Corn futures were busy squaring up ahead of the Friday USDA report, closing Thursday with gains of 5 to 7 cents across the board. The CmdtyView national average Cash Corn price was up 6 cents at $4.87.
The weekly EIA report showed ethanol production at 1.099 million barrels per day in the week of 9/4, down 11,000 bpd from the week prior. Stocks saw a 152,000 barrel increase to 25.187 million barrels, which is 10.29% above the same week last year.
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Can Soybeans Remain in the Teens?

#million #USDA

Soybeans were in rally mode on Thursday, with contracts 13 to 22 cents higher across most contracts. The cmdtyView national average Cash Bean price was up 22 1/2 cents at $12.74 ½. Soymeal futures saw gains of $2.30 to $5.50, as Soy Oil rallied 102 to 135 points.
USDA reported private export sale announcements of 272,000 MT of soybeans to China for 2026/27 and 206,500 MT of 2026/27 beans to unknown destinations this morning. Weekly Export Sales data will be out on Friday morning, with ****** ysts surveyed by Reuters looking for no sales to net cancellations of 500,000 MT for 2025/26 soybeans. New crop sales are seen in a range of 1 to 2.6 MMT in the week of September 3. Soybean meal sales are expected to be in a range of 150,000 to 950,000 MT, with 0 to 12,000 MT
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Can Soybeans Remain in the Teens?

#export #cash

By Ella Cao and Naveen Thukral
BEIJING/SINGAPORE, Sept 10 (Reuters) - China ‌bought 14 to 15 cargoes ‌of U.S. soybeans this week, or around 1 million metric tons, four traders told Reuters, as the world's top oilseed buyer steps up purchases ‌ahead of ⁠Chinese President Xi Jinping's visit to Washington later this month.
The ⁠purchases take China's total U.S. soybean buying to nearly half of the 25 million tons the White House ‌said Beijing had committed to annually through 2028.
Chinese state stockpiler Sinograin booked the cargoes for shipment from U.S. Gulf terminals between December and February, ‌traders said.
Sinograin did not immediately respond to Reuters' requests for comment.

#cargoes #tons #purchases #ella

Soybeans were weaker on Wednesday, with contracts down 3 to 7 ¼ cents. The cmdtyView national average Cash Bean price was down 6 1/4 cents at $12.51. Soymeal futures closed with gains of 20 cents to $1.80 in the front months, as deferreds were weaker. Soy Oil was steady to 17 points lower on the day.
USDA reported private export sale announcements of 340,000 MT of soybeans to China for 2026/27 and 100,000 MT of 2026/27 beans to unknown destinations this morning.
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#cents #soybeans

Soybeans are falling back 5 to 6 cents so far on Wednesday, but a nickel off the early lows. The cmdtyView national average Cash Bean price was down 5 cents at $12.52 1/4. Soymeal futures are up 80 cents at midday, with Soy Oil 13 points lower. There were no deliveries against September soybean futures overnight, with 38 deliveries for September meal and 11 for bean oil.
USDA reported private export sale announcements of 340,000 MT of soybeans to China for 2026/27 and 100,000 MT of 2026/27 beans to unknown destinations this morning.
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#cents #september #soybeans #futures

Soybeans are trading with losses of 1 to 2 cents early on Wednesday. Futures closed the day with contracts 6 ½ to 10 cent gains across the board on Tuesday. Open interest was up 21,350 contracts, suggesting new buying interest. The cmdtyView national average Cash Bean price was up 6 1/2 cents at $12.57 1/4. Soymeal futures were down $1.50 to $5.30 at the close, with Soy Oil 94 to 155 points higher. There were no deliveries against September soybean futures overnight, with 38 deliveries for September meal and 11 for bean oil.
Monday's Crop Progress data from NASS showed 26% of the US soybean crop dropping leaves. Condition ratings were steady at 58% gd/ex, with the Brugler500 index unchanged at 353.
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#interest #deliveries

