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SpaceX (SPAX.PVT), OpenAI (OPAI.PVT), and Anthropic (ANTH.PVT) have scale and tech appeal. IPO history says those help — but profits are still the cleaner test.
That matters as ****** eX pitches investors on a record $75 billion public offering. The company has rockets, satellites, Starlink, defense demand, and one of the biggest private-market stories on the planet. What it may not have is the one thing Wall Street eventually asks every growth story to show: that the business can make money.
SpaceX's filing shows the scale, but also the gap. The company generated nearly $19 billion in revenue in 2025 but posted a net loss of nearly $5 billion, according to its IPO paperwork. That gives investors plenty of business to ****** yze — but not a profitable one yet.
A great company can still be a rough trade on IPO day. After the opening rush, the question shifts from who wants access to what the business can already prove.
That is where the data gets uncomfortable.
4 hours ago

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