Davante Adams posted the lowest completion percentage of his 12-year NFL career in 2025, at 52.6%. What caused that?
Some of the problem was he and Matthew Stafford not completely gelling, but, most notable to me, it was simply Adams not completing the catch. At 33 years old, was Father Time tapping him on the shoulder? According to a study by Dwain McFarland, it could be the case.
"To appropriately understand the magnitude of age in the WR performance equation, I decided to divide production at each age (20 to 40) by their prime production. Prime production equals the average fantasy points per game for a player's best three-year stretch in their career, and player ages were rounded based on their age on Week 1 for each season.
After compiling that data across every season where a WR had at least 200 routes from 2011 to 2023, we get a clear picture of when WRs are at their peak and when they begin to decline. For the sake of simplicity, buckets were created for age groups based on performance."
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Some of the problem was he and Matthew Stafford not completely gelling, but, most notable to me, it was simply Adams not completing the catch. At 33 years old, was Father Time tapping him on the shoulder? According to a study by Dwain McFarland, it could be the case.
"To appropriately understand the magnitude of age in the WR performance equation, I decided to divide production at each age (20 to 40) by their prime production. Prime production equals the average fantasy points per game for a player's best three-year stretch in their career, and player ages were rounded based on their age on Week 1 for each season.
After compiling that data across every season where a WR had at least 200 routes from 2011 to 2023, we get a clear picture of when WRs are at their peak and when they begin to decline. For the sake of simplicity, buckets were created for age groups based on performance."
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2 months ago
