coca-Cola is a well-run business. It is one of the world's largest consumer staples companies. It is globally diversified and has industry-leading capabilities in distribution, marketing, and innovation. The company's fundamental strength is evident in its status as a Dividend King, with 64 consecutive annual dividend increases. The only consumer staples peer with a better record is Procter & Gamble (NYSE: PG), but P&G doesn't make food. So, Coca-Cola is the food company with the best dividend record.
Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again. In 2009, a "Double Down" signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. For the first time in years, that same "Total Conviction" signal is flashing for a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia. Continue »
If you want to own industry-leading businesses, Coca-Cola should be on your short list. And, with an above-market yield of 2.4%, you could easily justify adding it to your portfolio. That's particularly true given recent results, with organic revenue growth of 6% in the second quarter of 2026, even as consumers tighten their belts. In fact, Coca-Cola raised its full-year guidance despite the broader food industry's struggles.
Certainly, if you have owned Coca-Cola for years, selling it right when it is performing so well as a business probably isn't something you should be considering. Unless, of course, the stock's valuation was running ahead of its historical norms. But that's not the case.
#staples
Coca-Cola is a well-run business. It is one of the world's largest consumer staples companies. It is globally diversified and has industry-leading capabilities in distribution, marketing, and innovation. The company's fundamental strength is evident in its status as a Dividend King, with 64 consecutive annual dividend increases. The only consumer staples peer with a better record is Procter & Gamble (NYSE: PG), but P&G doesn't make food. So, Coca-Cola is the food company with the best dividend record.
Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again. In 2009, a "Double Down" signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. For the first time in years, that same "Total Conviction" signal is flashing for a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia. Continue »
If you want to own industry-leading businesses, Coca-Cola should be on your short list. And, with an above-market yield of 2.4%, you could easily justify adding it to your portfolio. That's particularly true given recent results, with organic revenue growth of 6% in the second quarter of 2026, even as consumers tighten their belts. In fact, Coca-Cola raised its full-year guidance despite the broader food industry's struggles.
Certainly, if you have owned Coca-Cola for years, selling it right when it is performing so well as a business probably isn't something you should be considering. Unless, of course, the stock's valuation was running ahead of its historical norms. But that's not the case.
#staples
22 days ago
On May 22, the Federal Reserve entered a new era, with President Donald Trump's handpicked successor to Jerome Powell, Kevin Warsh, sworn in as the 17th Fed chair. It also marked a period of uncertainty amid this transition for the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJINDICES:^DJI), S&P 500 (SNPINDEX:^GSPC), and Nasdaq Composite (NASDAQINDEX:^IXIC).
Warsh has wasted little time setting a new tone as head of the central bank. He's done away with forward-looking guidance in Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting statements and declared "the Fed's predominant focus right now should be on prices."
Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again. In 2009, a "Double Down" signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. For the first time in years, that same "Total Conviction" signal is flashing for a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia. Continue »
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh has declared that the FOMC will deliver price stability. Image source: Official Federal Reserve Photo.
Though FOMC policymakers are bound to uphold the dual mandate of maximum employment and price stability, the latter is of far greater importance at the moment. Trailing 12-month inflation reached a three-year high of 4.2% in May, driven primarily by Trumpflation vis-à-vis tariffs and the Iran war.
#kevin #chair
Warsh has wasted little time setting a new tone as head of the central bank. He's done away with forward-looking guidance in Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting statements and declared "the Fed's predominant focus right now should be on prices."
Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again. In 2009, a "Double Down" signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. For the first time in years, that same "Total Conviction" signal is flashing for a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia. Continue »
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh has declared that the FOMC will deliver price stability. Image source: Official Federal Reserve Photo.
Though FOMC policymakers are bound to uphold the dual mandate of maximum employment and price stability, the latter is of far greater importance at the moment. Trailing 12-month inflation reached a three-year high of 4.2% in May, driven primarily by Trumpflation vis-à-vis tariffs and the Iran war.
#kevin #chair
23 days ago
President Donald Trump is proving to be a very challenging commander-in-chief to work around for most investors, even as markets have soared during his tenure. On April 3, 2025, the day after the much-hyped "Liberation Day" barrage of new tariffs, the S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) fell 4.8% as the Magnificent Seven group of technology companies corrected sharply downward.
