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June PPI came in at -0.3% month over month against a consensus of 0.0%, and 5.5% year over year versus an expected 6.2%. The downside surprise followed softer-than-expected CPI data, prompting investors to reassess expectations for the Federal Reserve's rate cut policy.
The full June PPI breakdown from XTB shows PPI Core MoM at +0.2% versus +0.3% expected, and PPI Core YoY at 4.7% versus 5.1% expected. Every measure printed below the consensus.
Tuesday's CPI data also surprised to the downside, with headline inflation falling 0.4% month over month against expectations for a 0.1% decline, cooling to 3.5% year over year from 4.2% in May. Core CPI was flat on the month and rose 2.6% annually.
The May context matters here. PPI reached 6.0% year over year in May, reinforcing concerns that inflation pressures were reaccelerating. June's slowdown to 5.5% eased some of those concerns and encouraged investors to reconsider how restrictive Federal Reserve policy may need to remain.
According to Cryptonews ***** ysis, markets are now likely to lean further into pricing a less aggressive Fed path, even as the central bank remains cautious about easing policy before inflation is firmly under control. That caution had weighed on risk ***** ets, including crypto markets, and softer inflation data may help unwind some of that positioning.
15 days ago

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