Soybeans are coming out of the weekend with 4 to 5 cent losses. Futures posted 14 to 20 cent gains across most contracts on the Friday session. September was up 51 ¼ cents on the week, as November rallied 48 ½ cents. Friday's open interest rose 15,047 contracts suggesting new buying. The cmdtyView national average Cash Bean price was up 20 1/2 cents at $12.53 3/4. Soymeal futures were $1 to $8.10 higher on the day, led by the front months, as September was up $20.50 on the week. Soy Oil was back up 167 to 259 points, with September 124 higher this week. There were no delivery notices on FND for September beans, with 261 deliveries for September meal and 800 for September bean oil.
USDA reported a private export sale of 182,000 MT to China on Friday morning for 2026/27, with 226,000 MT during the reporting period to unknown. Another 200,000 MT of soybean meal was sold to both Germany and the Netherlands at 100,000 MT each.
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#september #bean #cent #higher

On August 4, Archer-Daniels-Midland (NYSE:ADM) executives told investors on an earnings call that the company would expand capacity at four US oilseed-crushing plants, a roughly $100 million push into a business that just posted its strongest quarter in years. The plants sit in Frankfort, Indiana; Deerfield, Missouri; Lincoln, Nebraska; and Spiritwood, North Dakota, the last a joint venture with Marathon Petroleum. Together, the upgrades are expected to add about 700,000 metric tons of crush capacity by 2028 or 2029, and six more sites have already been flagged for possible future growth.
CEO Juan Luciano framed the projects as a cheap way to add output, estimating the cost at roughly a quarter of what a brand-new facility would require. That math matters because ADM just reported second-quarter adjusted earnings per share of $1.84, well above the $1.44 ***** ysts expected, and raised its full-year 2026 adjusted EPS guidance to a range of $5.15 to $5.60 from a prior $4.15 to $4.70. Operating profit in the ag services and oilseeds segment, ADM's largest, jumped 129% year over year to $867 million, with the crushing subsegment alone up $330 million as oilseed volumes climbed about 5%.
The company has now identified 10 US soy processing plants for potential expansion in total, and Luciano said top buyer China appears on track to meet its commitment to purchase 25 million metric tons of US soybeans this year. Nutrition, long a laggard, also grew 51% to $172 million on strength in flavors. Even so, Luciano described the crushing expansion as a "phased approach to allow for offramps," language that suggests management wants room to pull back if the current environment does not hold. The projects are expected to fit inside ADM's existing 2026 capital expenditure range of $1.3 billion to $1.5 billion, following expansions at two Brazilian plants last year and an extension completed this year in Uberlandia.
The strength behind these numbers leans heavily on conditions ADM does not control. Finalized 2026 and 2027 renewable volume obligations under the US Renewable Fuel Standard, locked in only this past March, are doing much of the work behind crushing margins, alongside energy prices that climbed after the Iran war. Roughly $100 million of the ag services and oilseeds profit came from net positive mark-to-market and timing impacts, gains tied to commodity pricing swings rather than the underlying business.
Not every part of the portfolio moved in the same direction. The refined products and other subsegment posted a 3% profit decline on negative mark-to-market impacts and supply and demand imbalances in South America, and equity earnings from ADM's stake in Wilmar fell 22%. Those soft spots, paired with a crush expansion built with explicit offramps, hint that management sees more uncertainty in the setup than the headline guidance raise suggests.

#luciano #quarter #expected

I asked how low crude oil's price can go in a June 30, 2026, Barchart article, where I concluded with the following:
Significant changes in oil market dynamics and the U.S. desire to push inflation lower could send prices to lower lows in the $40-$50 per barrel range. The long-term chart highlights lower highs since 2008, and the current price action suggests oil will likely continue to make lower lows.
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#lows #june

September Nymex natural gas (NGU26) on Thursday closed up +0.065 (+2.29%).
Nat-gas prices climbed to a 1-month high on Thursday and settled sharply higher on forecasts for hotter US weather, potentially boosting nat-gas demand from electricity providers to power increased air-conditioning use. Record high temperatures are expected across the Southwest through this weekend, and the Commodity Weather Group said on Thursday that above-average temperatures are expected across nearly the entire US from September 1-10.
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#high #temperatures #across

Soybeans are trading with 3 to 7 cent losses on Tuesday morning Futures were under pressure from bean oil on Monday, with contracts down 4 to 15 ½ cents across most months, led by the nearbys. Open interest was down 17,019 contracts, suggesting some modest long liquidation. The cmdtyView national average Cash Bean price was down 13 1/2 cents at $11.88 1/2. Soymeal futures were up $2.60 to $6.20 on the day, with Soy Oil falling back 189 to 227 points.
Weekly Crop Progress data from NASS showed 91% of the US soybean crop setting pods by 8/23, with 6% dropping leaves. Condition ratings were down 1% at 60% gd/ex, with the Brugler500 index falling 4 points to 357.
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Why This Week Looks to Be Fun

