10 hours ago
Bill Ackman says Pershing Square (NYSE:PS) owns about 10% of both Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, and sees 10x potential in the stocks.
Ackman calls a release "a political imperative" and says a president can do it by executive order, even if midterms go against the President.
Taxpayers get paid first: Treasury's senior preferred stake carries a $238 billion liquidation preference, and warrants cover 80% of common stock.
Read More: Learn 7 ways to generate income with a $1,000,000+ portfolio (sponsor)
Bill Ackman says the White House has a historic trade within reach. "It will be the greatest real estate deal of all time," the founder of Pershing Square (NYSE:PS) said of releasing Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac from government conservatorship. The Motley Fool's report of Pershing Square's third-quarter earnings call on Tuesday, Nov. 3 noted he estimated the move would create half a trillion dollars of value, 80% of it held by taxpayers. He called that estimate conservative.
#taxpayers #learn
Ackman calls a release "a political imperative" and says a president can do it by executive order, even if midterms go against the President.
Taxpayers get paid first: Treasury's senior preferred stake carries a $238 billion liquidation preference, and warrants cover 80% of common stock.
Read More: Learn 7 ways to generate income with a $1,000,000+ portfolio (sponsor)
Bill Ackman says the White House has a historic trade within reach. "It will be the greatest real estate deal of all time," the founder of Pershing Square (NYSE:PS) said of releasing Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac from government conservatorship. The Motley Fool's report of Pershing Square's third-quarter earnings call on Tuesday, Nov. 3 noted he estimated the move would create half a trillion dollars of value, 80% of it held by taxpayers. He called that estimate conservative.
#taxpayers #learn
15 hours ago
Tuesday's midterm vote is behind us, and chip stocks came into it bruised. The VanEck Semiconductor ETF (NASDAQ:SMH) ended Election Day at $518.52. That was around 22% under the fund's highest close ever, set on June 22, but it still left the fund up about 44% in 2026.
What have chip stocks usually done over the 12 months after a midterm vote?
Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again. In 2009, a "Double Down" signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. For the first time in years, that same "Total Conviction" signal is flashing for a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia. Continue »
I went back to the PHLX Semiconductor Index, a widely watched chip benchmark with daily data going back far enough to cover the past eight midterms. For each one, I compared the index's close on Election Day to its close on the same date a year later, on price alone.
The record's impressive. But I think where chip stocks start this time is a reason to lower expectations.
#election #midterm
What have chip stocks usually done over the 12 months after a midterm vote?
Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again. In 2009, a "Double Down" signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. For the first time in years, that same "Total Conviction" signal is flashing for a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia. Continue »
I went back to the PHLX Semiconductor Index, a widely watched chip benchmark with daily data going back far enough to cover the past eight midterms. For each one, I compared the index's close on Election Day to its close on the same date a year later, on price alone.
The record's impressive. But I think where chip stocks start this time is a reason to lower expectations.
#election #midterm
20 hours ago
Midterms tend to be backlash elections, and the president's party almost always loses seats when voters return to the polls to judge his performance in office.
But not all midterms are created equal.
On Tuesday, Democrats comprehensively routed their Republican rivals, regaining control of the U.S. House, U.S. Senate and statehouses across the country. Along the way, they shattered a series of decades-long Republican winning streaks and notched several historic firsts.
So just how big was this year's blue wave (or "blue tsunami")?
The full scale and scope of the Democratic Party's seismic victory is still coming into focus as officials tally every last vote. But here are some key numbers to help you put it into perspective:
#republican #blue #along
But not all midterms are created equal.
On Tuesday, Democrats comprehensively routed their Republican rivals, regaining control of the U.S. House, U.S. Senate and statehouses across the country. Along the way, they shattered a series of decades-long Republican winning streaks and notched several historic firsts.
So just how big was this year's blue wave (or "blue tsunami")?
The full scale and scope of the Democratic Party's seismic victory is still coming into focus as officials tally every last vote. But here are some key numbers to help you put it into perspective:
#republican #blue #along
1 day ago
The results of the 2026 midterm elections have delivered a series of historic wins, with candidates across the country breaking barriers — and glass ceilings — at the ballot box. The results come amid a sweeping Democratic victory in a battle for control of Congress, with both chambers shifting from Republican to Democratic majorities starting in January.
Among the headline-making victories are the nation's first Black woman governor, the first Native American woman governor, the first Muslim U.S. senator and the first openly gay man elected to the Senate.
Here's a closer look at the historic wins of the 2026 midterms.
Abdul El-Sayed
Democrat Abdul El-Sayed makes remarks in Detroit, Mich., on Nov. 4.
#democratic #wins
Among the headline-making victories are the nation's first Black woman governor, the first Native American woman governor, the first Muslim U.S. senator and the first openly gay man elected to the Senate.
Here's a closer look at the historic wins of the 2026 midterms.
Abdul El-Sayed
Democrat Abdul El-Sayed makes remarks in Detroit, Mich., on Nov. 4.
#democratic #wins
1 day ago
SPY rose in five of six Novembers after midterms, gaining as much as 6% in 2002 and 2022 following severe bear markets.
DIA finished higher in all six post-midterm years, with gains ranging from 5% to 20%, fitting a broader presidential-cycle pattern.
In 2018, SPY gained nearly 2% in November then crashed 9% in December, ending the year 7% below pre-election levels.
Just released. Our ***** ysts combed the entire stock market and named the ten best stocks to buy right now. The report is free. Enter your email and see if any of your stocks made the cut.
Election nights tend to rattle retirement savers, but Wall Street opened Wednesday more calmly. The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSEARCA:SPY), the most widely held stand-in for the benchmark S&P 500, traded at $763.08 before the open on November 4. That was up 1.16% from its November 3 close of $754.35. Reuters reported that stocks rallied and the dollar dipped after what it called a Democratic midterm sweep. But one session tells a 401(k) holder very little. The more useful guide is how the index behaved in the weeks and months after past midterms. That record shows a steady winning run, along with a few sharp breaks.
#midterms #midterm #december
DIA finished higher in all six post-midterm years, with gains ranging from 5% to 20%, fitting a broader presidential-cycle pattern.
