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Bitcoin's 4-Year Cycle Says BTC Should Be at $150,000 by End of 2026

Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) is trading around $81,000 today, down 35% from its all-time high of $126,000. The 4-year halving cycle, which traders have followed since 2012, points to a peak roughly 12 to 18 months after every halving. Bitcoin hit its $126K high in October 2025—right inside that window—but bulls argue the cycle has another leg as ETF demand keeps pulling supply off exchanges.
Standard Chartered and Bernstein both call for $150,000 by year-end, which would be a new all-time high and an 88% gain from today’s price. The crypto community cannot stop debating whether the cycle has more upside in 2026 or already peaked. Does Bitcoin have one more leg, or is the top already in?
Every four years, Bitcoin’s code automatically halves the reward miners earn for adding new transactions to the blockchain. This is called the halving, and it directly reduces the rate at which new Bitcoin enters circulation. The most recent halving happened on April 20, 2024, dropping the reward from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC per block.

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25 days ago

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