The dollar index (DXY00) is down by -0.10% today. The dollar is under modest pressure today amid a recovery in the yen, which rose from a 39-year low on the prospect of faster interest rate hikes from the BOJ. Losses in the dollar are limited due to today's +3% rally in WTI crude oil to a 6-week high, which raises inflation expectations that could prompt the Fed to tighten monetary policy, a supportive factor for the dollar. Also, higher T-note yields today have strengthened the dollar's interest rate differentials and are supportive of the dollar.
The US and Iran played down the prospect of peace talks as disruptions to global oil supplies continue to mount. The US conducted an 11th straight day of attacks on Iran in an effort to degrade the country's ability to threaten commercial shipping in the Strait of Hormuz. Iran retaliated by striking US bases in Bahrain, Kuwait, and Jordan. President Trump said on Tuesday that the US has "no interest" in meeting with Iran until they are ready for serious peace negotiations.
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