In 2018, SPY gained nearly 2% in November then crashed 9% in December, ending the year 7% below pre-election levels.
Just released. Our ***** ysts combed the entire stock market and named the ten best stocks to buy right now. The report is free. Enter your email and see if any of your stocks made the cut.
Election nights tend to rattle retirement savers, but Wall Street opened Wednesday more calmly. The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSEARCA:SPY), the most widely held stand-in for the benchmark S&P 500, traded at $763.08 before the open on November 4. That was up 1.16% from its November 3 close of $754.35. Reuters reported that stocks rallied and the dollar dipped after what it called a Democratic midterm sweep. But one session tells a 401(k) holder very little. The more useful guide is how the index behaved in the weeks and months after past midterms. That record shows a steady winning run, along with a few sharp breaks.
#midterms #midterm #december
1 day ago
The midterm elections are over. But as far as the stock market goes, Tuesday's voting results probably don't matter much, aside from some elevated market volatility.
But there's some good news about the midterms, and it has nothing to do with which party came out on top. Historically, the six-month period following midterm elections -- from November of the midterm election year to the following April -- is the best in the four-year presidential cycle for the S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC). That's according to the Stock Trader's Almanac, which tracks market returns closely.
Missed AI's "Act 1"? Act 2 Could Be 16x Bigger. Most investors think they missed the AI boat because they didn't buy Nvidia in 2005. But according to our ****** ysts, we're only at the end of "Act 1"—the R&D phase. "Act 2" is the global rollout. Continue »
And that means this is a good time for the stock market.
The Four-Year Presidential Election Cycle Theory holds that the stock market has a relatively predictable pattern surrounding presidential terms. In the first two years of office, the new president focuses on top priorities, such as healthcare and education, and the market's performance is below average.
#market #presidential #missed
But there's some good news about the midterms, and it has nothing to do with which party came out on top. Historically, the six-month period following midterm elections -- from November of the midterm election year to the following April -- is the best in the four-year presidential cycle for the S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC). That's according to the Stock Trader's Almanac, which tracks market returns closely.
Missed AI's "Act 1"? Act 2 Could Be 16x Bigger. Most investors think they missed the AI boat because they didn't buy Nvidia in 2005. But according to our ****** ysts, we're only at the end of "Act 1"—the R&D phase. "Act 2" is the global rollout. Continue »
And that means this is a good time for the stock market.
The Four-Year Presidential Election Cycle Theory holds that the stock market has a relatively predictable pattern surrounding presidential terms. In the first two years of office, the new president focuses on top priorities, such as healthcare and education, and the market's performance is below average.
#market #presidential #missed
1 day ago
With mere hours left on Election Night before polling closes across America, traders on prediction market platform Polymarket are forecasting an 89% chance (as of 7 p.m. ET) that Democrats sweep and retake both the House of Representatives and the Senate. For context, Republicans enter the midterms with 218 of 435 House seats and 53 of 100 Senate seats.
The potential implications of midterm elections on the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJINDICES:^DJI), S&P 500 (SNPINDEX:^GSPC), and Nasdaq Composite (NASDAQINDEX:^IXIC) are massive. If a "blue wave" does unfold, things could get dicey, at least over the short run, for a historically expensive stock market.
Missed AI's "Act 1"? Act 2 Could Be 16x Bigger. Most investors think they missed the AI boat because they didn't buy Nvidia in 2005. But according to our ***** ysts, we're only at the end of "Act 1"—the R&D phase. "Act 2" is the global rollout. Continue »
President Trump may soon be working with a divided government. Image source: Official White House Photo by Molly Riley.
President Donald Trump hasn't been keen on the prospect of working with the opposition. In a recent Fox News interview, he proclaimed that "I guess I'll become Mr. Veto" if a blue wave takes shape, and has previously gone on record as stating that he'd "veto everything" sent to him by a Democrat-led Congress.
#House #senate #president #Trump
The potential implications of midterm elections on the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJINDICES:^DJI), S&P 500 (SNPINDEX:^GSPC), and Nasdaq Composite (NASDAQINDEX:^IXIC) are massive. If a "blue wave" does unfold, things could get dicey, at least over the short run, for a historically expensive stock market.
Missed AI's "Act 1"? Act 2 Could Be 16x Bigger. Most investors think they missed the AI boat because they didn't buy Nvidia in 2005. But according to our ***** ysts, we're only at the end of "Act 1"—the R&D phase. "Act 2" is the global rollout. Continue »
President Trump may soon be working with a divided government. Image source: Official White House Photo by Molly Riley.
President Donald Trump hasn't been keen on the prospect of working with the opposition. In a recent Fox News interview, he proclaimed that "I guess I'll become Mr. Veto" if a blue wave takes shape, and has previously gone on record as stating that he'd "veto everything" sent to him by a Democrat-led Congress.
#House #senate #president #Trump
5 days ago
WASHINGTON (AP) — President Donald Trump says Georgia GOP Senate candidate Mike Collins can call him whenever he wants to ask for help for his state. But if Georgia reelects Democratic Sen. Jon Ossoff, Trump says it could be another story.
"There's a big difference between that and Pee-wee Herman calling," Trump said last week in Perry, Georgia, using his derisive nickname for Ossoff. The president acted out a hypothetical scenario at his rally where Ossoff called to ask for money for his state, with Trump responding, "I don't give a **** what he wants."
It's been a recurring theme at Trump's rallies this month: From North Carolina to Ohio to Kansas, the president has dangled the idea that his administration would be far less likely to help states where Democrats win in the upcoming midterm elections.
Trump has sandwiched the threats into rallies where he has announced goodies like new semiconductor investments, a submarine repair center and fewer limits on a certain type of diesel, underscoring to the audience the types of tangibles an all-Republican Washington could continue to deliver for voters should his party remain in power after November.
But the president's utterances — part of a larger political strategy that's anchored on making the midterms about himself and activating conservative voters — have also injected politics into processes that have traditionally remained apolitical, such as doling out disaster aid and providing benefits for veterans.
#Trump #state
"There's a big difference between that and Pee-wee Herman calling," Trump said last week in Perry, Georgia, using his derisive nickname for Ossoff. The president acted out a hypothetical scenario at his rally where Ossoff called to ask for money for his state, with Trump responding, "I don't give a **** what he wants."