#points

December corn (ZCZ26) rose on Friday 5 cents to $5.08 1/2, near the daily high, and hit a 2.5-year high for the contract. On the week, December corn was up 25 1/4 cents. November soybeans (ZSX26) on Friday rose 3 cents to $12.39 1/2 and for the week were up 47 cents. Friday's technically bullish weekly high closes in December corn and November soybeans set the stage for follow-through chart-based buying from the speculators early this week.
Both corn and soybeans saw on Friday saw big daily "flash" USDA export sales. Corn saw daily export sales of 205,000 MT to unknown destinations during the 2026-27 marketing year. The agency also reported daily sales of 712,000 MT of U.S. soybeans to China and 720,000 MT of U.S. beans to unknown destinations, each during the 2026-27 marketing year.
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#cents

Soybeans are fading lower so far on Monday morning, contracts down 4 to 6 ½ cents. Futures pushed higher late on Friday, with contracts up 1 to 4 ¼ cents at the close. September was up 47 ¼ cents on the week, with November 47 cents higher. The cmdtyView national average Cash Bean price was up 3 1/4 cent at $12.02. Soymeal futures posted gains of $2 to $3.60 on the day, with September up $7.50 on the week. Soy Oil posted losses of 56 to 184 points, with September slipping 9 points since last Friday.
USDA reported a total of 712,000 MT of 2026/27 soybeans to China on Friday morning, with 720,000 MT sold to unknown destinations
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Cattle Prices Struggle but Get Some Bullish USDA Data; Lean Hog Prices Mired at 12-Month Low

#cents #prices #USDA #contracts

A new top-end combine harvester for farmers in the U.S. now lists for as much as $1 million — more than what most Americans will ever spend on a house.
Dennis Kellogg, a farmer in Ithaca, Michigan, farms soybeans on a land his family has worked for six generations. His old combine dates to the 1970s, and he's planning to run it on his field again this fall, rather than spend down the cash the farm needs to operate.
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#dennis #kellogg #jeff #dave

Soybeans pushed higher late on Friday, with contracts up 1 to 4 ¼ cents at the close. September was up 47 ¼ cents on the week, with November 47 cents higher. September options expired today. The cmdtyView national average Cash Bean price was up 3 1/4 cent at $12.02. Soymeal futures posted gains of $2 to $3.60 on the day, with September up $7.50 on the week. Soy Oil posted losses of 56 to 184 points, with September slipping 9 points since last Friday.
USDA reported a total of 712,000 MT of 2026/27 soybeans to China this morning, with 720,000 MT sold to unknown destinations
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#cents

Soybeans are trading with fractional to 4 cent gains across most contracts Thursday. The cmdtyView national average Cash Bean price is up 1 1/4 cents at $11.99 1/4. Soymeal futures are back down 30 cents to $1.10, as Soy Oil is trading with 110 to 120 point gains.
USDA reported a total of 150,000 MT of 2026/27 soybeans to unknown destinations this morning.
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#gains

Soybeans are showing double digit gains early on the midweek session. Futures fell from the intraday highs on Tuesday, with contracts closing fractionally to 6 cents higher, as September was down ¼ cent. Open interest was up 15,411 contracts, suggesting modest new buying. The cmdtyView national average Cash Bean price was up 1 cent at $11.76. Soymeal futures held firm into the close, with contracts up a dime to $3, as Soy Oil was back down 77 to 175 points.
USDA reported a private export sale of 136,000 MT of soybeans to China on Tuesday morning for 2026/27.
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#prices #cent

Soybeans are showing double digit gains early on the midweek session. Futures fell from the intraday highs on Tuesday, with contracts closing fractionally to 6 cents higher, as September was down ¼ cent. Open interest was up 15,411 contracts, suggesting modest new buying. The cmdtyView national average Cash Bean price was up 1 cent at $11.76. Soymeal futures held firm into the close, with contracts up a dime to $3, as Soy Oil was back down 77 to 175 points.
USDA reported a private export sale of 136,000 MT of soybeans to China on Tuesday morning for 2026/27.
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#futures

