VanEck expects to enter 2026 with “mixed but constructive” signals and a higher likelihood of consolidation than of a dramatic melt-up or crash.
According to a new firmwide crypto outlook led by Matthew Sigel (Head of Digital ****** ets Research), Bitcoin’s realized volatility has roughly halved since the prior cycle. It implies that the next cyclical drawdown should be smaller (around 40% vs. ~80% last time), with much of that already absorbed by the market. They also say Bitcoin’s four-year cycle, which often peaks in the post-U.S. election window, “remains intact” after the early-October 2
According to a new firmwide crypto outlook led by Matthew Sigel (Head of Digital ****** ets Research), Bitcoin’s realized volatility has roughly halved since the prior cycle. It implies that the next cyclical drawdown should be smaller (around 40% vs. ~80% last time), with much of that already absorbed by the market. They also say Bitcoin’s four-year cycle, which often peaks in the post-U.S. election window, “remains intact” after the early-October 2
2 months ago