It's been a recurring theme at Trump's rallies this month: From North Carolina to Ohio to Kansas, the president has dangled the idea that his administration would be far less likely to help states where Democrats win in the upcoming midterm elections.
Trump has sandwiched the threats into rallies where he has announced goodies like new semiconductor investments, a submarine repair center and fewer limits on a certain type of diesel, underscoring to the audience the types of tangibles an all-Republican Washington could continue to deliver for voters should his party remain in power after November.
But the president's utterances — part of a larger political strategy that's anchored on making the midterms about himself and activating conservative voters — have also injected politics into processes that have traditionally remained apolitical, such as doling out disaster aid and providing benefits for veterans.
#Trump #state
10 days ago
U.S. President Donald Trump praised Nicki Minaj's "beautiful" bottom during a bizarre speech at a rally in Michigan on Sunday.
The Starships rapper, who is a vocal supporter of the U.S. leader, joined Trump on his plane, Air Force One, and on stage at the pre-midterms rally in Port Huron.
During his speech, Trump made cheeky comments about Minaj's rear end as he explained his recent remarks about Republican Ohio senator Jon Husted's derriere.
"By the way, I looked at one ***** of a beautiful a*s before - Nicki Minaj," Trump said, as the crowd cheered. "That's hard to miss. That - stand up! That's hard to miss."
Minaj stood up and turned around to face the audience. After she sat back down, Trump continued, "OK, I'm going to get back to my story, Nicki. I hope Nicki wasn't insulted, but we love Nicki. She's been with us for a long time."
Earlier in the rally, the Pound the Alarm singer pledged her continued support of Trump, telling him that it is an "honour to stand with you every single time" and that he will have her backing "forever and ever".
#Trump #minaj #beautiful #miss
The Starships rapper, who is a vocal supporter of the U.S. leader, joined Trump on his plane, Air Force One, and on stage at the pre-midterms rally in Port Huron.
During his speech, Trump made cheeky comments about Minaj's rear end as he explained his recent remarks about Republican Ohio senator Jon Husted's derriere.
"By the way, I looked at one ***** of a beautiful a*s before - Nicki Minaj," Trump said, as the crowd cheered. "That's hard to miss. That - stand up! That's hard to miss."
Minaj stood up and turned around to face the audience. After she sat back down, Trump continued, "OK, I'm going to get back to my story, Nicki. I hope Nicki wasn't insulted, but we love Nicki. She's been with us for a long time."
Earlier in the rally, the Pound the Alarm singer pledged her continued support of Trump, telling him that it is an "honour to stand with you every single time" and that he will have her backing "forever and ever".
#Trump #minaj #beautiful #miss
11 days ago
Rapper Nicki Minaj publicly endorsed US President Donald Trump at a Republican campaign rally in Port Huron, Michigan, on Sunday, 25 October, ahead of the November midterm elections. After travelling aboard Air Force One, the Trinidadian-born artist joined him on stage, telling the crowd "We love Trump" and promising to support him "forever".
Nicki Minaj's increasingly public support for Donald Trump represents a notable political shift for a rapper whose provocative performances and **** ually explicit lyrics have often sparked controversy.
In 2020, she had criticised his administration's strict immigration policies, particularly the separation of children from their parents at the US border. More recently, however, she has appeared at events **** ociated with his presidency.
The Michigan rally also featured renewed attacks by Trump against Abdul El-Sayed, the Democratic candidate for the US Senate. The president questioned El-Sayed's loyalty to the United States, allegations the former public health official has repeatedly rejected.
Trump's remarks came as Republicans campaigned ahead of the midterms, with Minaj's appearance adding a prominent celebrity endorsement to the event. A video shared by White House communications director Steven Cheung also showed the rapper joking about becoming the administration's press secretary.
#Trump #nicki
Nicki Minaj's increasingly public support for Donald Trump represents a notable political shift for a rapper whose provocative performances and **** ually explicit lyrics have often sparked controversy.
In 2020, she had criticised his administration's strict immigration policies, particularly the separation of children from their parents at the US border. More recently, however, she has appeared at events **** ociated with his presidency.
The Michigan rally also featured renewed attacks by Trump against Abdul El-Sayed, the Democratic candidate for the US Senate. The president questioned El-Sayed's loyalty to the United States, allegations the former public health official has repeatedly rejected.
Trump's remarks came as Republicans campaigned ahead of the midterms, with Minaj's appearance adding a prominent celebrity endorsement to the event. A video shared by White House communications director Steven Cheung also showed the rapper joking about becoming the administration's press secretary.
#Trump #nicki
29 days ago
Mark Ruffalo is bringing some Hulk-sized energy to the midterm elections, making it clear he is ready to protect voting rights.
The "Avengers" star has long been outspoken on progressive causes, including voting issues and his support for Democratic candidates.
He has also repeatedly criticized Donald Trump, who appeared to be the target of his message about the midterm elections.
Lumeimages / MEGA
Ruffalo did not hold back while speaking about the upcoming midterms, using his Marvel alter ego to make his point.
#midterm #elections #avengers #Trump
The "Avengers" star has long been outspoken on progressive causes, including voting issues and his support for Democratic candidates.
He has also repeatedly criticized Donald Trump, who appeared to be the target of his message about the midterm elections.
Lumeimages / MEGA
Ruffalo did not hold back while speaking about the upcoming midterms, using his Marvel alter ego to make his point.
#midterm #elections #avengers #Trump
1 month ago
Saturday Night Live host Dakota Johnson linked up with Taylor Swift on stage Saturday, where they joked about dating musicians.
In her monologue, Johnson, who split up with Coldplay singer Chris Martin and singer-songwriter Role Model since her last time hosting the show, makes a comparison to her newest film, Verity.
More from Rolling Stone
'SNL' Cold Open: Trump's Midterms Pitch Dooms Desperate GOP
Paul McCartney Reveals Why He Performed at Taylor Swift's Wedding: 'She Asked Me to Do It'
#night #live #dakota
In her monologue, Johnson, who split up with Coldplay singer Chris Martin and singer-songwriter Role Model since her last time hosting the show, makes a comparison to her newest film, Verity.