Soybeans are trading with 4 to 6 cent gains across most contracts on Tuesday. The cmdtyView national average Cash Bean price is up 5 1/2 cents at $11.81. Soymeal futures are slipping 60 cents in the front months at midday, as Soy Oil is back down 125 to 150 points.
USDA reported a private export sale of 136,000 MT of soybeans to China this morning for 2026/27.
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#supply #cash

Soybeans with contracts 19 to 20 cents higher across most contracts at midday. The cmdtyView national average Cash Bean price was is 19 1/2 cents at $11.71 1/2. Soymeal futures are trading with $2 to $3 gains, as Soy Oil is rallying 190 to 195 points.
USDA's FGIS tallied soybean export shipments at 270,201 MT (9.93 mbu) during the week ending on August 13. That was 34% below the week prior and 46.3% shy of the same week last year. **** an was the top destination of 76,179 MT, with 57,710 MT headed to Egypt and 52,390 MT to Mexico. Marketing year exports for 2025/26 are 40.04 MMT (1.47 bbu), which is now 18.2% below the same period last year.
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#week

Wetter weather forecasts for the Corn Belt over the next couple weeks will likely limit buyer interest in corn (ZCZ26) and soybean (ZSX26) futures. It's very likely going to take a U.S. soybean crop weather market scare in August to reignite bullish enthusiasm in soybeans and corn. So far, weather forecasts are not indicating such.
However, a positive for the grain markets recently has been a slumping U.S. dollar index ($DXY) that Friday hit a seven-week low.
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#colombian

October live cattle futures (LEV26) on Friday rose $0.35 to $225.275. For the week, they were down $1.975. September feeder cattle futures (GFU26) rose $3.65 to $345.225, near the daily high, and for the week up $3.125. The cattle futures markets in late Friday trading saw short covering to allow prices to finish unchanged, after both markets earlier saw some follow-through technical selling from Thursday's solid losses. October live cattle futures late last week saw a price uptrend on the daily chart negated.
The USDA at midday Friday reported active cash cattle trading, with steers averaging $235.22 and heifers $235.07. The agency last Monday reported average cash cattle trading the week prior at $233.06. Cash cattle and wholesale beef fundamentals have recently supported futures. However, both cash and boxed beef prices, along with overall production, continue to lag year-ago levels.
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#week

Soybeans futures are trading with midday gains of 2 to 5 cents so far on Monday. The cmdtyView national average Cash Bean price is up 2 3/4 at $11.35 1/2. Soymeal futures are down $1.20 to $2.50, with Soy Oil up 123 points.
USDA's FGIS tallied soybean export shipments at 399,201 MT (14.668 mbu) during the week ending on August 8. That was 15% above the week prior but 26.7% shy of the same week last year. Germany was the top destination of 86,260 MT, with 81,851 MT headed to Mexico and 81,699 MT to ***** an. Marketing year exports for 2025/26 are 39.75 MMT (1.46 bbu), which is now 17.9% below the same period last year.
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#year #Monday

Soybeans are trading with Monday AM 3 to 7 cent gains. Futures were mostly 1 to 3 cents lower, with August down 11 ¾ cents on the week. The cmdtyView national average Cash Bean price was up a penny at $11.33 ¾. Soymeal futures were down $2.60, with August down $6 last week. Soy Oil was up 40 to 50 points, with bean oil up 98 cents for the week.
A private export sale of 238,000 MT of soybeans was reported to China on Friday morning for 2026/27.
What Do Cost of Carry Tables Tell Us Heading Into Fall Harvest?
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#cents #Monday

