There's no getting around it: The market looks expensive on several metrics. The broader benchmark S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) is now up over 102% since the start of 2023 despite some pretty glaring warning signs. In recent years, investors have breezed past the longest inverted yield curve in history, a banking crisis, elevated inflation, and the Iran war.
Is it really smart to buy stocks right now? Here's Warren Buffett's advice.
Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again. In 2009, a "Double Down" signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. For the first time in years, that same "Total Conviction" signal is flashing for a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia. Continue »
As I mentioned, it's hard to dispute that the S&P 500 looks expensive right now.
The Buffett indicator, which is named after Buffett, who has called it "probably the best single measure of where valuations stand at any given moment," is at an all-time high of 238%. The Buffett indicator compares the total value of the stock market, as measured by the Wilshire 5000, to U.S. gross domestic product. Buffett has previously said that the Buffett indicator looks expensive at 100%, although it hasn't been below that level since 2013.

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