More from Rolling Stone
'SNL' Cold Open: Trump's Midterms Pitch Dooms Desperate GOP
Paul McCartney Reveals Why He Performed at Taylor Swift's Wedding: 'She Asked Me to Do It'
#night #live #dakota
1 month ago
A clash between two potential candidates for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination spilled into public this week.
Sen. Ted Cruz, R-Texas, speaks at the Republican convention Thursday, Sept. 10, 2026, in Dallas. (AP Photo/Julio Cortez) | AP
10/04/2026 05:15 AM GMT+9 |Updated: 10/04/2026 05:20 AM GMT+9
Sen. Ted Cruz fired back at JD Vance for suggesting he’s already focused on a 2028 presidential bid, calling the vice president “insecure” while insisting he’s focused on the 2026 midterms.
#focused #julio
Sen. Ted Cruz, R-Texas, speaks at the Republican convention Thursday, Sept. 10, 2026, in Dallas. (AP Photo/Julio Cortez) | AP
10/04/2026 05:15 AM GMT+9 |Updated: 10/04/2026 05:20 AM GMT+9
Sen. Ted Cruz fired back at JD Vance for suggesting he’s already focused on a 2028 presidential bid, calling the vice president “insecure” while insisting he’s focused on the 2026 midterms.
#focused #julio
1 month ago
President Donald Trump on Saturday pressured Republican Sen. Tom Cotton of Arkansas to support a bill to make daylight saving time permanent, urging Americans to call what appeared to be the personal cellphone number of Cotton, the chairman of the Senate Intelligence Committee.
The Sunshine Protection Act passed the House in July, but it faces roadblocks in the Senate where some Republicans are strongly opposed. Proponents, including the White House, argue that the change would provide more daylight during the times that Americans are most active. Detractors said permanent daylight saving time would lead to darker and potentially more hazardous winter mornings when children will be waiting for school buses and parents will be driving to work in darkness.
It was a remarkable escalation on Trump's part of a longstanding fixation shared by both men — with Trump supporting making daylight saving time permanent, and Cotton vociferously opposed — at a time just weeks before the midterms, when Republicans would prefer that the president focus on talking about affordability issues and the party's achievements. Cotton is also up for reelection this November, although that race is not expected to be competitive.
Daylight saving time is that period between spring and fall when clocks in most parts of the United States are set one hour ahead of standard time. Not all states observe it — and under the bill, states can opt out of the change if their respective legislatures act to do so before the bill's enactment.
"It's a lot of work for a lot of people, running around for two days, changing all the clocks in the house," Trump told reporters as his left the White House on Saturday for a rally in Vandalia, Ohio. "It discombobulates everybody," he said.
#House #Trump #saving #states
The Sunshine Protection Act passed the House in July, but it faces roadblocks in the Senate where some Republicans are strongly opposed. Proponents, including the White House, argue that the change would provide more daylight during the times that Americans are most active. Detractors said permanent daylight saving time would lead to darker and potentially more hazardous winter mornings when children will be waiting for school buses and parents will be driving to work in darkness.
It was a remarkable escalation on Trump's part of a longstanding fixation shared by both men — with Trump supporting making daylight saving time permanent, and Cotton vociferously opposed — at a time just weeks before the midterms, when Republicans would prefer that the president focus on talking about affordability issues and the party's achievements. Cotton is also up for reelection this November, although that race is not expected to be competitive.
Daylight saving time is that period between spring and fall when clocks in most parts of the United States are set one hour ahead of standard time. Not all states observe it — and under the bill, states can opt out of the change if their respective legislatures act to do so before the bill's enactment.
"It's a lot of work for a lot of people, running around for two days, changing all the clocks in the house," Trump told reporters as his left the White House on Saturday for a rally in Vandalia, Ohio. "It discombobulates everybody," he said.
#House #Trump #saving #states
1 month ago
Trump also again urged supporters to imagine that he himself was on the ballot.
President Donald Trump warned Republicans that Texas and Michigan are among the states the party is “worried about” ahead of the 2026 midterm elections, while speaking to voters in Oklahoma on Thursday.
Fresh off an event in Texas, Trump told a crowd in the reliably Republican state that he was not concerned about Oklahoma but that Republicans needed to turn out voters in other states.
"I feel a little foolish, you know. I’m saying, 'go out and vote, go out and vote.' You’re gonna, they’re gonna win in the last half, but still go out and vote," Trump said. "But we’re not worried about them. We’re worried about Michigan. We’re worried about Texas. We’re worried about a few states."
Trump later said Republicans need to get the word out about the midterms, citing what he described as 35 to 40 races that the party is concerned about.
#republicans #texas
President Donald Trump warned Republicans that Texas and Michigan are among the states the party is “worried about” ahead of the 2026 midterm elections, while speaking to voters in Oklahoma on Thursday.
Fresh off an event in Texas, Trump told a crowd in the reliably Republican state that he was not concerned about Oklahoma but that Republicans needed to turn out voters in other states.
"I feel a little foolish, you know. I’m saying, 'go out and vote, go out and vote.' You’re gonna, they’re gonna win in the last half, but still go out and vote," Trump said. "But we’re not worried about them. We’re worried about Michigan. We’re worried about Texas. We’re worried about a few states."
Trump later said Republicans need to get the word out about the midterms, citing what he described as 35 to 40 races that the party is concerned about.
#republicans #texas
1 month ago
Jillian Michaels admitted "a lot of Republicans" come up to her and express how "unhappy" they are with President Donald Trump as she warned the party not to rely on MAGA loyalists in the midterms.
On her Keeping It Real podcast on Friday, Michaels, a fitness trainer who has more recently turned to political commentary, reacted to a recent Fox News interview with musician and Trump supporter Nicki Minaj, who insisted MAGA remains loyal to Trump despite his falling poll numbers — which he has dismissed as fake news.
"They talk about how MAGA is still very loyal to Trump, but MAGA is not a big percentage, a big percentage of the total voting pool, because it's not the entire Republican Party," Michaels said.
She then turned to recent polling breaking down how voters identify with parties and movements.
According to Pew Research Center data, 28% of voters identify as Republicans, 29% identify as Democrats, and 44% identify as independent or something else. Among those independents, 43% lean Republican and 47% lean towards Democrats.