At Barchart's 2026 Summer Road Show meetings in Omaha and Shakopee, Minnesota, I spent a good deal of time talking about Cost of Carry tables.
With the US heading into fall harvest, we can use these tables to evaluate which market to hold and which to sell, theoretically, when it comes to corn and soybeans.
Tired of missing midday reversals? The FREE Barchart Brief newsletter keeps you in the know. Sign up now!
In early August, the US soybean market has a more bullish long-term fundamental outlook, but things can and will change.
At the Barchart Summer Road Show event in Shakopee, Minnesota, after the talking had ended and the horse racing began (the event was held at Canterbury Park, appropriately enough) a gentleman came up and asked if I had written about the Cost of Carry tables I spent so much time talking about. I remembered him from last year's meeting in Ames. He was interested enough in what I said then to ask if Barchart had charts showing the trend of the percent of calculated full commercial carry spreads cover. As of today, it is still a work in progress (though I have Excel files I post each week). I appreciate his continued interest in futures spreads, and my **** ysis of them. With the US 2026 fall harvest off and running, it's time to take our annual look at what I like to call The Gamblers' Secret. As Kenny Rogers' famous character told us nearly 50 years ago (is that right?!), "You've got to know when to hold 'em. Know when to fold 'em. Know when to walk away and know when to run." For those of you new to my **** ysis and commentary, let me interpret this for you. Market Rule #2 tells us, "Let the market dictate your action." This includes deciding what crop to store after harvest (hold) and what crop to sell as harvest progresses (fold). How does the market "dictate" our actions, though? If commercial traders need cash supplies, we sell it to them. On the other hand, if those same commercial interests are indicating they do not need supplies to meet demand and are willing to pay you to NOT sell at this time, it's best to listen.

#sell #talking

Soybeans are trading with Wednesday AM losses of 6 to 7 ½ cents. Futures were pressured by weaker products, crude and a wetter forecast on Tuesday, with contracts steady in some deferreds to down 15 cents in the nearbys. Open interest was down 3,006 contracts. The cmdtyView national average Cash Bean price was down 13 3/4 cents at $11.34 1/2. Soymeal futures were down $1.20 to $3.20, with Soy Oil 18 to 62 points lower. Crude oil, down $5.20, added some pressure. There were 137 deliveries issued against August soybeans overnight, with 322 for August bean oil.
USDA reported another 132,000 MT of 2026/27 soybean sold to China on Tuesday morning.
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#prices #cocoa #futures

Soybeans are trading with early weakness on Tuesday, with contracts down 7 to 10 cents. Futures were busy firming into the Monday close, as contracts settled 3 to 7 ½ cents higher, with nearby August down 3 ¼ cents. Open interest was down 6,470 contracts, suggesting some modest short covering. The cmdtyView national average Cash Bean price was up 6 cents at $11.47 1/2. Soymeal futures were up 20 cents to $1.20, with Soy Oil 101 to 157 points higher. There were 123 deliveies issued against August soybeans overnight, with 0 for soy meal, and 572 for bean oil.
Weekly Crop Progress data from NASS showed 88% of the US soybean crop blooming by 8/2, with 62% setting pods and 7 percentage points faster than the 5-year average. Condition ratings were down steady at 63% gd/ex, with the Brugler500 index unchanged at 363.
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#cents #prices

Soybeans were busy firming into the close, as contracts settled 3 to 7 ½ cents higher, with nearby August down 3 ¼ cents. The cmdtyView national average Cash Bean price was up 6 cents at $11.47 1/2. Soymeal futures were up 20 cents to $1.20, with Soy Oil 101 to 157 points higher.
Weekly Crop Progress data from NASS showed 88% of the US soybean crop blooming by 8/2, with 62% setting pods and 7 percentage points faster than the 5-year average. Condition ratings were down steady at 63% gd/ex, with the Brugler500 index unchanged at 363.
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Wheat, Soybean, and Corn Prices Fall to Start a New Month. What to Watch Next.

#cents #soybean #higher #down

Soybeans posted weaker trade late on Thursday, with contracts down fractionally to 4 cents across most contracts. The cmdtyView national average Cash Bean price was up 2 ¾ cents at $11.49. Soymeal futures were 40 cents to $1.20 lower across most contracts, with Soy Oil futures down 17 to 82 points. First notice day for August futures is on Friday.
USDA reported a private export sale of 132,000 MT of soybeans to China for 2026/27 this morning.
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What Caused Wheat to Spike? Will it Pull Corn and Soybeans Along for the Ride?
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#down #cash #bean

Corn futures closed with weakness on Thursday, as front months were down 2 to 3 ¼ cents, with deferreds fractionally to 1 ¼ cents higher. The CmdtyView national average Cash Corn price was down 2 3/4 cents at $4.16 1/4.
The next 7 days are looking for 1 to 2 inches across much of eastern NE and the eastern portions of the Dakotas through MN, MO, WI, IA, IL, IN and OH. Much of that is expected over the next couple of days.
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#much #thursday