GE Aerospace (GE) has more engine work booked than it can currently perform, and that visibility is much of why people own the shares. The option chain does not treat the stock as settled. At about $307, contracts running twelve months out carry a band from near $216.93 to near $434.6, with roughly a two-in-three chance the stock finishes inside it.
Read that band as money. The ceiling near $434.6 sits about 41.5% above today's price, and the floor near $216.93 sits about 29.4% below it. Whatever money you have in GE, the options market prices about $90 of every $307 coming off, or about $128 going on, inside twelve months.
The two distances are not equal. A share price cannot fall below zero while nothing caps the upside, so the ceiling always sits further out than the floor. That is arithmetic rather than a view on GE.
The floor is the half worth sitting with. Near $216.93, it is well below $272.91, the lowest GE has traded in the past 52 weeks. The chain is not forecasting that price. It prices twelve months as long enough to reach it.
A range is only wide relative to something. The stock's realized volatility over the trailing year, meaning how far it has actually moved, was 33.2%, and the options quote 34.6%. The market is charging about what this stock already delivers.
#near #sits #floor #band
Read that band as money. The ceiling near $434.6 sits about 41.5% above today's price, and the floor near $216.93 sits about 29.4% below it. Whatever money you have in GE, the options market prices about $90 of every $307 coming off, or about $128 going on, inside twelve months.
The two distances are not equal. A share price cannot fall below zero while nothing caps the upside, so the ceiling always sits further out than the floor. That is arithmetic rather than a view on GE.
The floor is the half worth sitting with. Near $216.93, it is well below $272.91, the lowest GE has traded in the past 52 weeks. The chain is not forecasting that price. It prices twelve months as long enough to reach it.
A range is only wide relative to something. The stock's realized volatility over the trailing year, meaning how far it has actually moved, was 33.2%, and the options quote 34.6%. The market is charging about what this stock already delivers.
#near #sits #floor #band
2 months ago