#michaels #republicans #recent
On her Keeping It Real podcast on Friday, Michaels, a fitness trainer who has more recently turned to political commentary, reacted to a recent Fox News interview with musician and Trump supporter Nicki Minaj, who insisted MAGA remains loyal to Trump despite his falling poll numbers — which he has dismissed as fake news.
"They talk about how MAGA is still very loyal to Trump, but MAGA is not a big percentage, a big percentage of the total voting pool, because it's not the entire Republican Party," Michaels said.
She then turned to recent polling breaking down how voters identify with parties and movements.
According to Pew Research Center data, 28% of voters identify as Republicans, 29% identify as Democrats, and 44% identify as independent or something else. Among those independents, 43% lean Republican and 47% lean towards Democrats.
#michaels #republicans #recent
1 month ago
Election Day is still a month away, but more than 700,000 Americans have already voted across at least 30 states. There are signs emerging of the advantage Democrats have in motivating their voters – a trend that’s played out in polling all summer long.
In several states with key Senate or governor races this fall, Democrats make up a larger share of voters requesting ballots so far than they did at this point in 2024.
What early voting data is showing ahead of the 2026 midterms
In Iowa, Democrats have made 67% of ballot requests, up from 54% at this point in 2024. In Pennsylvania, it’s 66%, up from 62%, and in Maine it’s 57%, up from 53%. And according to data from the North Carolina State Board of Elections, 42% of ballot requests are from Democrats, up from 36% at this point two years ago.
It’s worth noting that in all of those states except for Iowa, ballot requests at this point in 2022 were more Democratic than they are now.
#point #states #iowa #election
In several states with key Senate or governor races this fall, Democrats make up a larger share of voters requesting ballots so far than they did at this point in 2024.
What early voting data is showing ahead of the 2026 midterms
In Iowa, Democrats have made 67% of ballot requests, up from 54% at this point in 2024. In Pennsylvania, it’s 66%, up from 62%, and in Maine it’s 57%, up from 53%. And according to data from the North Carolina State Board of Elections, 42% of ballot requests are from Democrats, up from 36% at this point two years ago.
It’s worth noting that in all of those states except for Iowa, ballot requests at this point in 2022 were more Democratic than they are now.
#point #states #iowa #election
2 months ago
Americans have paid about $97 billion more for fuel since the Iran war started in late February, roughly $740 extra per household, according to CNN. President Trump says prices will come down after the midterms. The CEO of Chevron just said publicly he does not see how that happens quickly.
Mike Wirth, Chevron's chairman and chief executive, spoke at a University of Texas at Austin energy conference on September 11. He told the audience that the mechanisms that helped absorb the oil supply shock earlier in the conflict have largely been used up, and that prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next few months.
When the U.S.-Iran conflict began, the oil market had several ways to handle the disruption. Countries could release crude from strategic reserves. Commercial inventories could be drawn down. The U.S. eased restrictions on sanctioned crude stored on vessels at sea. Those measures helped limit the initial price spike.
"Those have largely now played out," Wirth said. The energy system no longer has the buffers it had when the war began.
The loss of flexibility became more acute after attacks knocked out a major Saudi crude pipeline that had been bypassing the Strait of Hormuz. That single disruption put an estimated 2.5 million barrels of oil per day in limbo, tightening a market that was already running short on supply.
#crude #prices #energy #conflict
Mike Wirth, Chevron's chairman and chief executive, spoke at a University of Texas at Austin energy conference on September 11. He told the audience that the mechanisms that helped absorb the oil supply shock earlier in the conflict have largely been used up, and that prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next few months.
When the U.S.-Iran conflict began, the oil market had several ways to handle the disruption. Countries could release crude from strategic reserves. Commercial inventories could be drawn down. The U.S. eased restrictions on sanctioned crude stored on vessels at sea. Those measures helped limit the initial price spike.
"Those have largely now played out," Wirth said. The energy system no longer has the buffers it had when the war began.
The loss of flexibility became more acute after attacks knocked out a major Saudi crude pipeline that had been bypassing the Strait of Hormuz. That single disruption put an estimated 2.5 million barrels of oil per day in limbo, tightening a market that was already running short on supply.
#crude #prices #energy #conflict
2 months ago
XRP ranks last for Q4 after the CLARITY Act's Senate failure removed every legislative catalyst and invalidated year-end targets built around the bill.
Ethereum leads the Q4 outlook as the only coin carrying a dated technical upgrade still on the calendar, edging out Bitcoin and crushing XRP.
Bitcoin reclaiming $80,000 before the November midterms is the single falsifiable trigger that tightens the base scenario for all three coins.
Read More: Learn 7 secret wealth tips high net worth investors use that most investors miss (sponsor)
The U.S. Senate voted 49-50 against advancing the CLARITY Act on September 15, falling eleven votes short of the 60 needed to end debate. The defeat leaves crypto's market-structure rules in the hands of the SEC and CFTC rather than Congress, at least for the remainder of 2026.
#senate #learn #september
Ethereum leads the Q4 outlook as the only coin carrying a dated technical upgrade still on the calendar, edging out Bitcoin and crushing XRP.
Bitcoin reclaiming $80,000 before the November midterms is the single falsifiable trigger that tightens the base scenario for all three coins.
Read More: Learn 7 secret wealth tips high net worth investors use that most investors miss (sponsor)
The U.S. Senate voted 49-50 against advancing the CLARITY Act on September 15, falling eleven votes short of the 60 needed to end debate. The defeat leaves crypto's market-structure rules in the hands of the SEC and CFTC rather than Congress, at least for the remainder of 2026.
#senate #learn #september
2 months ago
Democrats' wary optimism about the midterms gave way to growing confidence this week.
The party has seen strong post-Labor Day polls in key battlegrounds - and even in traditionally red areas. Recent escalations in the war in Iran, including an attack on a major pipeline in Saudi Arabia, mean the rising gas prices bedeviling Republicans will not be going down anytime soon. Republicans have not been able to bring prices under control more generally. And President Donald Trump's unpopularity is at near-record levels.
Subscribe to The Post Most newsletter for the most important and interesting stories from The Washington Post.