Just six trading days later, most of the damage had been erased, leaving investors with whiplash and prompting many to wonder whether they'd sold their **** ets too hastily. Volatility never went away, but it now concentrates in individual stocks rather than the market as a whole. The gap between average single-stock volatility and index volatility hit an all-time high of 31% in early July 2026, according to CBOE Global Markets. Therein lies the crux of why markets are still struggling to get a read on what the president is going to do next.
Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again. In 2009, a "Double Down" signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. For the first time in years, that same "Total Conviction" signal is flashing for a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia. Continue »
U.S. tariff policy has changed more than 50 times since January 2025, according to the Tax Foundation. In most of those cases, investors learned about the policy changes via a social media post from the president. The market's moves with each new change have frequently rivaled past stock market crashes in size.
For instance, Nike crashed 14% on April 3, 2025, and Apple declined by 9%. Both crashes were caused by the companies' heavy reliance on supply chains in Asia, which were hit by the new tariffs. Then, on April 9, 2025, Trump waived the initially declared tariff rates for 90 days, causing Apple to bounce by 15.3%. The S&P 500 itself had its best day since 2008.
#NVIDIA #markets #Trump #flashing
Just six trading days later, most of the damage had been erased, leaving investors with whiplash and prompting many to wonder whether they'd sold their **** ets too hastily. Volatility never went away, but it now concentrates in individual stocks rather than the market as a whole. The gap between average single-stock volatility and index volatility hit an all-time high of 31% in early July 2026, according to CBOE Global Markets. Therein lies the crux of why markets are still struggling to get a read on what the president is going to do next.
Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again. In 2009, a "Double Down" signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. For the first time in years, that same "Total Conviction" signal is flashing for a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia. Continue »
U.S. tariff policy has changed more than 50 times since January 2025, according to the Tax Foundation. In most of those cases, investors learned about the policy changes via a social media post from the president. The market's moves with each new change have frequently rivaled past stock market crashes in size.
For instance, Nike crashed 14% on April 3, 2025, and Apple declined by 9%. Both crashes were caused by the companies' heavy reliance on supply chains in Asia, which were hit by the new tariffs. Then, on April 9, 2025, Trump waived the initially declared tariff rates for 90 days, causing Apple to bounce by 15.3%. The S&P 500 itself had its best day since 2008.
#NVIDIA #markets #Trump #flashing
23 days ago
This has been a history-packed year for Wall Street, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJINDICES:^DJI), S&P 500 (SNPINDEX:^GSPC), and Nasdaq Composite (NASDAQINDEX:^IXIC) romping to new highs, and the largest-ever initial public offering taking shape. But the swearing in of Fed Chair Kevin Warsh on May 22 arguably takes the cake.
Jerome Powell's successor vowed to lead a reform-oriented central bank and hasn't veered from that promise over the last three months. Since taking the reins, Warsh has shelved forward-looking guidance from Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting statements and commissioned five task forces to aid the Fed in its conduct of monetary policy.
Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again. In 2009, a "Double Down" signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. For the first time in years, that same "Total Conviction" signal is flashing for a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia. Continue »
Fed Chair Warsh just served up an inflation ultimatum for Wall Street. Image source: Official Federal Reserve Photo.
But the biggest task at hand for Warsh and the FOMC is tackling persistently high inflation. While delivering his first annual speech at the Jackson Hole economic symposium on Aug. 28, the new Fed chair completely shifted the central bank's entire focus on inflation in one sentence.
#warsh
Jerome Powell's successor vowed to lead a reform-oriented central bank and hasn't veered from that promise over the last three months. Since taking the reins, Warsh has shelved forward-looking guidance from Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting statements and commissioned five task forces to aid the Fed in its conduct of monetary policy.
Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again. In 2009, a "Double Down" signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. For the first time in years, that same "Total Conviction" signal is flashing for a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia. Continue »
Fed Chair Warsh just served up an inflation ultimatum for Wall Street. Image source: Official Federal Reserve Photo.
But the biggest task at hand for Warsh and the FOMC is tackling persistently high inflation. While delivering his first annual speech at the Jackson Hole economic symposium on Aug. 28, the new Fed chair completely shifted the central bank's entire focus on inflation in one sentence.
#warsh
23 days ago
The stock market has been so good for so long, that it's making some investors suspicious. The S&P 500 index (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) has delivered a total return of 593% in the past 15 years. The tech-heavy Nasdaq-100 index has done even better with a total return of 1,150% during that time.
Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again. In 2009, a "Double Down" signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. For the first time in years, that same "Total Conviction" signal is flashing for a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia. Continue »
Can the good times on Wall Street really keep going? What if the artificial intelligence (AI) boom that has powered hundreds of billions of dollars of capital expenditure and investor excitement turns out to be overvalued and overhyped? What if we're overdue for a bear market?
During any given day, month, or year, the stock market can lose value. This is why day trading and short-term speculation can be so risky and unlikely to succeed. But I'm not focused on what happens in the stock market tomorrow or this year.
Any money I invest today is going to be left invested for the next 10 years or more. And as a long-term investor, I believe that no matter what happens next, as a long-term investor, it's a good decision to keep investing in the Vanguard Morningstar Total Stock Market ETF (NYSEMKT: VTI).
#Stock #good #investor
Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again. In 2009, a "Double Down" signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. For the first time in years, that same "Total Conviction" signal is flashing for a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia. Continue »
Can the good times on Wall Street really keep going? What if the artificial intelligence (AI) boom that has powered hundreds of billions of dollars of capital expenditure and investor excitement turns out to be overvalued and overhyped? What if we're overdue for a bear market?
During any given day, month, or year, the stock market can lose value. This is why day trading and short-term speculation can be so risky and unlikely to succeed. But I'm not focused on what happens in the stock market tomorrow or this year.
Any money I invest today is going to be left invested for the next 10 years or more. And as a long-term investor, I believe that no matter what happens next, as a long-term investor, it's a good decision to keep investing in the Vanguard Morningstar Total Stock Market ETF (NYSEMKT: VTI).
#Stock #good #investor
23 days ago
Winnie the Pooh probably isn't the investment guru that first comes to mind when you think about Wall Street. And yet he has offered some pretty sage investing advice: "Doing nothing often leads to the very best of something." The history of investing over the past 50 years very clearly shows that this fictional, honey-loving bear could be on to something. Here's why.
Turning to a real person, iconic investor Warren Buffett, the former CEO of Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRKA)(NYSE: BRKB), has said that "Investing is not a game where the guy with the 160 IQ beats the guy with the 130 IQ. Once you have ordinary intelligence, what you need is the temperament to control the urges that get other people into trouble in investing."
Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again. In 2009, a "Double Down" signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. For the first time in years, that same "Total Conviction" signal is flashing for a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia. Continue »
The issue of temperament is where Buffett and Pooh intersect. That's because the S&P 500 index's (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) history shows that Wall Street switches between bull and bear markets in a zigzag fashion, while generally moving higher over time. The chart below shows that simply buying and holding the S&P 500 index would have yielded a positive long-term outcome if you had the temperament to do nothing while it gyrated in the short term.
In fact, Warren Buffett has actually suggested that most investors would be better off just buying the S&P 500 index and... doing nothing. That's not entirely true; Buffett would likely recommend continuing to regularly buy an S&P 500 index ETF, such as SPDR S&P 500 ETF (NYSEMKT: SPY) or Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (NYSEMKT: VOO), regardless of market conditions.
#buffett #pooh #wall
Turning to a real person, iconic investor Warren Buffett, the former CEO of Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRKA)(NYSE: BRKB), has said that "Investing is not a game where the guy with the 160 IQ beats the guy with the 130 IQ. Once you have ordinary intelligence, what you need is the temperament to control the urges that get other people into trouble in investing."
Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again. In 2009, a "Double Down" signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. For the first time in years, that same "Total Conviction" signal is flashing for a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia. Continue »
The issue of temperament is where Buffett and Pooh intersect. That's because the S&P 500 index's (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) history shows that Wall Street switches between bull and bear markets in a zigzag fashion, while generally moving higher over time. The chart below shows that simply buying and holding the S&P 500 index would have yielded a positive long-term outcome if you had the temperament to do nothing while it gyrated in the short term.
In fact, Warren Buffett has actually suggested that most investors would be better off just buying the S&P 500 index and... doing nothing. That's not entirely true; Buffett would likely recommend continuing to regularly buy an S&P 500 index ETF, such as SPDR S&P 500 ETF (NYSEMKT: SPY) or Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (NYSEMKT: VOO), regardless of market conditions.
#buffett #pooh #wall
