Intense volatility led to a meltdown of levered positions held by Leopold Aschenbrenner's hedge fund last month.
The market was caught off guard, and fears of wider contagion briefly circulated.
Polymarket says its users saw the issues that hit the fund forming long before the news broke.
The meltdown of Leopold Aschenbrenner's hedge fund may have come out of left field for many market watchers, but Polymarket says traders on its platform saw it coming.
The implosion of the AI wunderkind's Situational Awareness at the end of July shocked the market, with fears of wider contagion percolating before Citadel swooped in to buy the soured stock portfolio and stoke a fresh tech rally in the process.

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