Considering all this, Democrats now think conditions are right for the party to retake control of the House and possibly the Senate later this year.
"If the election were held today, we would win the majority," Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer (New York) said in an interview with The Washington Post.
#labor
The party has seen strong post-Labor Day polls in key battlegrounds - and even in traditionally red areas. Recent escalations in the war in Iran, including an attack on a major pipeline in Saudi Arabia, mean the rising gas prices bedeviling Republicans will not be going down anytime soon. Republicans have not been able to bring prices under control more generally. And President Donald Trump's unpopularity is at near-record levels.
Subscribe to The Post Most newsletter for the most important and interesting stories from The Washington Post.
Considering all this, Democrats now think conditions are right for the party to retake control of the House and possibly the Senate later this year.
"If the election were held today, we would win the majority," Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer (New York) said in an interview with The Washington Post.
#labor
2 months ago
The Republican speaker of the House, Mike Johnson, announced on Wednesday that he would again cancel votes scheduled for Thursday, sending lawmakers home one day early ahead of the midterm election recess.
The latest change to the legislative schedule means House members will avoid voting on Republican Thomas Massie's resolution to impeach the defense secretary, Pete Hegseth, and comes amid a frenzied attempt to propose legislation on artificial intelligence.
It's the latest round of cancellations at the hands of Johnson, who had already cut the pre-election session short by two weeks. Democrats have reacted angrily, encouraging Johnson to keep lawmakers on Capitol Hill before the midterm recess beginning on Friday.
Related: More Republicans are turning on Iran war as midterms come into view
"I think it shows the cowardice of the Republican party. They are canceling votes to do business for the American people because they are afraid that that impeachment resolution of Pete Hegseth would pass on a bipartisan basis," the Democratic representative Pramila Jayapal told MediasTouch.
#votes #election
The latest change to the legislative schedule means House members will avoid voting on Republican Thomas Massie's resolution to impeach the defense secretary, Pete Hegseth, and comes amid a frenzied attempt to propose legislation on artificial intelligence.
It's the latest round of cancellations at the hands of Johnson, who had already cut the pre-election session short by two weeks. Democrats have reacted angrily, encouraging Johnson to keep lawmakers on Capitol Hill before the midterm recess beginning on Friday.
Related: More Republicans are turning on Iran war as midterms come into view
"I think it shows the cowardice of the Republican party. They are canceling votes to do business for the American people because they are afraid that that impeachment resolution of Pete Hegseth would pass on a bipartisan basis," the Democratic representative Pramila Jayapal told MediasTouch.
#votes #election
2 months ago
Adam Carolla cut right to the chase when he offered his take on President Donald Trump's plan to give out $5,000 to every American adult, as long as Republicans win the 2026 midterms.
"So now we're just bribing people," Carolla said on the Sunday episode of his podcast.
He said again it sounded like Trump was "bribin' 'em" to get votes — but Carolla didn't seem too upset about it.
The veteran comic and podcaster argued the Democratic Party has been doing its own version of freebie payments for decades, thanks to government programs like food stamps and states paying for the healthcare of low-income residents. Carolla said it "evidently works" when it comes to winning over voters, so Republicans should give it a shot.
"It definitely works on all the poor people," Carolla continued. "We'll just get you free cheese, and free school, and free Medicare, and we'll get you free sh*t. Why don't rich people start bribing people? Why not?"
#we 'll #like #adam
"So now we're just bribing people," Carolla said on the Sunday episode of his podcast.
He said again it sounded like Trump was "bribin' 'em" to get votes — but Carolla didn't seem too upset about it.
The veteran comic and podcaster argued the Democratic Party has been doing its own version of freebie payments for decades, thanks to government programs like food stamps and states paying for the healthcare of low-income residents. Carolla said it "evidently works" when it comes to winning over voters, so Republicans should give it a shot.
"It definitely works on all the poor people," Carolla continued. "We'll just get you free cheese, and free school, and free Medicare, and we'll get you free sh*t. Why don't rich people start bribing people? Why not?"
#we 'll #like #adam
2 months ago
A reporter asked Trump why he needed to give voters $5,000 if his economic policies were working.
It didn't go well.
He blamed Biden, and leaned forward and glared at her when she tried a follow-up question.
A reporter asked President Donald Trump why he needed to incentivize voters with a $5,000 check if his economic policies were working, and it seemed to strike a nerve.
On Wednesday, Trump told the Republican Party's midterm convention that every US citizen would receive a $5,000 "Trump dividend" if Republicans retain control of both chambers of Congress in November's midterms.
#voters
It didn't go well.
He blamed Biden, and leaned forward and glared at her when she tried a follow-up question.
A reporter asked President Donald Trump why he needed to incentivize voters with a $5,000 check if his economic policies were working, and it seemed to strike a nerve.
On Wednesday, Trump told the Republican Party's midterm convention that every US citizen would receive a $5,000 "Trump dividend" if Republicans retain control of both chambers of Congress in November's midterms.
