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Rivian rates a Hold at $14.89, with fresh capital best deployed only if a sector flush drags shares toward $11.50.
RIVN's Volkswagen JV generated $282 million in Q1 software revenue, but automotive gross margins stay negative through Q3 2026.
Polymarket traders price a 26.5% bankruptcy probability before 2027, yet Wall Street's average target implies 22% upside from current levels.
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Rivian (NASDAQ:RIVN) at $14.89 is a Hold, with fresh capital best reserved unless a broader sector panic drags the equity toward $11.50. The stock has slid 24.45% year to date as EV demand cools and the R2 launch absorbs retooling costs, leaving the Volkswagen joint venture as the single most important pillar holding the equity story together.
4 months ago

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