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On Aug. 30, Elon Musk tweeted that ***** eX (SPCX) will start casting its own gas turbine blades and vanes at a foundry in Texas. And when the richest man in the world makes a statement, the world takes notice. The market worried about the impact this could have on Howmet Aerospace (HWM), and its stock fell roughly 8% in a single trading session. The blades Musk wrote about sit in the hottest part of a turbine, and they are one of the main bottlenecks slowing down new power plants. Musk said building them in-house could bring turbines online up to 18 months sooner, feeding the power needs of ***** eX's AI data centers. Investors heard "new competitor" and sold. In my opinion, that may have been an overreaction.
The only reason ***** eX has to build its own foundry is that Howmet and the firms like it are sold out. Just four companies in the world cast these blades at scale, and together they control around 70% to 80% of the market. So several ***** ysts read the news as a sign of strength. Bernstein, which had lifted its price target to $328 just days earlier, called the selloff a buying opportunity. Citi and Jefferies pushed back too.
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2 months ago

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