#voters
2 months ago
Listen
(3 min)
1525 ET – Oil futures settle at their highest level since May 22 as strikes between the U.S. and Iran escalate and Houthis step up attacks on Saudi oil facilities. The escalation is cause for concern as inventories are low and drawing down and it doesn’t look like the U.S. is making any progress with the conflict, says John Deal, managing director of capital markets at Post Oak Group. “I frankly think we’re in really risky territory right now,” he says, with significant risk of damage to infrastructure in Saudi Arabia. “I wouldn’t be surprised, if this conflict doesn’t wrap up soon, I think we could be looking at prices over $100 maybe as high as $120.” Brent settles up 3.4% at $101.21 a barrel, and WTI rises 3.2% to $96.05. (anthony.harrupwsj.com)
1233 ET – Renewed fighting between the U.S. and Iran is dimming prospects for an agreement to settle the conflict, creating scope for sustained upside in crude, says Nikos Tzabouras of Tradu. But crude oil continues to find a way out of the Persian Gulf and the U.S. still prefers to pressure Tehran and its enablers through economic measures, he adds. “President Trump may also be incentivized to seek an off-ramp as the conflict increasingly clashes with his domestic agenda, with the midterms getting closer.” WTI is up 3.5% at $96.25 a barrel and Brent gains 3.2% to $101.08.(anthony.harrupwsj.com)
#saudi #anthony
(3 min)
1525 ET – Oil futures settle at their highest level since May 22 as strikes between the U.S. and Iran escalate and Houthis step up attacks on Saudi oil facilities. The escalation is cause for concern as inventories are low and drawing down and it doesn’t look like the U.S. is making any progress with the conflict, says John Deal, managing director of capital markets at Post Oak Group. “I frankly think we’re in really risky territory right now,” he says, with significant risk of damage to infrastructure in Saudi Arabia. “I wouldn’t be surprised, if this conflict doesn’t wrap up soon, I think we could be looking at prices over $100 maybe as high as $120.” Brent settles up 3.4% at $101.21 a barrel, and WTI rises 3.2% to $96.05. (anthony.harrupwsj.com)
1233 ET – Renewed fighting between the U.S. and Iran is dimming prospects for an agreement to settle the conflict, creating scope for sustained upside in crude, says Nikos Tzabouras of Tradu. But crude oil continues to find a way out of the Persian Gulf and the U.S. still prefers to pressure Tehran and its enablers through economic measures, he adds. “President Trump may also be incentivized to seek an off-ramp as the conflict increasingly clashes with his domestic agenda, with the midterms getting closer.” WTI is up 3.5% at $96.25 a barrel and Brent gains 3.2% to $101.08.(anthony.harrupwsj.com)
#saudi #anthony
2 months ago
WASHINGTON (AP) — Donald Trump's pitch to send Americans $5,000 checks should Republicans prevail in the November midterms is drawing scorn from some members of Congress — the very people who have constitutional authority over federal spending.
Economists and other political observers are voicing concerns about the potential effects on inflation and the national balance sheet. Taken together, it's a swift reaction that makes clear that Trump's dubious election-year gambit is likely little more than another grand promise from a politician with a long history of them.
"Donald Trump is a known liar. This is the biggest liar to ever serve in government. Period," said Rep. Robert Garcia, a California Democrat who was in Dallas on Thursday as part of his party's effort to counter Republicans' midterm convention. "The dividend is not happening."
Trump previously pledged to use savings from the Department of Government Efficiency and revenue from tariffs on foreign imports to distribute payments of $2,000 or more, but none of that came to pass.
His latest idea comes as the U.S. economy is reckoning with persistent inflation and rising interest rates, two forces that have politically undermined Republicans after previously helping them reclaim power from Democrats. Trump claimed the payments would be possible because of the economy's strength, yet consumer sentiment is weak as gasoline prices are increasing because of the war with Iran and wages are struggling to keep pace with inflation.
#inflation
Economists and other political observers are voicing concerns about the potential effects on inflation and the national balance sheet. Taken together, it's a swift reaction that makes clear that Trump's dubious election-year gambit is likely little more than another grand promise from a politician with a long history of them.
"Donald Trump is a known liar. This is the biggest liar to ever serve in government. Period," said Rep. Robert Garcia, a California Democrat who was in Dallas on Thursday as part of his party's effort to counter Republicans' midterm convention. "The dividend is not happening."
Trump previously pledged to use savings from the Department of Government Efficiency and revenue from tariffs on foreign imports to distribute payments of $2,000 or more, but none of that came to pass.
His latest idea comes as the U.S. economy is reckoning with persistent inflation and rising interest rates, two forces that have politically undermined Republicans after previously helping them reclaim power from Democrats. Trump claimed the payments would be possible because of the economy's strength, yet consumer sentiment is weak as gasoline prices are increasing because of the war with Iran and wages are struggling to keep pace with inflation.
#inflation
0.00$ raised of 0.00$ goal
0 donations
0.00$
to go
2 months ago
In an exclusive interview with Meet the Press, Sen. John Kennedy (R-La.) says he's unsure how the midterms will turn out for Republicans and says voters are "pissed off" about high cost of living and the war with Iran.
#Iran #exclusive #unsure
#Iran #exclusive #unsure
2 months ago
WASHINGTON (AP) — The Trump administration on Sunday renewed its appeal to the Supreme Court to allow new restrictions on mail ballots in time for the midterms.
The filing came after U.S. District Court Judge Indira Talwani extended an order against the Postal Service enforcing President Donald Trump's executive order for the November elections.
The legal wrangling is happening even as states start sending out mail ballots, leaving the administration little time to make big changes in mail ballot rules.
"Ballots have already begun to be mailed in North Carolina, and more States will begin the mailing process as the injunction remains in place — including Alabama on September 9 and at least five States the week of September 13," Solicitor General John Sauer said in the filing.
"Once those ballot envelopes enter the mailstream, there is no retrieving them. And while the injunction allows the Postal Service and the States to continue taking steps to ensure that their envelopes satisfy the Rule's requirements … each day the injunction is in place risks sowing confusion and chaos because the injunction makes those preparatory steps voluntary, rather than mandatory."
#mail
The filing came after U.S. District Court Judge Indira Talwani extended an order against the Postal Service enforcing President Donald Trump's executive order for the November elections.
The legal wrangling is happening even as states start sending out mail ballots, leaving the administration little time to make big changes in mail ballot rules.
"Ballots have already begun to be mailed in North Carolina, and more States will begin the mailing process as the injunction remains in place — including Alabama on September 9 and at least five States the week of September 13," Solicitor General John Sauer said in the filing.
"Once those ballot envelopes enter the mailstream, there is no retrieving them. And while the injunction allows the Postal Service and the States to continue taking steps to ensure that their envelopes satisfy the Rule's requirements … each day the injunction is in place risks sowing confusion and chaos because the injunction makes those preparatory steps voluntary, rather than mandatory."
2 months ago
Washington — A federal judge on Friday extended her block on the U.S. Postal Service's new requirements for mail voting, as states prepare to begin sending mail ballots to voters for the November midterm elections.
U.S. District Judge Indira Talwani issued a preliminary injunction barring the agency from enforcing the rules, which were finalized and published late last month, during the midterms. Talwani had temporarily blocked the measure on Aug. 26 and, following a hearing Thursday, agreed to grant a request for longer relief sought by two dozen Democratic-led states and voting rights groups.
In her 49-page decision, the judge said the Postal Service's new rules are likely unconstitutional and said states' difficulties with implementing the regulations so close to the November elections "nearly guarantee[s] significant disenfranchisement for eligible voters."
The judge also said the Postal Service likely exceeded its authority by moving ahead with the new requirements because "the Constitution reserves election regulation to Congress and the States, Congress has not authorized the USPS to make requirements of States before permitting use of the USPS for mailing their ballots, and ... the Final Rule impermissibly establishes a new category of nonmailable material."
"Unauthorized by the Elections Clause, the Final Rule clashes with Congress's statutory scheme, and is unconstitutional where it intrudes not only on Congress's Elections Clause powers but also that power left to the States," she wrote.
#november #congress
U.S. District Judge Indira Talwani issued a preliminary injunction barring the agency from enforcing the rules, which were finalized and published late last month, during the midterms. Talwani had temporarily blocked the measure on Aug. 26 and, following a hearing Thursday, agreed to grant a request for longer relief sought by two dozen Democratic-led states and voting rights groups.
In her 49-page decision, the judge said the Postal Service's new rules are likely unconstitutional and said states' difficulties with implementing the regulations so close to the November elections "nearly guarantee[s] significant disenfranchisement for eligible voters."
The judge also said the Postal Service likely exceeded its authority by moving ahead with the new requirements because "the Constitution reserves election regulation to Congress and the States, Congress has not authorized the USPS to make requirements of States before permitting use of the USPS for mailing their ballots, and ... the Final Rule impermissibly establishes a new category of nonmailable material."
"Unauthorized by the Elections Clause, the Final Rule clashes with Congress's statutory scheme, and is unconstitutional where it intrudes not only on Congress's Elections Clause powers but also that power left to the States," she wrote.
#november #congress
2 months ago
EXCLUSIVE: Footage obtained by Fox News Digital shows federal agents executing a sweep linked to a multi-state Department of Justice (DOJ) probe that has resulted in criminal charges against individuals for illegal voting, falsifying citizenship status and other election fraud related charges in Pennsylvania, New Jersey, and Wisconsin.
The charges arrive as part of a highly publicized nationwide surge by the Trump administration to hunt down election-related crimes ahead of the 2026 midterms.
Over the past year, the Justice Department has filed lawsuits against nearly 30 states to force the surrender of confidential voter rolls, while simultaneously repurposing Homeland Security Investigations (HSI)—an agency historically focused on cartels and terrorism—to spearhead a search for unlawfully registered non-citizens.
"Despite the media and Democrats claiming it never happens, the evidence of non-citizens registering to vote in our elections continues to pile up," White House spokesperson Lauren Bis told Fox News Digital. "Any non-citizens found registering to vote and voting in our elections will be held accountable. Only Americans should be electing American leaders."
'Raw Material For Election Fraud': Expert Flags Voter-roll Problems Far Beyond One State
#election #digital #fraud
The charges arrive as part of a highly publicized nationwide surge by the Trump administration to hunt down election-related crimes ahead of the 2026 midterms.
Over the past year, the Justice Department has filed lawsuits against nearly 30 states to force the surrender of confidential voter rolls, while simultaneously repurposing Homeland Security Investigations (HSI)—an agency historically focused on cartels and terrorism—to spearhead a search for unlawfully registered non-citizens.
"Despite the media and Democrats claiming it never happens, the evidence of non-citizens registering to vote in our elections continues to pile up," White House spokesperson Lauren Bis told Fox News Digital. "Any non-citizens found registering to vote and voting in our elections will be held accountable. Only Americans should be electing American leaders."
'Raw Material For Election Fraud': Expert Flags Voter-roll Problems Far Beyond One State
#election #digital #fraud
2 months ago
GOP Rep. Max Miller spent Monday morning not on the campaign trail, but Zooming into an Ohio courtroom in a dispute with ex-girlfriend and former White House press secretary Stephanie Grisham, the second time the embattled congressman has been forced to appear in county court in less than a week.
As House lawmakers return to Washington for a sprint ahead of the midterms, Miller appeared from DC via Zoom to address whether he violated a 2023 settlement agreement with Grisham. That agreement came after Grisham alleged Miller abused her, he denied the allegation and then sued her for defamation. As part of their deal, Grisham and Miller were barred from disparaging each other publicly.
It's the latest legal battle facing Miller as he runs for re-election in a district Trump won in 2024 by more than 10 points but Republicans now fear will be competitive over his legal and personal issues. The congressman has faced calls from some Senate Republicans to step down, but Speaker Mike Johnson told CNN on Monday that he supports Miller's reelection bid, calling him "a great member of Congress."
Miller is also locked in a bitter custody battle with his ex-wife, Emily Moreno, the daughter of GOP Sen. Bernie Moreno. She has alleged that Miller abused her, including holding a gun to her when their daughter was an infant. Miller has denied the allegations. Miller came to court in person in that custody case last week.
Zooming in to the wood-paneled courtroom Monday, Miller faced questions over his social media habits, recent media interviews and whether he called Grisham a liar after the two of them entered into the 2023 settlement agreement.
#moreno #congressman
As House lawmakers return to Washington for a sprint ahead of the midterms, Miller appeared from DC via Zoom to address whether he violated a 2023 settlement agreement with Grisham. That agreement came after Grisham alleged Miller abused her, he denied the allegation and then sued her for defamation. As part of their deal, Grisham and Miller were barred from disparaging each other publicly.
It's the latest legal battle facing Miller as he runs for re-election in a district Trump won in 2024 by more than 10 points but Republicans now fear will be competitive over his legal and personal issues. The congressman has faced calls from some Senate Republicans to step down, but Speaker Mike Johnson told CNN on Monday that he supports Miller's reelection bid, calling him "a great member of Congress."
Miller is also locked in a bitter custody battle with his ex-wife, Emily Moreno, the daughter of GOP Sen. Bernie Moreno. She has alleged that Miller abused her, including holding a gun to her when their daughter was an infant. Miller has denied the allegations. Miller came to court in person in that custody case last week.
Zooming in to the wood-paneled courtroom Monday, Miller faced questions over his social media habits, recent media interviews and whether he called Grisham a liar after the two of them entered into the 2023 settlement agreement.
#moreno #congressman
